Balanced Growth Alpha (Simple)
An intermediate growth strategy bridging the gap between passive indexing and leveraged momentum. Combines 2x leveraged Nasdaq exposure with a total market core and international diversification to achieve 100% equity-equivalent exposure with tactical downside protection.
MODEL PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE HISTORY
2026-08-21
Executive Summary
The Balanced Growth Alpha (Simple) model portfolio provides research-grade current exposure tracking and performance analysis. It achieved an inception-to-date Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 10.87% with a Maximum Drawdown of -23.86%. Focusing on the most recent 5-year window, the portfolio maintained a CAGR of 5.78%. The model aggregates 73 completed trades with a Sharpe Ratio of 0.78.
🛡️ Balanced Growth Alpha (Simple) Drawdown Shield & Downside Protection
Why Drawdown Dictates Longevity →Peak Drawdown Defense
-23.9% (vs -32.5% B&H)
+8.6% shallower drawdown
Drawdown Shield
8.6% Cut
Protected capital vs -32.5% B&H
Capital Sheltered from Risk
18.3% of Time
Earning Treasury yield during downturns
* Drawdown Shield demonstrates how systematic trend-following bounded historical drawdowns and protected principal capital compared to passive Buy & Hold.
📊 Portfolio Performance Summary
| Metric | 1Y | 5Y | 10Y | Full | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strategy | B&H | Strategy | B&H | Strategy | B&H | Strategy | B&H | |
| Max Drawdown | -7.79% | -9.87% | -23.06% | -32.46% | -23.06% | -32.46% | -23.86% | -32.46% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.15 | 1.40 | 0.43 | 0.58 | 0.94 | 0.76 | 0.78 | 0.80 |
| Sortino Ratio | 1.54 | 2.07 | 0.50 | 0.82 | 1.11 | 0.92 | 0.93 | 0.99 |
| CAGR | 16.93% | 25.02% | 5.78% | 11.63% | 13.12% | 15.75% | 10.87% | 15.63% |
| % Time Invested | 94.9% | 100.0% | 67.7% | 100.0% | 77.8% | 100.0% | 81.7% | 100.0% |
| Trades / Year | 3.0 | 0.0 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 4.3 | 0.0 |
Active Portfolio Composition
| Ticker | Description & Strategy | Style | Max Weight | Current Exposure | Last Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QLD | ProShares Ultra QQQ (2x Leveraged NASDAQ 100) Excess Return SMA | Investing | 20% | 20% | Invested: Buy 2026-08-20 |
| VTI | Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund ETF Excess Return SMA | Investing | 40% | 40% | Invested: Buy 2025-04-30 |
| VEA | Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF Excess Return SMA | Investing | 20% | 20% | Invested: Buy 2023-11-21 |
| BND | Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF Excess Return SMA | Investing | 20% | 20% | Invested: Buy 2024-08-05 |
Cumulative Growth Performance
Asset Correlation & Trend Shifts
Analyze how different assets move together and how active strategy trends affect their relationship. Lookback Period:
Portfolio Type / Trend Phase:
Trend Insights
Currently showing the baseline Pearson correlation (r) of the raw asset daily returns over the selected lookback window.
Asset Correlation Matrix
Pearson Correlation Coefficients (r) on Daily Returns -1.0 (Inverse) 0.0 (Neutral) +1.0 (Positive)
Top 5 Diversifier Suggestions
Lowest Pearson correlation (r) candidates evaluated dynamically across all system assets:
Multi-Horizon Correlation View Matrix in Compare Studio →
Alternatives Return vs. Correlation Space
Unified Portfolio Activity Log
Aggregated trade execution history across all portfolio members with portfolio-level weight allocation.
Completed trades reflect standard market cycles. An Open or Mark-to-Market exit denotes an active position (either in the primary asset or a cash/yield sleeve) valued at the current price for reporting purposes. Interest entries record yield accrued from cash or cash alternatives (like BIL) during out-of-market defensive periods.
