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DASHBOARDS: Portfolio Hub Market Pulse Performance

VMBS

Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities Index Fund ETF
TREND FOLLOWING PERFORMANCE HISTORY
2026-07-26
Executive Summary
The quantitative backtest for VMBS (Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities Index Fund ETF) using the Excess Return MMA* strategy in a Trading context demonstrated its primary role in risk mitigation, experiencing a maximum drawdown of -5.3% (compared to the benchmark's drawdown of -17.5%). Over the evaluated period, this protective approach generated a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 2.1%, compared to a Buy-and-Hold benchmark return of 1.9%. The strategy executed 93 total trades.

* Excess Return MMA: Multi-Moving Average (Triple-Band) model utilizing sophisticated long/short cross durations optimized against volatility.

VMBS Quality Metrics & KPI Summary

Metric1Y5Y10YFull History
StrategyB&HStrategyB&HStrategyB&HStrategyB&H
CAGR4.46%4.82%2.94%0.35%2.16%1.27%2.08%1.94%
Sharpe Ratio1.351.110.890.050.690.230.740.42
Max Drawdown-2.36%-2.68%-3.20%-17.12%-5.30%-17.46%-5.30%-17.46%
% Time Invested90.5%100.0%69.3%100.0%76.8%100.0%83.3%100.0%
Trades / Year6.00.06.20.05.90.05.80.0

Cumulative Growth Performance

Return Distribution Analysis

Return Distribution

Trade History

This log shows every signal-driven transition. Completed trades reflect standard market cycles. An Open or Mark-to-Market exit denotes an active position (either in the primary asset or a cash/yield sleeve) valued at the current price for reporting purposes. Interest entries record yield accrued from cash or cash alternatives (like BIL) during out-of-market defensive periods.

