AVEM
Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF
TREND FOLLOWING PERFORMANCE HISTORY
2026-07-26
Executive Summary
The quantitative backtest for AVEM (Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF) using the Moving Average (50/200)* strategy in a Investing context demonstrated its primary role in risk mitigation, experiencing a maximum drawdown of -19.6% (compared to the benchmark's drawdown of -31.3%). Over the evaluated period, this protective approach generated a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 6.5%, compared to a Buy-and-Hold benchmark return of 9.1%. The strategy executed 4 total trades.
* Moving Average (50/200): Classic Moving Average Crossover (e.g., 50-day crossing 200-day). The foundational basis of research-grade trend following.
* Moving Average (50/200): Classic Moving Average Crossover (e.g., 50-day crossing 200-day). The foundational basis of research-grade trend following.
📊 Mathematical Model
Excess Return MMA
Advanced Ensemble: Uses multiple signal layers for maximum trend stability and noise reduction.
Excess Return MMA CA
Advanced Dynamic Sleeve: MMA ensemble signals on the primary asset combined with a momentum-based cash alternative ETF rotation.
Excess Return SMA
Standard Signal: Classical quantitative trend following optimized for reliable directionality.
Moving Average (50/200) Active
Moving Average: The baseline 50/200-day crossover model used by technical analysts worldwide.
🎯 Investment Objective
🛡️ Long-Term Investing Active
Ideal for wealth preservation and multi-year horizons. Optimized for low turnover and tax efficiency.
⚔️ Tactical Trading
Ideal for active capital rotation and momentum-first accounts. Optimized for high sensitivity to price shifts.
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AVEM Quality Metrics & KPI Summary
| Metric | 1Y | 5Y | Full History | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strategy | B&H | Strategy | B&H | Strategy | B&H | |
| CAGR | 29.17% | 29.17% | 6.36% | 9.30% | 6.54% | 9.13% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.09 | 1.09 | 0.42 | 0.46 | 0.43 | 0.45 |
| Max Drawdown | -13.13% | -13.13% | -19.60% | -31.81% | -19.60% | -31.26% |
| % Time Invested | 100.0% | 100.0% | 63.0% | 100.0% | 64.7% | 100.0% |
| Trades / Year | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 |
Cumulative Growth Performance
Return Distribution Analysis
Trade History
This log shows every signal-driven transition. Completed trades reflect standard market cycles. An Open or Mark-to-Market exit denotes an active position (either in the primary asset or a cash/yield sleeve) valued at the current price for reporting purposes. Interest entries record yield accrued from cash or cash alternatives (like BIL) during out-of-market defensive periods.
| Entry Date | Exit Date | Type | Allocation | Entry Price | Exit Price | Net Return % | Exit Reason | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🔒 Active Positions & Recent Execution Signals Hidden Trading on delayed data carries high execution risk. Current allocations, pending next-day rebalances, and active execution signals (last 60 days) require a Premium subscription. Upgrade to Pro to Unlock | ||||||||
| 2025-04-09 | 2025-05-16 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.44% | Interest Income | |
| 2025-03-28 | 2025-04-09 | Completed | 100% | $58.96 | $51.26 | -13.10% | Signal | |
| 2025-01-22 | 2025-03-28 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 0.78% | Interest Income | |
| 2023-12-05 | 2025-01-22 | Completed | 100% | $50.08 | $57.58 | 14.91% | Signal | |
| 2023-10-25 | 2023-12-05 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 0.60% | Interest Income | |
| 2023-01-20 | 2023-10-25 | Completed | 100% | $49.89 | $47.33 | -5.19% | Signal | |
| 2021-09-28 | 2023-01-20 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.02 | 2.32% | Interest Income | |
| 2021-09-14 | 2021-09-28 | Completed | 100% | $58.31 | $56.31 | -3.49% | Signal | |
| 2021-09-10 | 2021-09-14 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |