🎉
Summer Launch Special: Get 1 month of Pro free. Use code SUMMER_2026_1_MONTH at checkout.
DASHBOARDS: Portfolio Hub Market Pulse Performance

AXP

American Express Company
TREND FOLLOWING PERFORMANCE HISTORY
2026-07-26
Executive Summary
The quantitative backtest for AXP (American Express Company) using the Moving Average (50/200)* strategy in a Investing context demonstrated its primary role in risk mitigation, experiencing a maximum drawdown of -57.4% (compared to the benchmark's drawdown of -83.9%). Over the evaluated period, this protective approach generated a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 7.3%, compared to a Buy-and-Hold benchmark return of 13.2%. The strategy executed 83 total trades.

* Moving Average (50/200): Classic Moving Average Crossover (e.g., 50-day crossing 200-day). The foundational basis of research-grade trend following.

AXP Quality Metrics & KPI Summary

Metric1Y5Y10YFull History
StrategyB&HStrategyB&HStrategyB&HStrategyB&H
CAGR7.92%6.95%0.12%14.98%7.59%19.26%7.34%13.22%
Sharpe Ratio0.380.250.010.480.350.560.320.36
Max Drawdown-17.77%-23.90%-40.68%-31.55%-40.68%-49.64%-57.42%-83.91%
% Time Invested60.3%100.0%63.5%100.0%73.0%100.0%64.0%100.0%
Trades / Year1.00.01.80.01.30.01.60.0

Cumulative Growth Performance

Return Distribution Analysis

Return Distribution

Trade History

This log shows every signal-driven transition. Completed trades reflect standard market cycles. An Open or Mark-to-Market exit denotes an active position (either in the primary asset or a cash/yield sleeve) valued at the current price for reporting purposes. Interest entries record yield accrued from cash or cash alternatives (like BIL) during out-of-market defensive periods.

