EFV
iShares MSCI Eafe Value ETF
TREND FOLLOWING PERFORMANCE HISTORY
2026-07-26
Executive Summary
The quantitative backtest for EFV (iShares MSCI Eafe Value ETF) using the Excess Return MMA* strategy in a Investing context demonstrated its primary role in risk mitigation, experiencing a maximum drawdown of -20.4% (compared to the benchmark's drawdown of -63.9%). Over the evaluated period, this protective approach generated a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 5.7%, compared to a Buy-and-Hold benchmark return of 4.4%. The strategy executed 56 total trades.
* Excess Return MMA: Multi-Moving Average (Triple-Band) model utilizing sophisticated long/short cross durations optimized against volatility.
* Excess Return MMA: Multi-Moving Average (Triple-Band) model utilizing sophisticated long/short cross durations optimized against volatility.
📊 Mathematical Model
Excess Return MMA Active
Advanced Ensemble: Uses multiple signal layers for maximum trend stability and noise reduction.
Excess Return MMA CA
Advanced Dynamic Sleeve: MMA ensemble signals on the primary asset combined with a momentum-based cash alternative ETF rotation.
Excess Return SMA
Standard Signal: Classical quantitative trend following optimized for reliable directionality.
Moving Average (50/200)
Moving Average: The baseline 50/200-day crossover model used by technical analysts worldwide.
EFV Quality Metrics & KPI Summary
| Metric | 1Y | 5Y | 10Y | Full History | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strategy | B&H | Strategy | B&H | Strategy | B&H | Strategy | B&H | |
| CAGR | 27.00% | 27.00% | 7.30% | 13.88% | 7.10% | 10.41% | 5.74% | 4.36% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.68 | 1.68 | 0.59 | 0.82 | 0.63 | 0.57 | 0.44 | 0.19 |
| Max Drawdown | -10.90% | -10.90% | -19.75% | -25.84% | -20.35% | -43.16% | -20.35% | -63.94% |
| % Time Invested | 100.0% | 100.0% | 93.9% | 100.0% | 91.5% | 100.0% | 87.3% | 100.0% |
| Trades / Year | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 |
Cumulative Growth Performance
Return Distribution Analysis
Trade History
This log shows every signal-driven transition. Completed trades reflect standard market cycles. An Open or Mark-to-Market exit denotes an active position (either in the primary asset or a cash/yield sleeve) valued at the current price for reporting purposes. Interest entries record yield accrued from cash or cash alternatives (like BIL) during out-of-market defensive periods.
| Entry Date | Exit Date | Type | Allocation | Entry Price | Exit Price | Net Return % | Exit Reason | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🔒 Active Positions & Recent Execution Signals Hidden Trading on delayed data carries high execution risk. Current allocations, pending next-day rebalances, and active execution signals (last 60 days) require a Premium subscription. Upgrade to Pro to Unlock | ||||||||
| 2025-04-08 | 2025-05-01 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.27% | Interest Income | |
| 2025-04-08 | 2025-05-01 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.27% | Interest Income | |
| 2025-03-14 | 2025-04-08 | Completed | 33.33% | $55.24 | $50.78 | -8.11% | Stop | |
| 2023-03-10 | 2025-04-08 | Completed | 33.33% | $41.08 | $50.78 | 23.56% | Stop | |
| 2024-12-23 | 2025-03-14 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 0.91% | Interest Income | |
| 2024-01-09 | 2024-12-23 | Completed | 33.33% | $46.21 | $48.31 | 4.50% | Signal | |
| 2023-10-24 | 2024-01-09 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 1.11% | Interest Income | |
| 2022-12-27 | 2023-10-24 | Completed | 33.33% | $39.17 | $41.22 | 5.17% | Signal | |
| 2022-09-29 | 2023-10-10 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.05 | 5.06% | Interest Income | |
| 2022-06-13 | 2023-03-10 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.03 | 2.69% | Interest Income | |
| 2022-06-13 | 2022-12-27 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.02 | 1.75% | Interest Income | |
| 2022-07-11 | 2022-09-29 | Completed | 33.33% | $35.66 | $32.52 | -8.87% | Signal | |
| 2022-06-15 | 2022-07-11 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.11% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-11-09 | 2022-06-15 | Completed | 33.33% | $34.26 | $37.47 | 9.33% | Stop | |
| 2022-05-31 | 2022-06-13 | Completed | 33.33% | $40.53 | $37.51 | -7.49% | Stop | |
| 2022-05-31 | 2022-06-13 | Completed | 33.33% | $40.53 | $37.51 | -7.49% | Stop | |
| 2022-04-21 | 2022-05-31 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.10% | Interest Income | |
