DASHBOARDS: Portfolio Hub Market Pulse Performance
BLV Vanguard Long-term Bond Index Fund ETF
TREND FOLLOWING PERFORMANCE HISTORY
2026-05-31
Executive Summary
The quantitative backtest for BLV (Vanguard Long-term Bond Index Fund ETF) using the Excess Return MMA CA* strategy in a Investing context demonstrated its primary role in risk mitigation, experiencing a maximum drawdown of -14.0% (compared to the benchmark's drawdown of -38.3%). Over the evaluated period, this protective approach generated a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 5.0%, compared to a Buy-and-Hold benchmark return of 4.2%. The strategy executed 58 total trades.

* Excess Return MMA CA: Multi-Moving Average (Triple-Band) model utilizing sophisticated long/short cross durations optimized against volatility, with a month-end dynamic Cash Alternative sleeve rotation.

BLV Quality Metrics & KPI Summary

Metric1Y5Y10YFull History
StrategyB&HStrategyB&HStrategyB&HStrategyB&H
CAGR2.13%6.36%0.02%-3.10%3.17%1.16%4.95%4.15%
Sharpe Ratio0.640.760.00-0.240.460.100.620.36
Max Drawdown-2.11%-5.73%-8.46%-36.27%-11.61%-38.29%-13.98%-38.29%
% Time Invested92.9%100.0%65.4%100.0%78.3%100.0%85.5%100.0%
Trades / Year2.00.03.80.03.40.03.40.0

Cumulative Growth Performance

Return Distribution Analysis

Return Distribution

Trade History

This log shows every signal-driven transition. Completed trades reflect standard market cycles. An Open / Mark-to-Market exit denotes a position currently held active, valued at the latest price. Interest entries record cash yields accrued during out-of-market periods.