Entry DateExit DateTypeAllocationEntry PriceExit PriceNet Return %Exit Reason
🔒 Active Positions & Recent Execution Signals Hidden
Trading on delayed data carries high execution risk. Current allocations, pending next-day rebalances, and active execution signals (last 60 days) require a Premium subscription.
Upgrade to Pro to Unlock
2026-03-18 2026-03-25 Completed 100% $297.39 $303.21 1.90% Signal
2026-02-24 2026-03-18 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.23% Interest Income
2025-06-26 2026-02-24 Completed 100% $305.53 $318.61 4.23% Stop
2025-04-07 2025-06-26 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.01 0.94% Interest Income
2025-03-31 2025-04-07 Completed 100% $258.20 $222.34 -13.93% Stop
2025-03-07 2025-03-31 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.27% Interest Income
2023-12-26 2025-03-07 Completed 100% $180.33 $269.19 49.20% Stop
2023-09-27 2023-12-26 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.01 1.33% Interest Income
2023-05-25 2023-09-27 Completed 100% $143.99 $146.31 1.57% Stop
2023-05-03 2023-05-25 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.33% Interest Income
2023-02-01 2023-05-03 Completed 100% $166.26 $147.51 -11.32% Stop
2022-06-10 2023-02-01 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.02 2.19% Interest Income
2022-06-02 2022-06-10 Completed 100% $157.57 $149.15 -5.39% Signal
2022-05-10 2022-06-02 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.07% Interest Income
2022-03-30 2022-05-10 Completed 100% $181.01 $154.99 -14.41% Stop
2022-03-08 2022-03-30 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.03% Interest Income
2021-12-21 2022-03-08 Completed 100% $148.82 $151.81 1.96% Stop
2021-11-29 2021-12-21 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2020-11-24 2021-11-29 Completed 100% $110.97 $151.65 36.59% Stop
2020-11-02 2020-11-24 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2020-10-19 2020-11-02 Completed 100% $98.03 $86.69 -11.62% Stop
2020-02-28 2020-10-19 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.10% Interest Income
2019-03-13 2020-02-28 Completed 100% $99.89 $100.25 0.31% Stop
2019-02-01 2019-03-13 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.26% Interest Income
2019-01-16 2019-02-01 Completed 100% $89.70 $92.85 3.46% Signal
2018-12-21 2019-01-16 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.15% Interest Income
2016-03-09 2018-12-21 Completed 100% $51.54 $85.96 66.69% Stop
2015-02-09 2016-03-09 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.10% Interest Income
2014-11-03 2015-02-09 Completed 100% $76.54 $71.84 -6.18% Signal
2014-09-25 2014-11-03 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2013-01-10 2014-09-25 Completed 100% $50.21 $74.78 48.86% Signal
2012-12-05 2013-01-10 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2012-02-07 2012-12-05 Completed 100% $42.22 $46.27 9.53% Signal
2012-01-13 2012-02-07 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2011-12-22 2012-01-13 Completed 100% $38.97 $40.25 3.24% Signal
2011-11-30 2011-12-22 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2011-10-28 2011-11-30 Completed 100% $42.02 $38.45 -8.53% Signal
2011-10-05 2011-10-28 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2011-08-31 2011-10-05 Completed 100% $39.83 $35.47 -11.00% Stop
2011-08-09 2011-08-31 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2010-12-31 2011-08-09 Completed 100% $34.15 $35.43 3.67% Stop
2010-12-08 2010-12-31 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2010-11-03 2010-12-08 Completed 100% $34.06 $36.07 5.87% Signal
2010-10-06 2010-11-03 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2010-06-01 2010-10-06 Completed 100% $31.19 $30.90 -0.98% Stop
2010-05-07 2010-06-01 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2009-07-17 2010-05-07 Completed 100% $22.01 $33.63 52.69% Stop
2009-06-24 2009-07-17 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2009-06-10 2009-06-24 Completed 100% $21.15 $18.37 -13.19% Stop
2008-05-08 2009-06-10 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.01 0.82% Interest Income
2008-05-02 2008-05-08 Completed 100% $39.41 $36.96 -6.26% Stop
2007-09-28 2008-05-02 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.02 1.52% Interest Income
2007-08-29 2007-09-28 Completed 100% $43.27 $44.64 3.11% Signal
2007-08-07 2007-08-29 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.26% Interest Income
2006-09-27 2007-08-07 Completed 100% $41.32 $44.54 7.73% Stop
2006-08-18 2006-09-27 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.01 0.52% Interest Income
2005-07-06 2006-08-18 Completed 100% $34.48 $39.62 14.84% Signal
2005-04-27 2005-07-06 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.01 0.56% Interest Income
2004-10-06 2005-04-27 Completed 100% $33.61 $33.00 -1.88% Signal
2004-09-09 2004-10-06 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.13% Interest Income
2003-04-30 2004-09-09 Completed 100% $23.80 $32.38 36.02% Signal
2003-03-28 2003-04-30 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.10% Interest Income
2003-03-24 2003-03-28 Completed 100% $23.16 $21.46 -7.36% Stop
2003-01-28 2003-03-24 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.18% Interest Income
2003-01-08 2003-01-28 Completed 100% $23.59 $21.45 -9.12% Stop
2002-07-22 2003-01-08 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.01 0.69% Interest Income
2002-07-08 2002-07-22 Completed 100% $23.37 $19.36 -17.18% Stop
2002-06-13 2002-07-08 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.11% Interest Income
2001-11-12 2002-06-13 Completed 100% $20.30 $23.09 13.66% Stop
2001-01-10 2001-11-12 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.03 3.03% Interest Income
2000-12-15 2001-01-10 Completed 100% $33.96 $28.81 -15.20% Stop
2000-11-22 2000-12-15 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.38% Interest Income
2000-11-06 2000-11-22 Completed 100% $36.85 $32.54 -11.74% Stop
2000-10-13 2000-11-06 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.39% Interest Income
2000-05-24 2000-10-13 Completed 100% $31.14 $31.65 1.59% Stop
2000-04-12 2000-05-24 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.01 0.67% Interest Income
2000-03-14 2000-04-12 Completed 100% $26.49 $29.86 12.66% Signal
2000-02-18 2000-03-14 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.36% Interest Income
1999-06-17 2000-02-18 Completed 100% $25.30 $30.20 19.29% Stop
1999-05-25 1999-06-17 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.29% Interest Income
1999-01-08 1999-05-25 Completed 100% $21.65 $23.74 9.57% Stop
1998-09-11 1999-01-08 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.01 1.42% Interest Income
