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COMB

Graniteshares Bloomberg Commodity Broad Strategy No K-1 ETF
TREND FOLLOWING PERFORMANCE HISTORY
2026-09-11
Executive Summary
The quantitative backtest for COMB (Graniteshares Bloomberg Commodity Broad Strategy No K-1 ETF) using the Excess Return MMA CA* strategy in a Investing context demonstrated its primary role in risk mitigation, experiencing a maximum drawdown of -11.9% (compared to the benchmark's drawdown of -27.3%). Over the evaluated period, this protective approach generated a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 14.3%, compared to a Buy-and-Hold benchmark return of 11.9%. The strategy executed 41 total trades.

* Excess Return MMA CA: Multi-Moving Average (Triple-Band) model utilizing sophisticated long/short cross durations optimized against volatility, with a month-end dynamic Cash Alternative sleeve rotation.

🛡️ COMB Drawdown Shield & Downside Protection

Why Drawdown Dictates Longevity →
Peak Drawdown Defense
-11.9% (vs -27.3% B&H)
+15.4% shallower drawdown
Downside Efficiency
1.26 Sortino
+0.37 vs 0.89 B&H
Capital Sheltered from Risk
46.4% of Time
Earning Treasury yield during downturns
* Drawdown Shield demonstrates how systematic trend-following bounded historical drawdowns and protected principal capital compared to passive Buy & Hold.

📊 COMB Quality Metrics & KPI Summary

Metric 1Y5YFull
StrategyB&HStrategyB&HStrategyB&H
Max Drawdown-9.35%-14.84%-11.89%-26.63%-11.89%-27.31%
Sharpe Ratio2.272.051.110.671.150.69
Sortino Ratio3.212.801.230.891.260.89
CAGR44.33%45.37%13.95%11.83%14.26%11.87%
% Time Invested85.0%100.0%51.0%100.0%53.6%100.0%
Trades / Year5.00.06.80.05.80.0

Cumulative Growth Performance

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Hydrating Performance Trajectory... Loading historical performance data
Figure 1: Cumulative Trajectory Analysis. Logarithmic growth comparison of COMB under the Excess Return MMA CA strategy (Investing) versus Buy & Hold. The strategy produced a 14.3% CAGR with a -11.9% Max Drawdown across 41 trade signals (compared to Buy & Hold's 11.9% CAGR and -27.3% Max Drawdown).

Return Distribution Analysis

Histogram of monthly return distribution for COMB under Excess Return MMA CA strategy in Investing context, illustrating downside risk mitigation and return skewness.
Figure 2: Monthly Return Distribution Profile. Monthly return distribution for COMB under Excess Return MMA CA (Investing). Visualizes return frequency, volatility clustering, and tail-risk truncation relative to standard buy-and-hold returns.
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Loading Top Diversifiers for COMB...

Top 5 non-correlated asset sleeves evaluated on 1Y daily percentage returns (Pearson r). Compare them side-by-side in Compare Studio to analyze portfolio diversification.

Diversifier Asset Category 1Y Correlation (r) Action
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Trade History

This log shows every signal-driven transition. Completed trades reflect standard market cycles. An Open or Mark-to-Market exit denotes an active position (either in the primary asset or a cash/yield sleeve) valued at the current price for reporting purposes. Interest entries record yield accrued from cash or cash alternatives (like BIL) during out-of-market defensive periods.