| Entry Date | Exit Date | Ticker | Type | Allocation | Entry Price | Exit Price | Net Return % | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🔒 Active Positions & Recent Execution Signals Hidden Trading on delayed data carries high execution risk. Current allocations, pending next-day rebalances, and active execution signals (last 60 days) require a Premium subscription. Subscribe to Unlock | ||||||||
| 2026-04-15 | 2026-06-10 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $72.19 | $88.46 | 22.47% | Stop |
| 2026-03-23 | 2026-04-15 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.23% | Interest Income |
| 2025-12-16 | 2026-03-23 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $69.02 | $64.02 | -7.28% | Stop |
| 2025-11-21 | 2025-12-16 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.24% | Interest Income |
| 2025-04-29 | 2025-11-21 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $43.20 | $64.68 | 49.66% | Stop |
| 2025-04-07 | 2025-04-30 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 40% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.27% | Interest Income |
| 2025-04-04 | 2025-04-29 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.27% | Interest Income |
| 2023-11-08 | 2025-04-07 | VTI | Completed | 40% | $208.74 | $236.52 | 13.25% | Stop |
| 2025-03-24 | 2025-04-04 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $48.08 | $38.49 | -19.98% | Stop |
| 2025-02-28 | 2025-03-24 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.27% | Interest Income |
| 2024-08-16 | 2025-02-28 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $47.50 | $50.86 | 7.01% | Stop |
| 2024-07-25 | 2024-08-16 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.33% | Interest Income |
| 2022-01-19 | 2024-08-05 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.11 | 10.82% | Interest Income |
| 2023-11-07 | 2024-07-25 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $31.13 | $46.21 | 48.39% | Stop |
| 2023-03-14 | 2023-11-21 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.04 | 3.71% | Interest Income |
| 2022-11-07 | 2023-11-08 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 40% | $1.00 | $1.05 | 5.11% | Interest Income |
| 2023-01-20 | 2023-11-07 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.04 | 4.19% | Interest Income |
| 2023-01-18 | 2023-03-14 | VEA | Completed | 20% | $41.06 | $39.30 | -4.32% | Stop |
| 2023-01-18 | 2023-01-20 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $19.53 | $18.63 | -4.61% | Stop |
| 2022-10-03 | 2023-01-18 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 1.21% | Interest Income |
| 2022-09-13 | 2023-01-18 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 1.39% | Interest Income |
| 2022-10-18 | 2022-11-07 | VTI | Completed | 40% | $178.60 | $179.97 | 0.72% | Signal |
| 2022-09-26 | 2022-10-18 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 40% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.22% | Interest Income |
| 2022-09-21 | 2022-10-03 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $21.35 | $18.34 | -14.15% | Stop |
| 2022-05-25 | 2022-09-26 | VTI | Completed | 40% | $184.49 | $174.19 | -5.63% | Stop |
| 2022-08-29 | 2022-09-21 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.20% | Interest Income |
| 2022-07-11 | 2022-09-13 | VEA | Completed | 20% | $35.66 | $36.04 | 0.99% | Signal |
| 2022-07-08 | 2022-08-29 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $22.16 | $23.71 | 6.90% | Stop |
| 2022-06-15 | 2022-07-11 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.11% | Interest Income |
| 2022-06-14 | 2022-07-08 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.11% | Interest Income |
| 2022-03-30 | 2022-06-15 | VEA | Completed | 20% | $42.69 | $36.41 | -14.75% | Stop |
| 2022-06-02 | 2022-06-14 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $24.47 | $20.16 | -17.66% | Stop |
| 2022-05-10 | 2022-06-02 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.07% | Interest Income |
| 2022-05-03 | 2022-05-25 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 40% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.06% | Interest Income |
| 2022-05-05 | 2022-05-10 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $28.25 | $24.66 | -12.77% | Stop |
| 2022-04-12 | 2022-05-05 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.05% | Interest Income |
| 2020-03-24 | 2022-05-03 | VTI | Completed | 40% | $107.06 | $196.29 | 83.26% | Stop |
| 2022-03-17 | 2022-04-12 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $31.04 | $32.30 | 4.00% | Stop |
| 2022-03-08 | 2022-03-30 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.03% | Interest Income |
| 2022-02-23 | 2022-03-17 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.02% | Interest Income |
| 2020-07-24 | 2022-03-08 | VEA | Completed | 20% | $33.62 | $38.84 | 15.48% | Stop |
| 2022-02-03 | 2022-02-23 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $35.40 | $31.89 | -9.98% | Stop |
| 2022-01-11 | 2022-02-03 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income |
| 2018-12-07 | 2022-01-19 | BND | Completed | 20% | $62.31 | $71.09 | 14.02% | Signal |