Entry DateExit DateTypeAllocationEntry PriceExit PriceNet Return %Exit Reason
🔒 Active Positions & Recent Execution Signals Hidden
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2025-08-21 2026-05-19 Completed 33.33% $44.50 $45.73 2.70% Signal
2026-04-23 2026-05-14 Completed 33.33% $46.61 $46.56 -0.15% Signal
2026-03-23 2026-04-23 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.32% Interest Income
2026-01-08 2026-03-31 Completed 33.33% $46.17 $46.32 0.28% Signal
2025-12-15 2026-03-23 Completed 33.33% $45.89 $46.07 0.36% Signal
2025-12-15 2026-01-08 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.23% Interest Income
2025-11-19 2025-12-15 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.25% Interest Income
2025-06-27 2025-12-15 Completed 33.33% $44.15 $45.89 3.88% Signal
2025-06-23 2025-11-19 Completed 33.33% $43.81 $45.76 4.41% Signal
2025-07-29 2025-08-21 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.29% Interest Income
2025-04-22 2025-07-29 Completed 33.33% $43.20 $44.13 2.11% Signal
2025-05-02 2025-06-27 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.65% Interest Income
2025-04-11 2025-06-23 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.82% Interest Income
2025-02-26 2025-05-02 Completed 33.33% $43.55 $43.71 0.32% Signal
2024-12-20 2025-04-22 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 1.37% Interest Income
2025-02-07 2025-04-11 Completed 33.33% $42.95 $42.78 -0.43% Signal
2024-10-23 2025-02-26 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 1.46% Interest Income
2024-12-31 2025-02-07 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.42% Interest Income
2024-12-09 2024-12-31 Completed 33.33% $43.23 $42.60 -1.51% Signal
2024-07-12 2024-12-20 Completed 33.33% $42.11 $42.63 1.18% Signal
2024-10-11 2024-12-09 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.72% Interest Income
2024-06-07 2024-10-23 Completed 33.33% $41.35 $42.74 3.30% Signal
2024-05-20 2024-10-11 Completed 33.33% $41.18 $43.12 4.66% Signal
2024-05-09 2024-07-12 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.91% Interest Income
2024-02-20 2024-06-07 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.02 1.62% Interest Income
2024-04-09 2024-05-20 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.61% Interest Income
2024-01-24 2024-05-09 Completed 33.33% $41.41 $40.85 -1.40% Signal
2024-03-25 2024-04-09 Completed 33.33% $41.41 $41.03 -0.98% Signal
2024-01-29 2024-03-25 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.82% Interest Income
2023-11-30 2024-02-20 Completed 33.33% $40.18 $40.92 1.79% Signal
2023-11-16 2024-01-29 Completed 33.33% $39.56 $41.42 4.63% Signal
2023-05-16 2024-01-24 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.04 3.74% Interest Income
2023-05-24 2023-11-30 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.03 2.83% Interest Income
2023-05-03 2023-11-16 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.03 2.95% Interest Income
2023-04-14 2023-05-24 Completed 33.33% $40.91 $40.53 -0.99% Signal
2023-02-13 2023-05-16 Completed 33.33% $40.53 $40.77 0.53% Signal
2023-03-28 2023-05-03 Completed 33.33% $40.53 $41.17 1.53% Signal
2023-03-03 2023-04-14 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.55% Interest Income
2023-02-23 2023-03-28 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.43% Interest Income
2022-12-02 2023-03-03 Completed 33.33% $40.12 $39.77 -0.91% Signal
2023-02-08 2023-02-23 Completed 33.33% $40.76 $40.11 -1.64% Signal
2021-11-09 2023-02-13 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.03 2.61% Interest Income
2023-01-17 2023-02-08 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.29% Interest Income
2022-11-17 2023-01-17 Completed 33.33% $39.38 $40.81 3.58% Signal
2022-09-14 2022-12-02 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.86% Interest Income
2022-08-31 2022-11-17 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.79% Interest Income
2022-08-01 2022-09-14 Completed 33.33% $42.38 $40.22 -5.14% Signal
2022-07-19 2022-08-31 Completed 33.33% $41.33 $41.11 -0.58% Signal
2021-09-29 2022-08-01 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.54% Interest Income
2022-06-17 2022-07-19 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.15% Interest Income
2022-06-02 2022-06-17 Completed 33.33% $41.64 $40.42 -2.98% Signal
2021-10-01 2022-06-02 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.24% Interest Income
2021-08-27 2021-11-09 Completed 33.33% $45.36 $45.32 -0.15% Signal
2021-09-22 2021-10-01 Completed 33.33% $45.33 $45.33 -0.06% Signal
2021-07-28 2021-09-29 Completed 33.33% $45.42 $45.24 -0.46% Signal