| 2022-03-04 | 2022-05-31 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.17% | Interest Income | |
| 2022-03-30 | 2022-04-21 | Completed | 33.33% | $41.76 | $41.38 | -0.97% | Signal | |
| 2022-03-08 | 2022-03-30 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.03% | Interest Income | |
| 2022-02-10 | 2022-03-08 | Completed | 33.33% | $43.30 | $37.91 | -12.49% | Stop | |
| 2020-11-09 | 2022-03-04 | Completed | 33.33% | $34.26 | $38.57 | 12.53% | Signal | |
| 2021-09-21 | 2022-02-10 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.03% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-07-13 | 2021-09-21 | Completed | 33.33% | $31.65 | $40.85 | 29.02% | Signal | |
| 2020-04-14 | 2020-11-09 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.07% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-02-28 | 2020-11-09 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.11% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-03-02 | 2020-07-13 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.07% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-03-24 | 2020-04-14 | Completed | 33.33% | $25.50 | $28.46 | 11.57% | Signal | |
| 2020-03-02 | 2020-03-24 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.02% | Interest Income | |
| 2019-11-11 | 2020-03-02 | Completed | 33.33% | $37.37 | $33.35 | -10.80% | Stop | |
| 2019-09-13 | 2020-03-02 | Completed | 33.33% | $36.04 | $33.35 | -7.52% | Stop | |
| 2019-09-13 | 2020-02-28 | Completed | 33.33% | $36.04 | $32.94 | -8.65% | Stop | |
| 2019-10-11 | 2019-11-11 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.13% | Interest Income | |
| 2019-07-18 | 2019-10-11 | Completed | 33.33% | $35.80 | $35.80 | -0.03% | Signal | |
| 2019-07-19 | 2019-09-13 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.31% | Interest Income | |
| 2019-01-29 | 2019-09-13 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 1.42% | Interest Income | |
| 2019-03-29 | 2019-07-19 | Completed | 33.33% | $35.69 | $36.00 | 0.81% | Signal | |
| 2018-10-24 | 2019-07-18 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.02 | 1.71% | Interest Income | |
| 2018-10-24 | 2019-03-29 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 1.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2018-11-15 | 2019-01-29 | Completed | 33.33% | $34.60 | $34.95 | 0.96% | Signal | |
| 2018-10-24 | 2018-11-15 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.15% | Interest Income | |
| 2018-09-19 | 2018-10-24 | Completed | 33.33% | $37.17 | $34.91 | -6.13% | Stop | |
| 2018-09-19 | 2018-10-24 | Completed | 33.33% | $37.17 | $34.91 | -6.13% | Stop | |
| 2016-12-12 | 2018-10-24 | Completed | 33.33% | $32.21 | $34.91 | 8.31% | Stop | |
| 2018-07-26 | 2018-09-19 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.31% | Interest Income | |
| 2018-05-01 | 2018-09-19 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 0.77% | Interest Income | |
| 2016-09-09 | 2018-07-26 | Completed | 33.33% | $31.16 | $37.82 | 21.34% | Signal | |
| 2016-09-29 | 2018-05-01 | Completed | 33.33% | $30.95 | $39.02 | 26.02% | Signal | |
| 2015-12-14 | 2016-12-12 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.30% | Interest Income | |
| 2016-09-07 | 2016-09-29 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.02% | Interest Income | |
| 2015-10-23 | 2016-09-09 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.22% | Interest Income | |
| 2016-07-21 | 2016-09-07 | Completed | 33.33% | $29.46 | $31.38 | 6.49% | Signal | |
| 2016-06-28 | 2016-07-21 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.02% | Interest Income | |
| 2016-05-13 | 2016-06-28 | Completed | 33.33% | $29.25 | $27.70 | -5.36% | Stop | |
| 2015-12-14 | 2016-05-13 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.11% | Interest Income | |
| 2015-10-08 | 2015-12-14 | Completed | 33.33% | $31.67 | $29.85 | -5.78% | Stop | |
| 2015-10-08 | 2015-12-14 | Completed | 33.33% | $31.67 | $29.85 | -5.78% | Stop | |
| 2015-09-17 | 2015-10-23 | Completed | 33.33% | $31.59 | $32.52 | 2.90% | Signal | |
| 2015-08-18 | 2015-10-08 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2015-07-27 | 2015-10-08 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2015-08-25 | 2015-09-17 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2015-04-29 | 2015-08-25 | Completed | 33.33% | $35.42 | $31.01 | -12.50% | Stop | |
| 2015-03-26 | 2015-08-18 | Completed | 33.33% | $34.27 | $33.65 | -1.85% | Signal | |
| 2015-01-30 | 2015-07-27 | Completed | 33.33% | $32.46 | $33.66 | 3.65% | Signal | |