| 2021-10-27 | 2022-01-11 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $40.36 | $39.93 | -1.13% | Stop |
| 2021-10-05 | 2021-10-27 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income |
| 2021-03-26 | 2021-10-05 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $27.55 | $35.10 | 27.36% | Stop |
| 2021-03-04 | 2021-03-26 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income |
| 2020-11-20 | 2021-03-04 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $24.69 | $27.22 | 10.21% | Stop |
| 2020-10-29 | 2020-11-20 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income |
| 2020-09-30 | 2020-10-29 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $22.31 | $21.68 | -2.87% | Stop |
| 2020-09-08 | 2020-09-30 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income |
| 2020-03-19 | 2020-09-08 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $9.51 | $21.79 | 128.95% | Stop |
| 2020-06-22 | 2020-07-24 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income |
| 2020-06-16 | 2020-06-22 | VEA | Completed | 20% | $32.86 | $32.58 | -0.88% | Signal |
| 2020-04-17 | 2020-06-16 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.02% | Interest Income |
| 2020-04-01 | 2020-04-17 | VEA | Completed | 20% | $26.74 | $28.87 | 7.92% | Signal |
| 2020-03-10 | 2020-04-01 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income |
| 2020-03-02 | 2020-03-24 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 40% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.02% | Interest Income |
| 2020-02-26 | 2020-03-19 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.04% | Interest Income |
| 2019-09-13 | 2020-03-10 | VEA | Completed | 20% | $33.92 | $30.88 | -9.01% | Stop |
| 2019-01-15 | 2020-03-02 | VTI | Completed | 40% | $118.04 | $137.81 | 16.69% | Stop |
| 2019-08-28 | 2020-02-26 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $11.32 | $15.46 | 36.48% | Stop |
| 2019-03-01 | 2019-09-13 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 1.21% | Interest Income |
| 2019-08-06 | 2019-08-28 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.12% | Interest Income |
| 2019-06-21 | 2019-08-06 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $12.03 | $11.22 | -6.75% | Stop |
| 2019-05-30 | 2019-06-21 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.14% | Interest Income |
| 2019-01-16 | 2019-05-30 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $9.16 | $10.59 | 15.61% | Stop |
| 2018-11-15 | 2019-03-01 | VEA | Completed | 20% | $31.20 | $32.84 | 5.21% | Signal |
| 2018-12-21 | 2019-01-16 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.15% | Interest Income |
| 2018-12-20 | 2019-01-15 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 40% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.15% | Interest Income |
| 2018-12-14 | 2018-12-21 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $9.30 | $8.15 | -12.42% | Stop |
| 2016-08-24 | 2018-12-20 | VTI | Completed | 40% | $95.66 | $113.19 | 18.27% | Stop |
| 2018-11-20 | 2018-12-14 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.15% | Interest Income |
| 2018-05-23 | 2018-12-07 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 1.16% | Interest Income |
| 2018-11-02 | 2018-11-20 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $10.42 | $8.82 | -15.40% | Stop |
| 2018-10-24 | 2018-11-15 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.15% | Interest Income |
| 2018-10-11 | 2018-11-02 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.15% | Interest Income |
| 2017-03-24 | 2018-10-24 | VEA | Completed | 20% | $29.62 | $31.40 | 5.95% | Stop |
| 2018-04-18 | 2018-10-11 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $10.06 | $10.47 | 3.99% | Stop |
| 2014-08-26 | 2018-05-23 | BND | Completed | 20% | $58.05 | $61.35 | 5.63% | Signal |
| 2018-03-26 | 2018-04-18 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.11% | Interest Income |
| 2018-03-02 | 2018-03-26 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $9.70 | $9.59 | -1.18% | Stop |
| 2018-02-07 | 2018-03-02 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.10% | Interest Income |
| 2016-07-21 | 2018-02-07 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $4.87 | $9.68 | 98.59% | Stop |
| 2016-01-07 | 2017-03-24 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.45% | Interest Income |
| 2016-07-27 | 2016-08-24 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 40% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.02% | Interest Income |
| 2015-09-17 | 2016-07-27 | VTI | Completed | 40% | $86.45 | $94.79 | 9.60% | Signal |
| 2016-06-28 | 2016-07-21 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.02% | Interest Income |
| 2016-03-03 | 2016-06-28 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $4.24 | $4.05 | -4.59% | Stop |
| 2016-02-09 | 2016-03-03 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.02% | Interest Income |
| 2016-02-02 | 2016-02-09 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $4.12 | $3.46 | -16.15% | Stop |
| 2016-01-08 | 2016-02-02 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.02% | Interest Income |