2021-08-30 2021-09-22 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2021-07-16 2021-08-30 Completed 33.33% $45.31 $45.42 0.20% Signal
2021-03-31 2021-08-27 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2021-06-14 2021-07-28 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2021-05-24 2021-07-16 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2021-05-07 2021-06-14 Completed 33.33% $45.46 $45.27 -0.46% Signal
2021-04-22 2021-05-24 Completed 33.33% $45.45 $45.23 -0.52% Signal
2021-03-01 2021-05-07 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2021-02-23 2021-04-22 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2021-01-22 2021-03-31 Completed 33.33% $45.66 $45.12 -1.25% Signal
2020-12-02 2021-03-01 Completed 33.33% $45.57 $45.42 -0.38% Signal
2020-11-18 2021-02-23 Completed 33.33% $45.51 $45.45 -0.17% Signal
2020-11-23 2021-01-22 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2020-10-09 2020-12-02 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2018-12-07 2020-11-23 Completed 33.33% $40.95 $45.47 10.96% Signal
2020-09-18 2020-11-18 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2020-08-11 2020-10-09 Completed 33.33% $45.60 $45.42 -0.46% Signal
2020-08-03 2020-09-18 Completed 33.33% $45.57 $45.50 -0.20% Signal
2020-07-16 2020-08-11 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2020-06-26 2020-08-03 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2020-04-14 2020-07-16 Completed 33.33% $45.05 $45.46 0.86% Signal
2020-04-14 2020-06-26 Completed 33.33% $45.05 $45.45 0.84% Signal
2020-03-20 2020-04-14 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2020-03-20 2020-04-14 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2019-11-27 2020-03-20 Completed 33.33% $43.90 $43.35 -1.32% Stop
2018-12-07 2020-03-20 Completed 33.33% $40.95 $43.35 5.79% Stop
2019-11-05 2019-11-27 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.10% Interest Income
2019-05-24 2019-11-05 Completed 33.33% $42.57 $43.89 3.04% Signal
2019-05-02 2019-05-24 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.15% Interest Income
2018-11-30 2019-05-02 Completed 33.33% $40.77 $42.31 3.74% Signal
2018-10-10 2018-12-07 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.37% Interest Income
2018-09-20 2018-12-07 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.49% Interest Income
2018-09-18 2018-11-30 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.47% Interest Income
2018-08-21 2018-10-10 Completed 33.33% $40.87 $40.30 -1.44% Signal
2018-06-27 2018-09-20 Completed 33.33% $40.68 $40.50 -0.49% Signal
2018-08-29 2018-09-18 Completed 33.33% $40.84 $40.64 -0.54% Signal
2018-08-07 2018-08-29 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.13% Interest Income
2017-12-21 2018-08-21 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 1.17% Interest Income
2018-06-08 2018-08-07 Completed 33.33% $40.49 $40.72 0.53% Signal
2018-05-10 2018-06-27 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.25% Interest Income
2018-04-27 2018-06-08 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.22% Interest Income
2018-04-17 2018-05-10 Completed 33.33% $40.55 $40.38 -0.48% Signal
2018-03-27 2018-04-27 Completed 33.33% $40.45 $40.32 -0.35% Signal
2017-10-20 2018-04-17 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.70% Interest Income
2017-10-05 2018-03-27 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.65% Interest Income
2017-05-09 2017-12-21 Completed 33.33% $40.52 $40.94 0.98% Signal
2017-08-17 2017-10-20 Completed 33.33% $40.99 $41.00 -0.04% Signal
2017-08-04 2017-10-05 Completed 33.33% $40.95 $41.14 0.41% Signal
2017-07-25 2017-08-17 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.07% Interest Income
2017-07-06 2017-08-04 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.09% Interest Income
2017-04-13 2017-07-25 Completed 33.33% $40.63 $40.83 0.45% Signal
2017-04-06 2017-07-06 Completed 33.33% $40.50 $40.63 0.28% Signal
2016-12-06 2017-05-09 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.27% Interest Income
2017-03-21 2017-04-13 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.05% Interest Income
2017-03-14 2017-04-06 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.05% Interest Income
2017-02-06 2017-03-21 Completed 33.33% $40.24 $40.13 -0.32% Signal
2017-01-18 2017-03-14 Completed 33.33% $40.19 $39.87 -0.87% Signal
2016-11-10 2017-02-06 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.12% Interest Income
2016-10-26 2017-01-18 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.11% Interest Income
2015-09-30 2016-12-06 Completed 33.33% $39.59 $40.12 1.29% Signal
2016-01-11 2016-11-10 Completed 33.33% $39.75 $40.65 2.22% Signal
2016-04-14 2016-10-26 Completed 33.33% $40.31 $40.87 1.34% Signal