| 2014-12-08 | 2015-04-29 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2014-09-29 | 2015-03-26 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2015-01-07 | 2015-01-30 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2013-02-11 | 2015-01-07 | Completed | 33.33% | $29.43 | $31.24 | 6.08% | Stop | |
| 2014-11-04 | 2014-12-08 | Completed | 33.33% | $33.29 | $33.37 | 0.19% | Signal | |
| 2014-10-13 | 2014-11-04 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2012-11-09 | 2014-10-13 | Completed | 33.33% | $25.87 | $32.57 | 25.82% | Stop | |
| 2012-09-07 | 2014-09-29 | Completed | 33.33% | $26.16 | $34.10 | 30.27% | Signal | |
| 2012-04-13 | 2013-02-11 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.07% | Interest Income | |
| 2012-09-10 | 2012-11-09 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.02% | Interest Income | |
| 2012-05-18 | 2012-09-10 | Completed | 33.33% | $23.00 | $26.18 | 13.74% | Signal | |
| 2012-06-15 | 2012-09-07 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.02% | Interest Income | |
| 2012-06-08 | 2012-06-15 | Completed | 33.33% | $22.75 | $23.34 | 2.56% | Signal | |
| 2012-05-16 | 2012-06-08 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2011-09-19 | 2012-05-18 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.03% | Interest Income | |
| 2012-02-03 | 2012-05-16 | Completed | 33.33% | $25.78 | $23.45 | -9.11% | Stop | |
| 2011-12-19 | 2012-04-13 | Completed | 33.33% | $23.22 | $25.14 | 8.22% | Signal | |
| 2011-07-13 | 2012-02-03 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2011-11-25 | 2011-12-19 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2011-08-29 | 2011-11-25 | Completed | 33.33% | $24.81 | $22.04 | -11.23% | Stop | |
| 2011-08-29 | 2011-09-19 | Completed | 33.33% | $24.81 | $23.18 | -6.64% | Signal | |
| 2011-08-05 | 2011-08-29 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2011-08-05 | 2011-08-29 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2010-11-29 | 2011-08-05 | Completed | 33.33% | $25.40 | $25.61 | 0.77% | Stop | |
| 2010-06-01 | 2011-08-05 | Completed | 33.33% | $22.29 | $25.61 | 14.83% | Stop | |
| 2010-09-17 | 2011-07-13 | Completed | 33.33% | $25.38 | $27.57 | 8.56% | Signal | |
| 2010-06-22 | 2010-11-29 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.06% | Interest Income | |
| 2010-02-08 | 2010-09-17 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.09% | Interest Income | |
| 2010-06-01 | 2010-06-22 | Completed | 33.33% | $22.29 | $23.40 | 4.96% | Signal | |
| 2010-05-07 | 2010-06-01 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2010-05-07 | 2010-06-01 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2010-03-03 | 2010-05-07 | Completed | 33.33% | $25.34 | $23.22 | -8.44% | Stop | |
| 2009-03-19 | 2010-05-07 | Completed | 33.33% | $16.96 | $23.22 | 36.81% | Stop | |
| 2010-02-08 | 2010-03-03 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2009-03-19 | 2010-02-08 | Completed | 33.33% | $16.96 | $24.02 | 41.55% | Stop | |
| 2009-03-19 | 2010-02-08 | Completed | 33.33% | $16.96 | $24.02 | 41.55% | Stop | |
| 2008-07-14 | 2009-03-19 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.45% | Interest Income | |
| 2008-07-14 | 2009-03-19 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.45% | Interest Income | |
| 2007-12-28 | 2009-03-19 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 1.46% | Interest Income | |
| 2008-06-05 | 2008-07-14 | Completed | 33.33% | $33.01 | $29.13 | -11.79% | Stop | |
| 2008-02-12 | 2008-07-14 | Completed | 33.33% | $30.86 | $29.13 | -5.64% | Stop | |
| 2008-01-18 | 2008-06-05 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 0.64% | Interest Income | |
| 2008-01-18 | 2008-02-12 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.14% | Interest Income | |
| 2007-12-03 | 2008-01-18 | Completed | 33.33% | $35.94 | $32.28 | -10.21% | Stop | |
| 2007-08-02 | 2008-01-18 | Completed | 33.33% | $35.31 | $32.28 | -8.62% | Stop | |
| 2007-08-02 | 2007-12-28 | Completed | 33.33% | $35.31 | $35.24 | -0.26% | Signal | |
| 2007-09-10 | 2007-12-03 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 0.87% | Interest Income | |
| 2007-08-02 | 2007-09-10 | Completed | 33.33% | $35.31 | $34.37 | -2.70% | Signal | |
| 2007-07-31 | 2007-08-02 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.02% | Interest Income | |
| 2007-07-31 | 2007-08-02 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.02% | Interest Income | |
| 2007-07-31 | 2007-08-02 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.02% | Interest Income | |