Entry DateExit DateTypeAllocationEntry PriceExit PriceNet Return %Exit Reason
🔒 Active Positions & Recent Execution Signals Hidden
Trading on delayed data carries high execution risk. Current allocations, pending next-day rebalances, and active execution signals (last 60 days) require a Premium subscription.
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2026-05-28 2026-06-22 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.27% Interest Income
2026-05-28 2026-06-22 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.27% Interest Income
2025-10-13 2026-06-17 Completed 33.33% $20.14 $24.99 24.02% Stop
2026-02-02 2026-05-28 Completed 33.33% $22.50 $26.44 17.45% Stop
2026-02-02 2026-05-28 Completed 33.33% $22.50 $26.44 17.45% Stop
2026-01-08 2026-02-02 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.31% Interest Income
2026-01-08 2026-02-02 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.31% Interest Income
2025-09-05 2026-01-08 Completed 33.33% $19.57 $21.39 9.25% Stop
2025-08-26 2026-01-08 Completed 33.33% $19.25 $21.39 11.06% Stop
2025-09-19 2025-10-13 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.21% Interest Income
2025-09-15 2025-09-19 Completed 33.33% $19.87 $19.65 -1.18% Signal
2025-06-25 2025-09-15 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 1.26% Interest Income
2025-08-13 2025-09-05 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.28% Interest Income
2025-06-03 2025-08-26 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 1.37% Interest Income
2025-04-30 2025-08-13 Completed 33.33% $19.04 $19.07 0.14% Stop
2024-12-06 2025-06-25 Completed 33.33% $17.99 $19.31 7.28% Signal
2025-05-02 2025-06-02 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.32% Interest Income
2025-04-09 2025-05-01 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 1.47% Interest Income
2025-04-07 2025-04-30 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.02 1.64% Interest Income
2025-01-16 2025-04-09 Completed 33.33% $19.35 $18.19 -6.03% Stop
2025-01-16 2025-04-07 Completed 33.33% $19.35 $18.61 -3.85% Stop
2024-11-05 2025-01-16 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 1.12% Interest Income
2024-10-02 2025-01-16 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.02 1.75% Interest Income
2024-10-02 2024-12-06 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 1.08% Interest Income
2024-08-27 2024-11-05 Completed 33.33% $17.71 $18.35 3.54% Signal
2024-08-06 2024-10-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.86% Interest Income
2024-08-02 2024-10-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.96% Interest Income
2024-08-02 2024-08-27 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.39% Interest Income
2024-05-07 2024-08-06 Completed 33.33% $18.39 $17.09 -7.12% Stop
2023-07-12 2024-08-01 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.07 7.07% Interest Income
2023-06-02 2024-08-01 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.08 7.87% Interest Income
2023-12-07 2024-05-07 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.03 3.07% Interest Income
2023-09-01 2023-12-07 Completed 33.33% $18.63 $17.26 -7.36% Signal
2023-06-02 2023-09-01 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.02 1.68% Interest Income
2023-05-26 2023-07-12 Completed 33.33% $17.16 $17.97 4.68% Signal
2023-05-04 2023-06-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.36% Interest Income
2023-05-04 2023-06-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.36% Interest Income
2023-05-04 2023-05-26 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.25% Interest Income
2023-04-19 2023-05-04 Completed 33.33% $18.37 $17.35 -5.62% Stop
2023-04-19 2023-05-04 Completed 33.33% $18.37 $17.35 -5.62% Stop
2023-04-10 2023-05-04 Completed 33.33% $18.15 $17.35 -4.48% Stop
2023-04-04 2023-04-19 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.17% Interest Income
2023-04-04 2023-04-19 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.17% Interest Income
2023-04-04 2023-04-10 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.09% Interest Income
2023-03-16 2023-04-03 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.02 1.99% Interest Income
2022-12-02 2023-04-03 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.02 1.87% Interest Income
2022-12-02 2023-04-03 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.02 1.87% Interest Income
2023-03-02 2023-03-16 Completed 33.33% $18.21 $17.38 -4.60% Stop
2023-02-07 2023-03-02 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.54% Interest Income
2022-12-30 2023-02-07 Completed 33.33% $18.92 $18.12 -4.30% Stop
2022-12-07 2022-12-30 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.54% Interest Income