2016-03-22 2016-04-14 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2015-12-16 2016-03-22 Completed 33.33% $39.47 $40.17 1.71% Signal
2015-11-25 2016-01-11 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.03% Interest Income
2015-11-11 2015-12-16 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2015-08-06 2015-11-25 Completed 33.33% $39.35 $39.52 0.40% Signal
2015-07-22 2015-11-11 Completed 33.33% $39.20 $39.41 0.48% Signal
2015-07-28 2015-09-30 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2015-06-02 2015-08-06 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2013-11-14 2015-07-28 Completed 33.33% $37.01 $39.26 6.04% Signal
2015-05-13 2015-07-22 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2014-01-29 2015-06-02 Completed 33.33% $37.29 $39.32 5.38% Signal
2015-03-25 2015-05-13 Completed 33.33% $39.49 $39.35 -0.41% Signal
2015-03-03 2015-03-25 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2014-10-15 2015-03-03 Completed 33.33% $38.87 $39.20 0.81% Signal
2014-09-23 2014-10-15 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2014-04-22 2014-09-23 Completed 33.33% $37.52 $38.30 2.04% Signal
2014-03-28 2014-04-22 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2014-01-17 2014-03-28 Completed 33.33% $37.12 $37.41 0.74% Signal
2013-12-13 2014-01-29 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2013-12-02 2014-01-17 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2013-10-02 2013-12-13 Completed 33.33% $36.95 $36.83 -0.39% Signal
2013-09-25 2013-12-02 Completed 33.33% $36.83 $36.97 0.32% Signal
2013-06-13 2013-11-14 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2013-05-28 2013-10-02 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2013-08-23 2013-09-25 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2013-08-06 2013-08-23 Completed 33.33% $36.64 $36.18 -1.30% Signal
2013-05-15 2013-08-06 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2013-05-08 2013-06-13 Completed 33.33% $37.40 $36.76 -1.76% Signal
2013-03-25 2013-05-28 Completed 33.33% $37.30 $37.03 -0.78% Signal
2013-03-08 2013-05-15 Completed 33.33% $37.24 $37.27 0.04% Signal
2013-01-15 2013-05-08 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2012-11-13 2013-03-25 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.03% Interest Income
2013-01-08 2013-03-08 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2011-03-25 2013-01-15 Completed 33.33% $34.77 $37.35 7.37% Signal
2012-12-24 2013-01-08 Completed 33.33% $37.33 $37.33 -0.05% Signal
2012-10-23 2012-12-24 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2011-12-01 2012-11-13 Completed 33.33% $36.18 $37.28 2.97% Signal
2012-09-18 2012-10-23 Completed 33.33% $37.51 $37.44 -0.22% Signal
2012-08-24 2012-09-18 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2012-04-12 2012-08-24 Completed 33.33% $36.86 $37.35 1.29% Signal
2012-03-20 2012-04-12 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2011-11-10 2012-03-20 Completed 33.33% $36.18 $36.47 0.75% Signal
2011-10-20 2011-12-01 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2011-10-07 2011-11-10 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2011-01-31 2011-10-20 Completed 33.33% $34.52 $36.15 4.65% Signal
2011-08-12 2011-10-07 Completed 33.33% $36.37 $36.02 -1.00% Signal
2011-07-21 2011-08-12 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2011-05-09 2011-07-21 Completed 33.33% $35.22 $35.62 1.08% Signal
2011-04-14 2011-05-09 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2011-03-08 2011-04-14 Completed 33.33% $34.60 $34.78 0.50% Signal
2011-02-14 2011-03-25 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2011-02-11 2011-03-08 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2010-06-08 2011-02-14 Completed 33.33% $33.91 $34.04 0.32% Signal
2011-01-13 2011-02-11 Completed 33.33% $34.39 $34.28 -0.38% Signal
2010-12-15 2011-01-31 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2010-12-01 2011-01-13 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2010-10-19 2010-12-15 Completed 33.33% $34.46 $34.12 -1.05% Signal
2010-10-12 2010-12-01 Completed 33.33% $34.42 $34.44 -0.02% Signal
2010-09-23 2010-10-19 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2010-09-02 2010-10-12 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2010-06-08 2010-09-23 Completed 33.33% $33.91 $34.25 0.95% Signal
2010-06-08 2010-09-02 Completed 33.33% $33.91 $34.31 1.11% Signal
2010-06-04 2010-06-08 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2010-06-04 2010-06-08 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2010-06-04 2010-06-08 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income