1998-09-02 1998-09-11 Completed 100% $16.62 $14.32 -13.85% Stop
1998-08-11 1998-09-02 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.31% Interest Income
1997-11-20 1998-08-11 Completed 100% $15.96 $19.87 24.48% Stop
1997-10-29 1997-11-20 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.33% Interest Income
1997-04-24 1997-10-29 Completed 100% $12.25 $15.58 27.09% Stop
1997-04-02 1997-04-24 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.33% Interest Income
1996-10-08 1997-04-02 Completed 100% $9.35 $11.95 27.83% Stop
1996-08-02 1996-10-08 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.01 0.93% Interest Income
1996-07-31 1996-08-02 Completed 100% $8.58 $8.95 4.25% Signal
1996-07-09 1996-07-31 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.33% Interest Income
1994-07-27 1996-07-09 Completed 100% $4.95 $8.44 70.50% Stop
1994-01-10 1994-07-27 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.02 2.06% Interest Income
1993-11-29 1994-01-10 Completed 100% $5.00 $4.75 -4.92% Signal
1993-11-04 1993-11-29 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.20% Interest Income
1992-12-23 1993-11-04 Completed 100% $3.86 $4.88 26.42% Stop
1992-10-05 1992-12-23 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.01 0.69% Interest Income
1992-09-16 1992-10-05 Completed 100% $3.47 $3.27 -5.64% Signal
1992-08-24 1992-09-16 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.19% Interest Income
1992-04-21 1992-08-24 Completed 100% $3.43 $3.14 -8.51% Stop
1991-10-04 1992-04-21 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.02 2.31% Interest Income
1991-05-23 1991-10-04 Completed 100% $3.41 $3.35 -1.88% Stop
1991-05-01 1991-05-23 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.35% Interest Income
1991-03-21 1991-05-01 Completed 100% $3.91 $3.78 -3.45% Stop
1990-01-05 1991-03-21 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.09 9.11% Interest Income
1989-12-11 1990-01-05 Completed 100% $4.67 $4.83 3.24% Signal
1989-11-16 1989-12-11 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.48% Interest Income
1988-07-12 1989-11-16 Completed 100% $3.62 $4.67 29.16% Stop
1987-10-19 1988-07-12 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.06 5.66% Interest Income
1987-05-08 1987-10-19 Completed 100% $4.28 $3.73 -12.96% Stop
1987-04-15 1987-05-08 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.48% Interest Income
1987-01-23 1987-04-15 Completed 100% $4.44 $4.49 1.16% Stop
1986-09-26 1987-01-23 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.02 2.48% Interest Income
1986-05-28 1986-09-26 Completed 100% $3.85 $3.48 -9.44% Stop
1986-05-05 1986-05-28 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.48% Interest Income
1985-11-15 1986-05-05 Completed 100% $2.95 $3.63 22.97% Stop
1985-10-07 1985-11-15 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.01 0.87% Interest Income
1985-09-26 1985-10-07 Completed 100% $2.51 $2.55 1.38% Signal
1985-09-04 1985-09-26 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.48% Interest Income
1984-09-04 1985-09-04 Completed 100% $1.92 $2.50 30.22% Stop
1984-04-12 1984-09-04 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.03 3.01% Interest Income
1984-03-22 1984-04-12 Completed 100% $1.79 $1.67 -6.76% Stop
1983-09-28 1984-03-22 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.04 3.72% Interest Income
1983-08-23 1983-09-28 Completed 100% $2.45 $2.08 -15.36% Stop
1983-08-01 1983-08-23 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.48% Interest Income
1983-01-10 1983-08-01 Completed 100% $1.82 $2.39 31.51% Stop
1982-12-16 1983-01-10 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.48% Interest Income
1982-10-04 1982-12-16 Completed 100% $1.34 $1.63 22.22% Stop
1982-07-07 1982-10-04 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.02 1.87% Interest Income
1982-06-23 1982-07-07 Completed 100% $1.12 $1.01 -10.21% Signal
1982-06-01 1982-06-23 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.48% Interest Income
1982-03-30 1982-06-01 Completed 100% $1.26 $1.14 -8.92% Stop
1982-01-26 1982-03-30 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.01 1.32% Interest Income
1981-12-04 1982-01-26 Completed 100% $1.24 $1.09 -12.08% Signal
1981-09-08 1981-12-04 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.02 1.87% Interest Income
1981-07-29 1981-09-08 Completed 100% $1.19 $1.06 -10.85% Stop
1981-07-07 1981-07-29 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.48% Interest Income
1981-05-14 1981-07-07 Completed 100% $1.10 $1.21 9.35% Stop
1981-04-22 1981-05-14 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.48% Interest Income
1980-11-19 1981-04-22 Completed 100% $0.91 $1.06 16.24% Stop
1980-10-27 1980-11-19 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.48% Interest Income
1980-05-23 1980-10-27 Completed 100% $0.84 $0.87 3.47% Stop
1979-11-14 1980-05-23 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.04 4.03% Interest Income
1979-11-02 1979-11-14 Completed 100% $0.72 $0.69 -3.81% Signal
1979-10-11 1979-11-02 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.48% Interest Income
1979-06-06 1979-10-11 Completed 100% $0.82 $0.74 -9.48% Stop
1978-11-02 1979-06-06 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.05 4.53% Interest Income
1978-10-12 1978-11-02 Completed 100% $0.78 $0.74 -5.84% Signal
1978-09-20 1978-10-12 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.48% Interest Income
1978-06-05 1978-09-20 Completed 100% $0.85 $0.78 -8.19% Stop
1978-02-17 1978-06-05 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.02 2.21% Interest Income
1978-02-03 1978-02-17 Completed 100% $0.76 $0.71 -6.93% Stop
1977-11-15 1978-02-03 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.02 1.66% Interest Income
1977-07-08 1977-11-15 Completed 100% $0.85 $0.84 -1.67% Signal
1977-01-26 1977-07-08 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.03 3.44% Interest Income
1976-06-21 1977-01-26 Completed 100% $0.80 $0.75 -6.65% Stop
1976-04-20 1976-06-21 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.01 1.29% Interest Income
1976-03-29 1976-04-20 Completed 100% $0.79 $0.69 -13.09% Signal
1976-03-05 1976-03-29 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.48% Interest Income
1976-01-19 1976-03-05 Completed 100% $0.90 $0.76 -15.97% Stop
1975-09-22 1976-01-19 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.02 2.48% Interest Income
1975-08-15 1975-09-22 Completed 100% $0.71 $0.70 -1.55% Signal
1975-07-24 1975-08-15 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.48% Interest Income
1975-02-04 1975-07-24 Completed 100% $0.66 $0.81 21.94% Stop
1974-08-14 1975-02-04 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.04 3.62% Interest Income