Entry DateExit DateTypeAllocationEntry PriceExit PriceNet Return %Exit Reason
Pending (2026-05-30) Pending Buy 33.33% % Pending Next-Day Open
Pending (2026-05-30) Pending Buy 33.33% % Pending Next-Day Open
2026-05-21 Open Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Mark-to-Market
2026-05-04 Open Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.35% Mark-to-Market
2026-05-04 Open Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.35% Mark-to-Market
2025-10-29 2026-05-21 Completed 33.33% $70.56 $67.10 -4.90% Signal
2026-03-03 2026-05-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.60% Interest Income
2026-03-03 2026-05-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.60% Interest Income
2026-02-09 2026-03-02 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.17% Interest Income
2025-08-22 2026-03-02 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.02 2.35% Interest Income
2025-09-10 2026-02-09 Completed 33.33% $68.74 $68.78 0.07% Signal
2025-06-03 2025-10-29 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.02 2.16% Interest Income
2025-06-03 2025-09-10 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 1.44% Interest Income
2025-05-07 2025-08-22 Completed 33.33% $65.21 $66.64 2.20% Signal
2025-05-02 2025-06-02 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.32% Interest Income
2025-05-02 2025-06-02 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.32% Interest Income
2025-05-02 2025-05-07 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.04% Interest Income
2025-04-14 2025-05-01 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 1.11% Interest Income
2025-03-06 2025-05-01 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.41% Interest Income
2024-12-19 2025-05-01 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.02 1.54% Interest Income
2025-03-12 2025-04-14 Completed 33.33% $66.17 $64.47 -2.57% Stop
2024-11-04 2025-03-12 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.02 1.85% Interest Income
2025-02-03 2025-03-06 Completed 33.33% $65.14 $66.66 2.33% Signal
2025-01-08 2025-02-03 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.29% Interest Income
2024-11-20 2025-01-08 Completed 33.33% $65.46 $63.11 -3.59% Stop
2024-11-20 2024-12-19 Completed 33.33% $65.46 $64.65 -1.25% Signal
2024-10-29 2024-11-20 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.30% Interest Income
2024-10-29 2024-11-20 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.30% Interest Income
2024-08-05 2024-11-04 Completed 33.33% $68.94 $66.40 -3.70% Stop
2024-08-05 2024-10-29 Completed 33.33% $68.94 $65.74 -4.64% Stop
2024-04-18 2024-10-29 Completed 33.33% $62.10 $65.74 5.87% Stop
2024-08-02 2024-08-05 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.09% Interest Income
2024-08-02 2024-08-05 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.09% Interest Income
2024-05-10 2024-08-01 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 1.29% Interest Income
2023-06-02 2024-08-01 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.08 7.87% Interest Income
2024-05-08 2024-05-10 Completed 33.33% $63.26 $63.26 -0.00% Signal
2024-04-16 2024-05-08 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.45% Interest Income
2023-08-17 2024-04-18 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.05 4.60% Interest Income
2024-01-19 2024-04-16 Completed 33.33% $64.38 $61.44 -4.56% Stop
2023-06-02 2024-01-19 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.04 4.15% Interest Income
2023-06-22 2023-08-17 Completed 33.33% $65.03 $61.10 -6.04% Stop
2023-06-02 2023-06-22 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.32% Interest Income
2023-05-25 2023-06-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.16% Interest Income
2023-05-25 2023-06-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.16% Interest Income
2023-05-22 2023-06-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.17% Interest Income
2023-04-10 2023-05-25 Completed 33.33% $66.97 $63.52 -5.15% Stop
2023-04-10 2023-05-25 Completed 33.33% $66.97 $63.52 -5.15% Stop
2023-02-06 2023-05-22 Completed 33.33% $66.14 $63.79 -3.55% Signal
2023-04-04 2023-04-10 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.09% Interest Income
2023-04-04 2023-04-10 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.09% Interest Income
2022-12-02 2023-04-03 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.02 1.87% Interest Income
2022-12-02 2023-04-03 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.02 1.87% Interest Income
2022-12-02 2023-02-06 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 1.41% Interest Income
2022-10-04 2022-12-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.52% Interest Income
2022-10-04 2022-12-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.52% Interest Income
2022-10-04 2022-12-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.52% Interest Income
2022-09-02 2022-10-03 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.05% Interest Income
2022-09-02 2022-10-03 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.05% Interest Income
2022-09-02 2022-10-03 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.05% Interest Income
2022-03-14 2022-09-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.37% Interest Income
2022-03-02 2022-09-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.37% Interest Income
