SPSB
SPDR Portfolio Short Term Corporate Bond ETF
TREND FOLLOWING PERFORMANCE HISTORY
2026-07-26
Executive Summary
The quantitative backtest for SPSB (SPDR Portfolio Short Term Corporate Bond ETF) using the Excess Return SMA* strategy in a Investing context demonstrated its primary role in risk mitigation, experiencing a maximum drawdown of -11.8% (compared to the benchmark's drawdown of -11.8%). Over the evaluated period, this protective approach generated a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 2.3%, compared to a Buy-and-Hold benchmark return of 2.4%. The strategy executed 2 total trades.
* Excess Return SMA: Advanced Single Moving Average model utilizing custom duration weighting and dynamic Stop Loss limits.
* Excess Return SMA: Advanced Single Moving Average model utilizing custom duration weighting and dynamic Stop Loss limits.
📊 Mathematical Model
Excess Return MMA
Advanced Ensemble: Uses multiple signal layers for maximum trend stability and noise reduction.
Excess Return MMA CA
Advanced Dynamic Sleeve: MMA ensemble signals on the primary asset combined with a momentum-based cash alternative ETF rotation.
Excess Return SMA Active
Standard Signal: Classical quantitative trend following optimized for reliable directionality.
Moving Average (50/200)
Moving Average: The baseline 50/200-day crossover model used by technical analysts worldwide.
🎯 Investment Objective
🛡️ Long-Term Investing Active
Ideal for wealth preservation and multi-year horizons. Optimized for low turnover and tax efficiency.
⚔️ Tactical Trading
Ideal for active capital rotation and momentum-first accounts. Optimized for high sensitivity to price shifts.
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SPSB Quality Metrics & KPI Summary
| Metric | 1Y | 5Y | 10Y | Full History | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strategy | B&H | Strategy | B&H | Strategy | B&H | Strategy | B&H | |
| CAGR | 3.68% | 3.68% | 3.05% | 2.75% | 2.51% | 2.60% | 2.33% | 2.37% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 2.64 | 2.64 | 2.31 | 1.36 | 0.87 | 0.84 | 0.92 | 0.88 |
| Max Drawdown | -0.87% | -0.87% | -4.06% | -5.96% | -11.75% | -11.75% | -11.75% | -11.75% |
| % Time Invested | 100.0% | 100.0% | 66.1% | 100.0% | 72.6% | 100.0% | 81.2% | 100.0% |
| Trades / Year | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Cumulative Growth Performance
Return Distribution Analysis
Trade History
This log shows every signal-driven transition. Completed trades reflect standard market cycles. An Open or Mark-to-Market exit denotes an active position (either in the primary asset or a cash/yield sleeve) valued at the current price for reporting purposes. Interest entries record yield accrued from cash or cash alternatives (like BIL) during out-of-market defensive periods.
| Entry Date | Exit Date | Type | Allocation | Entry Price | Exit Price | Net Return % | Exit Reason | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🔒 Active Positions & Recent Execution Signals Hidden Trading on delayed data carries high execution risk. Current allocations, pending next-day rebalances, and active execution signals (last 60 days) require a Premium subscription. Upgrade to Pro to Unlock | ||||||||
| 2022-04-22 | 2024-01-02 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.07 | 7.30% | Interest Income | |
| 2019-06-04 | 2022-04-22 | Completed | 100% | $24.50 | $25.09 | 2.36% | Signal | |
| 2018-05-15 | 2019-06-04 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.02 | 2.37% | Interest Income | |
| 2011-12-27 | 2018-05-15 | Completed | 100% | $21.16 | $23.40 | 10.54% | Signal | |
| 2011-12-22 | 2011-12-27 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |