IUSB
iShares Core Total USD Bond Market ETF
TREND FOLLOWING PERFORMANCE HISTORY
2026-07-26
Executive Summary
The quantitative backtest for IUSB (iShares Core Total USD Bond Market ETF) using the Excess Return MMA* strategy in a Investing context demonstrated its primary role in risk mitigation, experiencing a maximum drawdown of -6.1% (compared to the benchmark's drawdown of -17.9%). Over the evaluated period, this protective approach generated a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 2.7%, compared to a Buy-and-Hold benchmark return of 1.9%. The strategy executed 20 total trades.
* Excess Return MMA: Multi-Moving Average (Triple-Band) model utilizing sophisticated long/short cross durations optimized against volatility.
* Excess Return MMA: Multi-Moving Average (Triple-Band) model utilizing sophisticated long/short cross durations optimized against volatility.
📊 Mathematical Model
Excess Return MMA Active
Advanced Ensemble: Uses multiple signal layers for maximum trend stability and noise reduction.
Excess Return MMA CA
Advanced Dynamic Sleeve: MMA ensemble signals on the primary asset combined with a momentum-based cash alternative ETF rotation.
Excess Return SMA
Standard Signal: Classical quantitative trend following optimized for reliable directionality.
Moving Average (50/200)
Moving Average: The baseline 50/200-day crossover model used by technical analysts worldwide.
IUSB Quality Metrics & KPI Summary
| Metric | 1Y | 5Y | 10Y | Full History | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strategy | B&H | Strategy | B&H | Strategy | B&H | Strategy | B&H | |
| CAGR | 4.59% | 3.40% | 2.59% | 0.05% | 2.54% | 1.71% | 2.66% | 1.87% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.51 | 0.94 | 1.02 | 0.01 | 0.87 | 0.34 | 0.91 | 0.37 |
| Max Drawdown | -2.09% | -2.53% | -4.00% | -17.87% | -6.13% | -17.90% | -6.13% | -17.90% |
| % Time Invested | 100.0% | 100.0% | 67.3% | 100.0% | 78.8% | 100.0% | 79.0% | 100.0% |
| Trades / Year | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 |
Cumulative Growth Performance
Return Distribution Analysis
Trade History
This log shows every signal-driven transition. Completed trades reflect standard market cycles. An Open or Mark-to-Market exit denotes an active position (either in the primary asset or a cash/yield sleeve) valued at the current price for reporting purposes. Interest entries record yield accrued from cash or cash alternatives (like BIL) during out-of-market defensive periods.
| Entry Date | Exit Date | Type | Allocation | Entry Price | Exit Price | Net Return % | Exit Reason | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🔒 Active Positions & Recent Execution Signals Hidden Trading on delayed data carries high execution risk. Current allocations, pending next-day rebalances, and active execution signals (last 60 days) require a Premium subscription. Upgrade to Pro to Unlock | ||||||||
| 2025-04-28 | 2026-03-17 | Completed | 33.33% | $43.53 | $45.76 | 5.06% | Signal | |
| 2025-03-24 | 2025-06-27 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 1.12% | Interest Income | |
| 2024-12-23 | 2025-04-28 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 1.42% | Interest Income | |
| 2024-04-15 | 2025-03-24 | Completed | 33.33% | $40.53 | $43.45 | 7.16% | Signal | |
| 2024-08-05 | 2024-12-23 | Completed | 33.33% | $43.29 | $42.44 | -2.01% | Signal | |
| 2024-05-09 | 2024-08-05 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 1.25% | Interest Income | |
| 2022-02-23 | 2024-08-05 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.11 | 10.80% | Interest Income | |
| 2024-01-19 | 2024-05-09 | Completed | 33.33% | $41.05 | $40.98 | -0.22% | Signal | |
| 2022-02-15 | 2024-04-15 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.09 | 9.02% | Interest Income | |
| 2023-05-19 | 2024-01-19 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.04 | 3.62% | Interest Income | |
| 2023-02-10 | 2023-05-19 | Completed | 33.33% | $39.97 | $40.01 | 0.05% | Signal | |
| 2021-11-30 | 2023-02-10 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.03 | 2.59% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-04-06 | 2022-02-23 | Completed | 33.33% | $42.94 | $43.22 | 0.59% | Signal | |
| 2021-09-23 | 2022-02-15 | Completed | 33.33% | $45.44 | $43.17 | -5.05% | Signal | |
| 2021-07-19 | 2021-11-30 | Completed | 33.33% | $45.44 | $45.07 | -0.88% | Signal | |
| 2021-05-03 | 2021-09-23 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.02% | Interest Income | |
| 2021-03-18 | 2021-07-19 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-04-06 | 2021-05-03 | Completed | 33.33% | $42.94 | $44.59 | 3.78% | Signal | |
| 2020-04-06 | 2021-03-18 | Completed | 33.33% | $42.94 | $44.03 | 2.50% | Signal | |
| 2020-03-13 | 2020-04-06 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-03-13 | 2020-04-06 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-03-13 | 2020-04-06 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2018-12-07 | 2020-03-13 | Completed | 33.33% | $38.42 | $41.76 | 8.63% | Stop | |
| 2018-12-07 | 2020-03-13 | Completed | 33.33% | $38.42 | $41.76 | 8.63% | Stop | |
| 2018-12-07 | 2020-03-13 | Completed | 33.33% | $38.42 | $41.76 | 8.63% | Stop | |
| 2018-10-22 | 2018-12-07 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.30% | Interest Income | |
| 2018-05-23 | 2018-12-07 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 1.16% | Interest Income | |
| 2018-03-08 | 2018-12-07 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.02 | 1.54% | Interest Income | |
| 2018-09-11 | 2018-10-22 | Completed | 33.33% | $38.40 | $38.05 | -0.98% | Signal | |
| 2018-01-16 | 2018-09-11 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 1.20% | Interest Income | |
| 2016-06-07 | 2018-05-23 | Completed | 33.33% | $37.78 | $37.99 | 0.50% | Signal | |
| 2017-03-23 | 2018-03-08 | Completed | 33.33% | $37.84 | $38.14 | 0.75% | Signal | |
| 2017-03-23 | 2018-01-16 | Completed | 33.33% | $37.84 | $38.84 | 2.60% | Signal | |
| 2017-02-17 | 2017-03-23 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.06% | Interest Income | |
| 2016-12-02 | 2017-03-23 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.17% | Interest Income | |
| 2016-06-07 | 2017-02-17 | Completed | 33.33% | $37.78 | $37.70 | -0.26% | Signal | |
| 2016-06-07 | 2016-12-02 | Completed | 33.33% | $37.78 | $37.33 | -1.23% | Signal | |
| 2016-06-03 | 2016-06-07 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2016-06-03 | 2016-06-07 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2016-06-03 | 2016-06-07 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |