Safe Withdrawal Rate - Sweep SWR/Years
Launch Live CalculatorThe Purpose (Why?)
To visualize the probability of portfolio survival across a wide range of withdrawal rates and retirement durations simultaneously. It helps you identify a "safe" rate for your specific time horizon and risk tolerance. (Note: Simulations use inflation-adjusted "Real Dollars")
How it Works
Input your expected portfolio Real Return (inflation-adjusted) and Standard Deviation (volatility). The calculator runs fixed simulations (e.g. 200 runs) for various combinations of SWR and years.
Foundational Research
Read the core research article to understand SWR:
ALGORITHMIC_NOTE: REAL_DOLLARS
Simulations use "Real Dollars" (inflation-adjusted). This means a 0% return maintains purchasing power, while positive returns approximate growth above inflation.
Input Specifications
| PARAMETER | DETAILS |
|---|---|
| Real Return (%) | Projected annual return adjusted for inflation. EXAMPLE: 5.8 (Targeting 50/50 Portfolio) |
| Standard Deviation (%) | Projected annual volatility of the portfolio. EXAMPLE: 6.1 |
Benchmark Values
- 50/50 Portfolio (Stocks/Bonds)R: 5.8% | σ: 6.1%
- 100% Stocks (S&P 500)R: 7.0% | σ: 17.0%
Example Visualizations
Example Output
View a high-fidelity, interactive sample report generated by this simulation engine.
View Sample Simulation Result