2022-03-02 2022-09-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.37% Interest Income
2022-02-10 2022-03-14 Completed 33.33% $79.18 $75.22 -5.01% Signal
2022-01-04 2022-03-01 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2022-01-04 2022-03-01 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2022-01-19 2022-02-10 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.05% Interest Income
2021-07-08 2022-01-19 Completed 33.33% $85.54 $81.28 -4.99% Stop
2021-12-21 2022-01-03 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.01% Interest Income
2021-11-18 2022-01-03 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.01% Interest Income
2021-07-08 2021-12-21 Completed 33.33% $85.54 $85.14 -0.47% Signal
2021-03-22 2021-11-18 Completed 33.33% $78.15 $84.22 7.77% Signal
2021-05-04 2021-07-08 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.15% Interest Income
2021-05-04 2021-07-08 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.15% Interest Income
2021-04-05 2021-05-03 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.01% Interest Income
2021-04-05 2021-05-03 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.01% Interest Income
2021-02-26 2021-04-01 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.11% Interest Income
2020-12-07 2021-04-01 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.20% Interest Income
2021-02-26 2021-03-22 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.06% Interest Income
2021-02-05 2021-02-26 Completed 33.33% $84.22 $80.40 -4.54% Stop
2021-02-05 2021-02-26 Completed 33.33% $84.22 $80.40 -4.54% Stop
2021-01-13 2021-02-05 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.14% Interest Income
2021-01-13 2021-02-05 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.14% Interest Income
2020-04-03 2021-01-13 Completed 33.33% $80.83 $84.99 5.14% Stop
2020-04-03 2021-01-13 Completed 33.33% $80.83 $84.99 5.14% Stop
2020-04-03 2020-12-07 Completed 33.33% $80.83 $86.73 7.30% Signal
2020-03-12 2020-04-03 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.14% Interest Income
2020-03-12 2020-04-03 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.14% Interest Income
2020-03-12 2020-04-03 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.14% Interest Income
2018-12-11 2020-03-12 Completed 33.33% $62.48 $79.54 27.31% Stop
2018-12-11 2020-03-12 Completed 33.33% $62.48 $79.54 27.31% Stop
2018-12-11 2020-03-12 Completed 33.33% $62.48 $79.54 27.31% Stop
2018-12-04 2018-12-11 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.05% Interest Income
2018-12-04 2018-12-11 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.05% Interest Income
2018-12-04 2018-12-11 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.05% Interest Income
2018-11-02 2018-12-03 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.16% Interest Income
2018-11-02 2018-12-03 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.16% Interest Income
2018-11-02 2018-12-03 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.16% Interest Income
2018-10-24 2018-11-01 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.03% Interest Income
2018-10-16 2018-11-01 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2018-04-18 2018-11-01 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 1.23% Interest Income
2018-05-18 2018-10-24 Completed 33.33% $61.35 $61.21 -0.23% Signal
2018-08-28 2018-10-16 Completed 33.33% $63.74 $61.56 -3.42% Signal
2018-02-27 2018-08-28 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 1.19% Interest Income
2018-04-26 2018-05-18 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.17% Interest Income
2016-12-05 2018-04-26 Completed 33.33% $58.95 $62.06 5.27% Stop
2017-07-31 2018-04-18 Completed 33.33% $63.72 $63.87 0.24% Signal
2017-04-28 2018-02-27 Completed 33.33% $61.65 $62.94 2.10% Signal
2017-05-02 2017-07-31 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.44% Interest Income
2017-04-04 2017-05-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.06% Interest Income
2017-04-04 2017-04-28 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2017-02-07 2017-04-03 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.23% Interest Income
2016-11-10 2017-04-03 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.67% Interest Income
2016-12-05 2017-02-07 Completed 33.33% $58.95 $60.38 2.42% Signal
2016-11-10 2016-12-05 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.18% Interest Income
2016-11-10 2016-12-05 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.18% Interest Income
2016-02-22 2016-11-10 Completed 33.33% $58.53 $60.81 3.90% Stop
2015-12-03 2016-11-10 Completed 33.33% $57.11 $60.81 6.47% Stop
2015-06-04 2016-11-10 Completed 33.33% $56.06 $60.81 8.47% Stop
2016-02-02 2016-02-22 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.05% Interest Income
2016-01-28 2016-02-01 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.07% Interest Income
2015-10-21 2016-01-28 Completed 33.33% $57.62 $57.16 -0.81% Signal
2015-11-03 2015-12-03 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.19% Interest Income
2015-09-02 2015-11-02 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.02% Interest Income
2015-09-02 2015-10-21 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.04% Interest Income
2015-08-19 2015-09-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2015-08-04 2015-09-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2015-06-04 2015-08-19 Completed 33.33% $56.06 $56.94 1.58% Signal
