FNDX
Schwab Fundamental U.S. Large Company ETF
TREND FOLLOWING PERFORMANCE HISTORY
2026-07-26
Executive Summary
The quantitative backtest for FNDX (Schwab Fundamental U.S. Large Company ETF) using the Excess Return MMA* strategy in a Investing context demonstrated its primary role in risk mitigation, experiencing a maximum drawdown of -16.0% (compared to the benchmark's drawdown of -37.7%). Over the evaluated period, this protective approach generated a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 11.3%, compared to a Buy-and-Hold benchmark return of 13.4%. The strategy executed 29 total trades.
* Excess Return MMA: Multi-Moving Average (Triple-Band) model utilizing sophisticated long/short cross durations optimized against volatility.
* Excess Return MMA: Multi-Moving Average (Triple-Band) model utilizing sophisticated long/short cross durations optimized against volatility.
📊 Mathematical Model
Excess Return MMA Active
Advanced Ensemble: Uses multiple signal layers for maximum trend stability and noise reduction.
Excess Return MMA CA
Advanced Dynamic Sleeve: MMA ensemble signals on the primary asset combined with a momentum-based cash alternative ETF rotation.
Excess Return SMA
Standard Signal: Classical quantitative trend following optimized for reliable directionality.
Moving Average (50/200)
Moving Average: The baseline 50/200-day crossover model used by technical analysts worldwide.
FNDX Quality Metrics & KPI Summary
| Metric | 1Y | 5Y | 10Y | Full History | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strategy | B&H | Strategy | B&H | Strategy | B&H | Strategy | B&H | |
| CAGR | 26.05% | 27.79% | 9.27% | 13.61% | 12.69% | 14.08% | 11.30% | 13.38% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 2.35 | 2.40 | 0.81 | 0.85 | 0.99 | 0.75 | 0.90 | 0.72 |
| Max Drawdown | -6.06% | -6.06% | -16.04% | -19.06% | -16.04% | -37.72% | -16.04% | -37.72% |
| % Time Invested | 100.0% | 100.0% | 97.7% | 100.0% | 97.7% | 100.0% | 97.9% | 100.0% |
| Trades / Year | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 0.0 |
Cumulative Growth Performance
Return Distribution Analysis
Trade History
This log shows every signal-driven transition. Completed trades reflect standard market cycles. An Open or Mark-to-Market exit denotes an active position (either in the primary asset or a cash/yield sleeve) valued at the current price for reporting purposes. Interest entries record yield accrued from cash or cash alternatives (like BIL) during out-of-market defensive periods.
| Entry Date | Exit Date | Type | Allocation | Entry Price | Exit Price | Net Return % | Exit Reason | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🔒 Active Positions & Recent Execution Signals Hidden Trading on delayed data carries high execution risk. Current allocations, pending next-day rebalances, and active execution signals (last 60 days) require a Premium subscription. Upgrade to Pro to Unlock | ||||||||
| 2025-06-06 | 2025-09-30 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 1.33% | Interest Income | |
| 2025-03-14 | 2025-07-21 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 1.49% | Interest Income | |
| 2025-04-30 | 2025-06-06 | Completed | 33.33% | $22.18 | $23.41 | 5.51% | Signal | |
| 2025-04-08 | 2025-05-01 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.27% | Interest Income | |
| 2025-04-07 | 2025-04-30 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.27% | Interest Income | |
| 2023-12-27 | 2025-04-08 | Completed | 33.33% | $19.77 | $21.43 | 8.30% | Stop | |
| 2023-03-28 | 2025-04-07 | Completed | 33.33% | $16.70 | $20.30 | 21.48% | Stop | |
| 2024-01-08 | 2025-03-14 | Completed | 33.33% | $19.61 | $22.59 | 15.13% | Signal | |
| 2023-11-03 | 2024-01-08 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 0.91% | Interest Income | |
| 2023-01-06 | 2023-12-27 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.05 | 5.12% | Interest Income | |
| 2023-06-27 | 2023-11-03 | Completed | 33.33% | $17.75 | $17.90 | 0.77% | Signal | |
| 2023-05-05 | 2023-06-27 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 0.73% | Interest Income | |
| 2022-12-30 | 2023-05-05 | Completed | 33.33% | $16.66 | $17.10 | 2.58% | Signal | |
| 2022-08-31 | 2023-03-28 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.02 | 2.40% | Interest Income | |
| 2022-07-13 | 2023-01-06 | Completed | 33.33% | $15.65 | $16.91 | 8.02% | Signal | |
| 2022-08-31 | 2022-12-30 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 1.29% | Interest Income | |
| 2022-08-16 | 2022-08-31 | Completed | 33.33% | $17.46 | $16.58 | -5.07% | Stop | |
| 2022-08-16 | 2022-08-31 | Completed | 33.33% | $17.46 | $16.58 | -5.07% | Stop | |
| 2022-07-12 | 2022-08-16 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.25% | Interest Income | |
| 2022-05-04 | 2022-08-16 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.50% | Interest Income | |
| 2022-06-17 | 2022-07-13 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.12% | Interest Income | |
| 2022-07-08 | 2022-07-12 | Completed | 33.33% | $16.04 | $15.85 | -1.23% | Signal | |
| 2022-06-14 | 2022-07-08 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.11% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-03-24 | 2022-06-17 | Completed | 33.33% | $8.40 | $15.44 | 83.84% | Stop | |
| 2020-10-16 | 2022-06-14 | Completed | 33.33% | $12.17 | $15.98 | 31.28% | Stop | |
| 2020-07-06 | 2022-05-04 | Completed | 33.33% | $11.13 | $17.25 | 54.89% | Signal | |
| 2020-09-24 | 2020-10-16 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-08-11 | 2020-09-24 | Completed | 33.33% | $11.97 | $11.22 | -6.36% | Stop | |
| 2020-05-14 | 2020-08-11 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.03% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-03-31 | 2020-07-06 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.04% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-03-24 | 2020-05-14 | Completed | 33.33% | $8.40 | $9.77 | 16.34% | Signal | |
| 2020-03-24 | 2020-03-31 | Completed | 33.33% | $8.40 | $9.36 | 11.46% | Signal | |
| 2020-03-02 | 2020-03-24 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.02% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-03-02 | 2020-03-24 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.02% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-03-02 | 2020-03-24 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.02% | Interest Income | |
| 2019-06-12 | 2020-03-02 | Completed | 33.33% | $11.02 | $11.11 | 0.83% | Stop | |
| 2019-04-01 | 2020-03-02 | Completed | 33.33% | $10.97 | $11.11 | 1.23% | Stop | |
| 2019-01-16 | 2020-03-02 | Completed | 33.33% | $10.13 | $11.11 | 9.66% | Stop | |
| 2019-02-06 | 2019-06-12 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 0.83% | Interest Income | |
| 2018-12-07 | 2019-04-01 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 0.74% | Interest Income | |
| 2019-01-11 | 2019-02-06 | Completed | 33.33% | $10.04 | $10.58 | 5.33% | Signal | |
| 2018-12-21 | 2019-01-16 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.15% | Interest Income | |
| 2018-12-18 | 2019-01-11 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.15% | Interest Income | |
| 2016-09-13 | 2018-12-21 | Completed | 33.33% | $8.35 | $9.57 | 14.57% | Stop | |
| 2016-06-10 | 2018-12-18 | Completed | 33.33% | $8.19 | $9.96 | 21.48% | Stop | |
| 2018-06-12 | 2018-12-07 | Completed | 33.33% | $10.84 | $10.47 | -3.43% | Signal | |
| 2018-05-02 | 2018-06-12 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.21% | Interest Income | |
| 2016-04-25 | 2018-05-02 | Completed | 33.33% | $8.10 | $10.28 | 26.81% | Signal | |
| 2016-04-29 | 2016-09-13 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.11% | Interest Income | |
| 2015-10-02 | 2016-06-10 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.15% | Interest Income | |
| 2015-08-11 | 2016-04-29 | Completed | 33.33% | $7.90 | $8.08 | 2.26% | Signal | |
| 2016-02-17 | 2016-04-25 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.05% | Interest Income | |
| 2016-02-12 | 2016-02-17 | Completed | 33.33% | $7.09 | $7.33 | 3.37% | Signal | |
| 2016-01-21 | 2016-02-12 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.02% | Interest Income | |
| 2015-10-08 | 2016-01-21 | Completed | 33.33% | $7.64 | $7.03 | -8.01% | Stop | |
| 2015-08-07 | 2015-10-08 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2015-09-17 | 2015-10-02 | Completed | 33.33% | $7.56 | $7.23 | -4.30% | Signal | |
| 2015-08-25 | 2015-09-17 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2015-08-11 | 2015-08-25 | Completed | 33.33% | $7.90 | $7.33 | -7.17% | Stop | |
| 2015-08-07 | 2015-08-11 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2015-08-07 | 2015-08-11 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |