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DASHBOARDS: Portfolio Hub Market Pulse Performance

COP

Conoco Phillips
TREND FOLLOWING PERFORMANCE HISTORY
2026-07-26
Executive Summary
The quantitative backtest for COP (Conoco Phillips) using the Moving Average (50/200)* strategy in a Investing context demonstrated its primary role in risk mitigation, experiencing a maximum drawdown of -53.1% (compared to the benchmark's drawdown of -70.7%). Over the evaluated period, this protective approach generated a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 5.0%, compared to a Buy-and-Hold benchmark return of 11.8%. The strategy executed 86 total trades.

* Moving Average (50/200): Classic Moving Average Crossover (e.g., 50-day crossing 200-day). The foundational basis of research-grade trend following.

COP Quality Metrics & KPI Summary

Metric1Y5Y10YFull History
StrategyB&HStrategyB&HStrategyB&HStrategyB&H
CAGR7.27%29.96%8.75%20.22%2.81%15.00%4.99%11.75%
Sharpe Ratio0.320.890.370.570.120.370.230.34
Max Drawdown-21.10%-22.28%-42.84%-36.30%-53.09%-70.66%-53.09%-70.66%
% Time Invested53.2%100.0%53.0%100.0%50.4%100.0%59.0%100.0%
Trades / Year3.00.02.80.02.60.02.00.0

Cumulative Growth Performance

Return Distribution Analysis

Return Distribution

Trade History

This log shows every signal-driven transition. Completed trades reflect standard market cycles. An Open or Mark-to-Market exit denotes an active position (either in the primary asset or a cash/yield sleeve) valued at the current price for reporting purposes. Interest entries record yield accrued from cash or cash alternatives (like BIL) during out-of-market defensive periods.