2015-07-02 2015-08-03 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2015-06-08 2015-07-01 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.01% Interest Income
2015-06-04 2015-06-08 Completed 33.33% $56.06 $55.83 -0.41% Signal
2015-05-12 2015-06-04 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.02% Interest Income
2015-05-12 2015-06-04 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.02% Interest Income
2015-05-12 2015-06-04 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.02% Interest Income
2015-03-31 2015-05-12 Completed 33.33% $60.21 $56.38 -6.36% Stop
2015-03-31 2015-05-12 Completed 33.33% $60.21 $56.38 -6.36% Stop
2015-03-31 2015-05-12 Completed 33.33% $60.21 $56.38 -6.36% Stop
2015-03-09 2015-03-31 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.08% Interest Income
2015-03-09 2015-03-31 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.08% Interest Income
2015-03-09 2015-03-31 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.08% Interest Income
2014-08-12 2015-03-09 Completed 33.33% $55.27 $58.44 5.74% Stop
2014-03-28 2015-03-09 Completed 33.33% $52.34 $58.44 11.66% Stop
2013-12-17 2015-03-09 Completed 33.33% $49.05 $58.44 19.15% Stop
2014-05-02 2014-08-12 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.23% Interest Income
2014-04-02 2014-05-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2014-03-04 2014-04-01 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2014-03-04 2014-03-28 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.08% Interest Income
2014-02-04 2014-03-03 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.03% Interest Income
2014-02-04 2014-03-03 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.03% Interest Income
2014-01-03 2014-02-03 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.06% Interest Income
2014-01-03 2014-02-03 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.06% Interest Income
2013-12-03 2014-01-02 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.02% Interest Income
2013-12-03 2014-01-02 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.02% Interest Income
2013-12-03 2013-12-17 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2013-11-04 2013-12-02 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.10% Interest Income
2013-08-02 2013-12-02 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.08% Interest Income
2013-08-02 2013-12-02 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.08% Interest Income
2013-06-25 2013-11-04 Completed 33.33% $48.27 $49.59 2.75% Signal
2013-07-02 2013-08-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.00% Interest Income
2013-07-02 2013-08-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.00% Interest Income
2013-06-25 2013-07-01 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.10% Interest Income
2013-04-24 2013-07-01 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.07% Interest Income
2013-06-03 2013-06-25 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.02% Interest Income
2013-05-29 2013-06-25 Completed 33.33% $51.83 $48.27 -6.87% Stop
2010-12-06 2013-06-03 Completed 33.33% $40.58 $51.52 26.94% Stop
2013-01-31 2013-05-29 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.39% Interest Income
2011-07-21 2013-04-24 Completed 33.33% $42.56 $54.47 27.99% Signal
2011-05-10 2013-01-31 Completed 33.33% $42.02 $52.13 24.07% Signal
2011-04-04 2011-07-21 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.00% Interest Income
2011-04-04 2011-05-10 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.01% Interest Income
2011-03-28 2011-04-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2011-03-02 2011-04-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2010-12-06 2011-03-28 Completed 33.33% $40.58 $40.51 -0.18% Signal
2011-01-04 2011-03-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.01% Interest Income
2010-12-30 2011-01-03 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2010-12-06 2010-12-30 Completed 33.33% $40.58 $40.30 -0.70% Signal
2010-11-11 2010-12-06 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2010-11-11 2010-12-06 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2010-11-11 2010-12-06 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2010-04-13 2010-11-11 Completed 33.33% $37.86 $41.16 8.70% Stop
2009-04-02 2010-11-11 Completed 33.33% $34.24 $41.16 20.20% Stop
2009-04-02 2010-11-11 Completed 33.33% $34.24 $41.16 20.20% Stop
2010-04-05 2010-04-13 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.04% Interest Income
2010-03-02 2010-04-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.04% Interest Income
2010-02-26 2010-03-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.04% Interest Income
2009-07-21 2010-02-26 Completed 33.33% $34.90 $37.61 7.78% Signal
2009-07-02 2009-07-21 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.02% Interest Income
2009-06-02 2009-07-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.03% Interest Income
2009-05-18 2009-06-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.01% Interest Income
2009-04-02 2009-05-18 Completed 33.33% $34.24 $34.76 1.51% Signal
2009-03-31 2009-04-02 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2009-03-31 2009-04-02 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2009-03-31 2009-04-02 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income