2022-09-29 2022-12-07 Completed 33.33% $18.93 $18.62 -1.69% Stop
2022-11-29 2022-12-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.05% Interest Income
2022-10-04 2022-12-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.52% Interest Income
2022-09-29 2022-11-29 Completed 33.33% $18.93 $19.39 2.41% Signal
2022-09-02 2022-10-03 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.05% Interest Income
2022-09-07 2022-09-29 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.02% Interest Income
2022-09-07 2022-09-29 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.02% Interest Income
2022-07-11 2022-09-07 Completed 33.33% $19.56 $19.43 -0.71% Stop
2022-07-11 2022-09-07 Completed 33.33% $19.56 $19.43 -0.71% Stop
2022-08-22 2022-09-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.09% Interest Income
2022-07-19 2022-08-22 Completed 33.33% $19.25 $20.52 6.54% Signal
2022-06-24 2022-07-19 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2022-06-15 2022-07-11 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.06% Interest Income
2022-06-15 2022-07-11 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.06% Interest Income
2022-04-07 2022-06-24 Completed 33.33% $20.88 $20.12 -3.71% Stop
2022-05-18 2022-06-15 Completed 33.33% $22.00 $21.69 -1.49% Stop
2022-05-18 2022-06-15 Completed 33.33% $22.00 $21.69 -1.49% Stop
2022-04-26 2022-05-18 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2022-04-26 2022-05-18 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2022-04-01 2022-04-26 Completed 33.33% $20.78 $21.44 3.13% Stop
2022-04-01 2022-04-26 Completed 33.33% $20.78 $21.44 3.13% Stop
2022-03-16 2022-04-07 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2022-03-10 2022-04-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2022-03-10 2022-04-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2020-07-09 2022-03-16 Completed 33.33% $11.24 $20.01 77.84% Stop
2021-12-21 2022-03-10 Completed 33.33% $16.11 $20.82 29.18% Stop
2021-12-21 2022-03-10 Completed 33.33% $16.11 $20.82 29.18% Stop
2021-11-29 2021-12-21 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2021-11-29 2021-12-21 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2021-09-15 2021-11-29 Completed 33.33% $16.63 $16.76 0.76% Stop
2021-09-15 2021-11-29 Completed 33.33% $16.63 $16.76 0.76% Stop
2021-09-02 2021-09-15 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.04% Interest Income
2021-09-02 2021-09-15 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.04% Interest Income
2021-08-23 2021-09-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.01% Interest Income
2021-08-23 2021-09-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.01% Interest Income
2020-07-09 2021-08-23 Completed 33.33% $11.24 $15.53 38.03% Stop
2020-07-09 2021-08-23 Completed 33.33% $11.24 $15.53 38.03% Stop
2020-06-02 2020-07-09 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.66% Interest Income
2020-06-02 2020-07-09 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.66% Interest Income
2020-06-02 2020-07-09 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.66% Interest Income
2020-04-22 2020-06-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.03% Interest Income
2020-04-22 2020-06-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.03% Interest Income
2020-04-22 2020-06-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.03% Interest Income
2020-04-14 2020-04-22 Completed 33.33% $10.72 $10.10 -5.89% Stop
2020-04-14 2020-04-22 Completed 33.33% $10.72 $10.10 -5.89% Stop
2020-04-14 2020-04-22 Completed 33.33% $10.72 $10.10 -5.89% Stop
2020-03-03 2020-04-14 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.38% Interest Income
2020-03-03 2020-04-14 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.38% Interest Income
2020-03-03 2020-04-14 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.38% Interest Income
2020-02-20 2020-03-02 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.22% Interest Income
2019-08-12 2020-03-02 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.02 1.54% Interest Income
2019-08-12 2020-03-02 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.02 1.54% Interest Income
2019-11-15 2020-02-20 Completed 33.33% $13.17 $12.81 -2.78% Signal
2019-08-12 2019-11-15 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.92% Interest Income

Next Steps: Portfolio Integration & Comparative Analysis

Single-ticker trend following is designed to truncate tail risk inside a broader portfolio. View where COMB ranks across 40+ tracked assets, evaluate correlation against non-correlated diversifiers, or model it inside a custom all-weather asset mix.

📊 View Full 40-Asset Backtest Matrix → 🛠️ Build Custom Portfolio with COMB → ⚖️ Compare COMB vs Non-Correlated Assets →