| 2015-09-16 | 2016-01-08 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $4.37 | $4.29 | -1.87% | Stop |
| 2015-10-09 | 2016-01-07 | VEA | Completed | 20% | $27.57 | $25.49 | -7.59% | Stop |
| 2015-08-25 | 2015-10-09 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income |
| 2015-08-25 | 2015-09-17 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 40% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income |
| 2015-08-24 | 2015-09-16 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income |
| 2014-11-10 | 2015-08-25 | VEA | Completed | 20% | $27.61 | $27.12 | -1.82% | Stop |
| 2011-08-31 | 2015-08-25 | VTI | Completed | 40% | $48.55 | $84.59 | 74.13% | Stop |
| 2014-11-07 | 2015-08-24 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $4.08 | $3.43 | -15.85% | Stop |
| 2014-10-17 | 2014-11-10 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income |
| 2014-10-16 | 2014-11-07 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income |
| 2012-12-07 | 2014-10-17 | VEA | Completed | 20% | $22.69 | $26.51 | 16.78% | Stop |
| 2014-05-07 | 2014-10-16 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $2.99 | $3.22 | 7.80% | Stop |
| 2013-11-25 | 2014-08-26 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.03% | Interest Income |
| 2014-04-14 | 2014-05-07 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income |
| 2012-11-23 | 2014-04-14 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $1.62 | $2.84 | 75.00% | Stop |
| 2012-05-08 | 2012-12-07 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.06% | Interest Income |
| 2012-10-31 | 2012-11-23 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income |
| 2012-06-11 | 2012-10-31 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $1.58 | $1.68 | 5.98% | Stop |
| 2012-05-17 | 2012-06-11 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income |
| 2011-12-15 | 2012-05-17 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $1.22 | $1.57 | 28.78% | Stop |
| 2011-12-19 | 2012-05-08 | VEA | Completed | 20% | $19.24 | $20.83 | 8.18% | Signal |
| 2011-11-25 | 2011-12-19 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income |
| 2011-11-22 | 2011-12-15 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income |
| 2011-10-27 | 2011-11-25 | VEA | Completed | 20% | $21.80 | $18.43 | -15.51% | Stop |
| 2011-10-26 | 2011-11-22 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $1.34 | $1.17 | -12.28% | Stop |
| 2011-10-05 | 2011-10-27 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income |
| 2011-10-04 | 2011-10-26 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income |
| 2011-08-29 | 2011-10-05 | VEA | Completed | 20% | $20.83 | $18.65 | -10.47% | Stop |
| 2011-08-29 | 2011-10-04 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $1.17 | $1.03 | -11.41% | Stop |
| 2011-08-09 | 2011-08-31 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 40% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income |
| 2011-08-05 | 2011-08-29 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income |
| 2011-08-05 | 2011-08-29 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income |
| 2010-06-01 | 2011-08-09 | VTI | Completed | 40% | $41.72 | $44.93 | 7.65% | Stop |
| 2011-07-06 | 2011-08-05 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $1.40 | $1.24 | -11.80% | Stop |
| 2010-06-01 | 2011-08-05 | VEA | Completed | 20% | $18.05 | $21.37 | 18.36% | Stop |
| 2011-06-13 | 2011-07-06 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income |
| 2011-04-08 | 2011-06-13 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $1.38 | $1.24 | -9.95% | Stop |
| 2011-03-17 | 2011-04-08 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income |
| 2010-09-20 | 2011-03-17 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $0.98 | $1.26 | 28.79% | Stop |
| 2010-08-26 | 2010-09-20 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income |
| 2010-07-23 | 2010-08-26 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $0.87 | $0.82 | -5.76% | Stop |
| 2010-06-30 | 2010-07-23 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income |
| 2010-06-01 | 2010-06-30 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $0.88 | $0.79 | -9.81% | Stop |
| 2010-05-07 | 2010-06-01 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income |
| 2010-05-07 | 2010-06-01 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 40% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income |
| 2010-05-07 | 2010-06-01 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income |
| 2010-03-08 | 2010-05-07 | VEA | Completed | 20% | $20.83 | $18.84 | -9.59% | Stop |
| 2010-03-02 | 2010-05-07 | QLD | Completed | 20% | $0.89 | $0.91 | 2.36% | Stop |
| 2009-07-22 | 2010-05-07 | VTI | Completed | 40% | $35.40 | $43.40 | 22.55% | Stop |
| 2010-02-01 | 2010-03-08 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income |
| 2010-02-05 | 2010-03-02 | CASH (CASH) | Interest | 20% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income |
| 2009-12-30 | 2010-02-01 | VEA | Completed | 20% | $20.89 | $20.06 | -4.02% | Stop |