Entry DateExit DateTypeAllocationEntry PriceExit PriceNet Return %Exit Reason
🔒 Active Positions & Recent Execution Signals Hidden
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2026-04-20 2026-05-12 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.23% Interest Income
2026-01-09 2026-04-20 Completed 100% $97.65 $115.98 18.71% Stop
2025-10-29 2026-01-09 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.01 0.73% Interest Income
2025-09-16 2025-10-29 Completed 100% $90.84 $84.76 -6.74% Signal
2024-10-16 2025-09-16 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.04 3.96% Interest Income
2024-10-08 2024-10-16 Completed 100% $106.59 $99.87 -6.34% Stop
2024-07-12 2024-10-08 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.01 1.22% Interest Income
2024-06-28 2024-07-12 Completed 100% $108.32 $107.38 -0.92% Signal
2024-06-05 2024-06-28 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.34% Interest Income
2024-03-28 2024-06-05 Completed 100% $119.38 $105.18 -11.94% Stop
2024-03-06 2024-03-28 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.34% Interest Income
2024-02-09 2024-03-06 Completed 100% $105.56 $104.74 -0.83% Signal
2024-01-18 2024-02-09 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.34% Interest Income
2023-07-27 2024-01-18 Completed 100% $107.12 $99.41 -7.24% Stop
2023-03-31 2023-07-27 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.02 1.66% Interest Income
2023-03-15 2023-03-31 Completed 100% $87.41 $90.10 3.04% Signal
2023-02-21 2023-03-15 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.31% Interest Income
2023-01-03 2023-02-21 Completed 100% $104.11 $93.32 -10.41% Stop
2022-12-08 2023-01-03 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.27% Interest Income
2022-10-18 2022-12-08 Completed 100% $105.75 $104.56 -1.17% Stop
2022-09-26 2022-10-18 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.22% Interest Income
2022-07-13 2022-09-26 Completed 100% $71.48 $87.26 22.01% Stop
2022-06-17 2022-07-13 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.12% Interest Income
2022-05-18 2022-06-17 Completed 100% $92.77 $87.40 -5.83% Stop
2022-04-26 2022-05-18 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.06% Interest Income
2021-08-11 2022-04-26 Completed 100% $47.53 $79.31 66.77% Stop
2021-07-20 2021-08-11 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2021-04-16 2021-07-20 Completed 100% $43.37 $44.76 3.16% Stop
2021-03-24 2021-04-16 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2021-02-22 2021-03-24 Completed 100% $40.82 $43.80 7.25% Stop
2021-01-28 2021-02-22 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2020-12-28 2021-01-28 Completed 100% $32.55 $33.82 3.87% Stop
2020-12-01 2020-12-28 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2020-11-24 2020-12-01 Completed 100% $36.26 $33.65 -7.26% Stop
2020-08-21 2020-11-24 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.03% Interest Income
2020-08-13 2020-08-21 Completed 100% $33.44 $31.40 -6.15% Stop
2020-03-10 2020-08-13 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.06% Interest Income
2020-02-28 2020-03-10 Completed 100% $36.18 $29.18 -19.37% Stop
2020-02-05 2020-02-28 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.10% Interest Income
2019-12-27 2020-02-05 Completed 100% $51.57 $45.30 -12.19% Stop
2018-12-21 2019-12-27 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.02 2.14% Interest Income
2018-11-16 2018-12-21 Completed 100% $50.74 $45.81 -9.77% Signal
2018-10-25 2018-11-16 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.15% Interest Income
2018-03-07 2018-10-25 Completed 100% $40.73 $52.51 28.86% Stop
2018-02-12 2018-03-07 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.10% Interest Income
2017-09-22 2018-02-12 Completed 100% $36.81 $40.21 9.18% Stop
2017-06-28 2017-09-22 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.25% Interest Income
2017-04-06 2017-06-28 Completed 100% $36.90 $33.10 -10.36% Signal
2017-03-15 2017-04-06 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.05% Interest Income
2016-10-03 2017-03-15 Completed 100% $32.28 $33.97 5.21% Stop
2016-06-29 2016-10-03 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.08% Interest Income
2016-06-27 2016-06-29 Completed 100% $31.22 $31.22 -0.07% Signal
2015-12-07 2016-06-27 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.15% Interest Income
2015-10-08 2015-12-07 Completed 100% $39.33 $36.04 -8.40% Stop
2014-11-10 2015-10-08 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2014-10-27 2014-11-10 Completed 100% $47.63 $50.26 5.45% Signal
2014-10-03 2014-10-27 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2014-04-23 2014-10-03 Completed 100% $49.81 $51.22 2.78% Stop
2014-03-10 2014-04-23 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2014-03-03 2014-03-10 Completed 100% $44.57 $44.60 0.01% Signal
2014-02-06 2014-03-03 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2012-08-01 2014-02-06 Completed 100% $34.41 $42.32 22.92% Stop
2012-06-29 2012-08-01 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2011-12-30 2012-06-29 Completed 100% $33.86 $34.66 2.31% Signal
2011-09-01 2011-12-30 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2011-08-29 2011-09-01 Completed 100% $30.66 $31.57 2.92% Signal
2011-08-05 2011-08-29 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2010-06-16 2011-08-05 Completed 100% $23.67 $30.86 30.32% Stop
2010-05-24 2010-06-16 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2009-09-15 2010-05-24 Completed 100% $19.89 $22.55 13.32% Stop
2009-01-12 2009-09-15 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.13% Interest Income
2009-01-07 2009-01-12 Completed 100% $22.70 $21.21 -6.59% Stop
2008-09-10 2009-01-07 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.14% Interest Income
2008-08-18 2008-09-10 Completed 100% $31.91 $28.31 -11.34% Stop
2008-07-25 2008-08-18 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.11% Interest Income
2008-05-06 2008-07-25 Completed 100% $35.38 $33.32 -5.87% Stop
2008-02-27 2008-05-06 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.26% Interest Income
2008-02-12 2008-02-27 Completed 100% $30.90 $33.98 9.90% Signal
2008-01-18 2008-02-12 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.14% Interest Income
2007-12-20 2008-01-18 Completed 100% $34.03 $29.76 -12.61% Stop
2007-11-28 2007-12-20 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.19% Interest Income
2007-08-29 2007-11-28 Completed 100% $31.82 $30.67 -3.68% Stop
2007-08-07 2007-08-29 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.26% Interest Income
2007-02-06 2007-08-07 Completed 100% $26.63 $31.17 16.98% Stop
2007-01-12 2007-02-06 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.32% Interest Income
2006-12-18 2007-01-12 Completed 100% $29.31 $24.58 -16.16% Stop
2006-10-11 2006-12-18 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.01 0.92% Interest Income
2006-10-04 2006-10-11 Completed 100% $21.96 $22.61 2.92% Signal
2006-09-12 2006-10-04 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.30% Interest Income
2006-06-19 2006-09-12 Completed 100% $23.80 $23.06 -3.15% Stop
2006-05-25 2006-06-19 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.30% Interest Income
2006-04-24 2006-05-25 Completed 100% $27.90 $24.05 -13.83% Stop
2006-02-21 2006-04-24 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.01 0.78% Interest Income
2005-11-07 2006-02-21 Completed 100% $25.36 $24.11 -5.00% Signal
2005-10-14 2005-11-07 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.24% Interest Income
2003-03-31 2005-10-14 Completed 100% $9.63 $23.15 140.24% Stop
2002-07-12 2003-03-31 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.01 1.00% Interest Income
2002-01-30 2002-07-12 Completed 100% $10.27 $9.38 -8.71% Stop
2001-09-25 2002-01-30 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.01 0.66% Interest Income
2001-09-21 2001-09-25 Completed 100% $9.09 $8.96 -1.47% Signal
2001-08-23 2001-09-21 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.20% Interest Income
2001-07-23 2001-08-23 Completed 100% $9.47 $9.98 5.33% Signal
2001-06-28 2001-07-23 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.23% Interest Income
2001-05-29 2001-06-28 Completed 100% $11.17 $9.57 -14.36% Stop
2001-02-05 2001-05-29 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.01 1.31% Interest Income
2000-12-26 2001-02-05 Completed 100% $9.25 $8.94 -3.41% Signal
2000-12-01 2000-12-26 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.37% Interest Income
2000-07-28 2000-12-01 Completed 100% $8.33 $9.69 16.23% Stop
2000-07-06 2000-07-28 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.38% Interest Income
2000-04-03 2000-07-06 Completed 100% $7.65 $8.14 6.37% Stop
1999-11-26 2000-04-03 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.02 1.92% Interest Income
1999-10-21 1999-11-26 Completed 100% $7.83 $7.92 1.20% Signal
1999-09-29 1999-10-21 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.31% Interest Income
1999-04-21 1999-09-29 Completed 100% $7.79 $7.63 -2.09% Stop
1998-08-04 1999-04-21 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.03 3.20% Interest Income
1998-03-27 1998-08-04 Completed 100% $7.98 $6.88 -13.83% Stop
1998-02-19 1998-03-27 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.01 0.52% Interest Income
1998-02-04 1998-02-19 Completed 100% $6.98 $7.36 5.25% Signal
1998-01-12 1998-02-04 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.32% Interest Income
1997-07-02 1998-01-12 Completed 100% $6.81 $6.63 -2.71% Stop
1997-04-04 1997-07-02 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.01 1.25% Interest Income
1996-02-06 1997-04-04 Completed 100% $4.86 $6.00 23.26% Stop
1995-10-02 1996-02-06 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.02 1.83% Interest Income
1995-03-21 1995-10-02 Completed 100% $4.95 $4.68 -5.55% Signal
1995-01-10 1995-03-21 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.01 1.12% Interest Income
1994-05-24 1995-01-10 Completed 100% $4.50 $4.37 -3.08% Stop
1993-12-28 1994-05-24 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.01 1.42% Interest Income
1993-11-18 1993-12-28 Completed 100% $4.18 $3.95 -5.72% Signal
1993-10-27 1993-11-18 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.20% Interest Income
1993-02-22 1993-10-27 Completed 100% $3.63 $4.20 15.74% Stop
1992-12-04 1993-02-22 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.01 0.65% Interest Income
1992-11-03 1992-12-04 Completed 100% $3.23 $3.07 -5.10% Signal
1992-10-12 1992-11-03 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.19% Interest Income
1992-05-28 1992-10-12 Completed 100% $3.30 $3.08 -6.84% Stop
1991-11-13 1992-05-28 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.02 2.13% Interest Income
1991-10-30 1991-11-13 Completed 100% $3.36 $3.18 -5.47% Signal
1991-07-11 1991-10-30 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.02 1.65% Interest Income
1991-03-18 1991-07-11 Completed 100% $3.40 $3.05 -10.27% Signal
1990-11-28 1991-03-18 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.02 1.88% Interest Income
1990-10-22 1990-11-28 Completed 100% $3.08 $3.17 2.99% Signal
1990-09-28 1990-10-22 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.45% Interest Income
1990-01-18 1990-09-28 Completed 100% $2.67 $3.08 15.17% Stop
1989-12-26 1990-01-18 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.48% Interest Income
1989-11-07 1989-12-26 Completed 100% $2.58 $2.87 11.06% Signal
1989-10-16 1989-11-07 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.48% Interest Income
1988-12-01 1989-10-16 Completed 100% $2.17 $2.64 21.74% Stop
1988-11-08 1988-12-01 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.48% Interest Income
1988-07-26 1988-11-08 Completed 100% $1.81 $2.13 17.47% Stop
1988-07-01 1988-07-26 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.48% Interest Income
1988-03-24 1988-07-01 Completed 100% $1.82 $1.68 -7.36% Stop
1987-10-16 1988-03-24 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.03 3.35% Interest Income
1987-05-08 1987-10-16 Completed 100% $1.73 $1.59 -8.18% Stop
1987-04-15 1987-05-08 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.48% Interest Income
1986-10-08 1987-04-15 Completed 100% $1.06 $1.51 42.54% Stop
1986-01-28 1986-10-08 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.05 5.41% Interest Income
1986-01-07 1986-01-28 Completed 100% $1.14 $1.01 -11.48% Stop
1985-12-12 1986-01-07 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.48% Interest Income
1985-12-03 1985-12-12 Completed 100% $1.23 $1.09 -11.58% Stop
1985-08-07 1985-12-03 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.02 2.45% Interest Income
1985-07-29 1985-08-07 Completed 100% $1.18 $1.13 -3.97% Stop
1985-05-08 1985-07-29 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.02 1.69% Interest Income
1985-04-11 1985-05-08 Completed 100% $1.16 $1.19 2.51% Signal
1985-03-19 1985-04-11 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.48% Interest Income
1985-01-18 1985-03-19 Completed 100% $1.27 $1.35 6.44% Stop
1984-12-26 1985-01-18 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.48% Interest Income
1984-09-18 1984-12-26 Completed 100% $1.21 $1.33 10.23% Stop
1984-08-03 1984-09-18 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.01 0.93% Interest Income
1984-07-10 1984-08-03 Completed 100% $1.04 $1.01 -2.13% Signal
1984-06-15 1984-07-10 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.48% Interest Income
1984-03-13 1984-06-15 Completed 100% $1.09 $1.03 -5.79% Stop
1984-03-09 1984-03-13 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.03% Interest Income