FXE
Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Currency Trust
TREND FOLLOWING PERFORMANCE HISTORY
2026-09-06
Executive Summary
The quantitative backtest for FXE (Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Currency Trust) using the Excess Return MMA* strategy in a Investing context demonstrated its primary role in risk mitigation, experiencing a maximum drawdown of -17.1% (compared to the benchmark's drawdown of -43.3%). Over the evaluated period, this protective approach generated a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 0.5%, compared to a Buy-and-Hold benchmark return of -1.2%. The strategy executed 51 total trades.
* Excess Return MMA: Multi-Moving Average (Triple-Band) model utilizing sophisticated long/short cross durations optimized against volatility.
* Excess Return MMA: Multi-Moving Average (Triple-Band) model utilizing sophisticated long/short cross durations optimized against volatility.
📊 Strategy Model 4 Models Available
Compare quantitative moving average overlays for FXE:
Excess Return MMA Active Model
Advanced Ensemble: Uses multiple signal layers for maximum trend stability and noise reduction.
Excess Return MMA CA
Advanced Dynamic Sleeve: MMA ensemble signals on the primary asset combined with a momentum-based cash alternative ETF rotation.
Excess Return SMA
Standard Signal: Classical quantitative trend following optimized for reliable directionality.
Moving Average (50/200)
Moving Average: The baseline 50/200-day crossover model used by technical analysts worldwide.
🎯 Trading Horizon
Select risk profile & execution style for FXE:
🛡️ Long-Term Investing Active Horizon
Ideal for wealth preservation and multi-year horizons. Optimized for low turnover and tax efficiency.
⚔️ Tactical Trading
Ideal for active capital rotation and momentum-first accounts. Optimized for high sensitivity to price shifts.
🛡️ FXE Drawdown Shield & Downside Protection
Why Drawdown Dictates Longevity →Peak Drawdown Defense
-17.1% (vs -43.3% B&H)
+26.2% shallower drawdown
Downside Efficiency
0.12 Sortino
Downside risk-adjusted return
Capital Sheltered from Risk
54.3% of Time
Earning Treasury yield during downturns
* Drawdown Shield demonstrates how systematic trend-following bounded historical drawdowns and protected principal capital compared to passive Buy & Hold.
📊 FXE Quality Metrics & KPI Summary
| Metric | 1Y | 5Y | 10Y | Full | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strategy | B&H | Strategy | B&H | Strategy | B&H | Strategy | B&H | |
| Max Drawdown | -4.85% | -5.40% | -4.85% | -19.78% | -7.64% | -26.46% | -17.14% | -43.33% |
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.16 | 0.08 | 0.43 | 0.06 | 0.29 | 0.04 | 0.10 | -0.14 |
| Sortino Ratio | -0.23 | 0.13 | 0.48 | 0.10 | 0.33 | 0.07 | 0.12 | -0.21 |
| CAGR | -0.69% | 0.46% | 1.33% | 0.46% | 1.03% | 0.32% | 0.49% | -1.24% |
| % Time Invested | 74.0% | 100.0% | 33.4% | 100.0% | 38.8% | 100.0% | 45.7% | 100.0% |
| Trades / Year | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 0.0 |
Cumulative Growth Performance
Return Distribution Analysis
Loading...
Loading Top Diversifiers for FXE... Top Diversifiers for FXE
Explore Correlation Across Horizons →Top 5 non-correlated asset sleeves evaluated on 1Y daily percentage returns (Pearson r). Compare them side-by-side in Compare Studio to analyze portfolio diversification.
| Diversifier Asset | Category | 1Y Correlation (r) | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loading top diversifier assets... | |||
Trade History
This log shows every signal-driven transition. Completed trades reflect standard market cycles. An Open or Mark-to-Market exit denotes an active position (either in the primary asset or a cash/yield sleeve) valued at the current price for reporting purposes. Interest entries record yield accrued from cash or cash alternatives (like BIL) during out-of-market defensive periods.
| Entry Date | Exit Date | Type | Allocation | Entry Price | Exit Price | Net Return % | Exit Reason | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🔒 Active Positions & Recent Execution Signals Hidden Trading on delayed data carries high execution risk. Current allocations, pending next-day rebalances, and active execution signals (last 60 days) require a Premium subscription. Subscribe to Unlock | ||||||||
| 2026-03-17 | 2026-04-15 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.29% | Interest Income | |
| 2026-02-26 | 2026-03-30 | Completed | 33.33% | $108.50 | $105.53 | -2.78% | Signal | |
| 2025-06-26 | 2026-03-17 | Completed | 33.33% | $107.16 | $106.07 | -1.06% | Signal | |
| 2025-11-19 | 2026-02-26 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 0.96% | Interest Income | |
| 2025-04-16 | 2025-11-19 | Completed | 33.33% | $103.83 | $106.01 | 2.05% | Signal | |
| 2022-03-07 | 2025-07-01 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.15 | 15.30% | Interest Income | |
| 2023-09-28 | 2025-06-26 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.09 | 8.81% | Interest Income | |
| 2024-11-25 | 2025-04-16 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.02 | 1.64% | Interest Income | |
| 2024-08-30 | 2024-11-25 | Completed | 33.33% | $99.91 | $95.53 | -4.43% | Signal | |
| 2024-04-10 | 2024-08-30 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.02 | 2.10% | Interest Income | |
| 2024-01-24 | 2024-04-10 | Completed | 33.33% | $97.45 | $96.53 | -1.00% | Signal | |
| 2023-08-21 | 2024-01-24 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.02 | 2.31% | Interest Income | |
| 2023-03-29 | 2023-09-28 | Completed | 33.33% | $95.07 | $93.29 | -1.92% | Stop | |
| 2022-12-29 | 2023-08-21 | Completed | 33.33% | $93.27 | $96.16 | 3.05% | Signal | |
| 2021-07-30 | 2023-03-29 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.03 | 3.22% | Interest Income | |
| 2021-07-27 | 2022-12-29 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.02 | 2.07% | Interest Income | |
| 2021-10-21 | 2022-03-07 | Completed | 33.33% | $102.83 | $96.13 | -6.56% | Stop | |
| 2021-09-29 | 2021-10-21 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-06-04 | 2021-09-29 | Completed | 33.33% | $100.75 | $102.91 | 2.09% | Stop | |
| 2020-06-04 | 2021-07-30 | Completed | 33.33% | $100.75 | $105.19 | 4.35% | Signal | |
| 2021-07-12 | 2021-07-27 | Completed | 33.33% | $105.08 | $104.70 | -0.41% | Signal | |
| 2021-04-20 | 2021-07-12 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-06-04 | 2021-04-20 | Completed | 33.33% | $100.75 | $106.94 | 6.08% | Signal | |
| 2019-02-15 | 2020-06-04 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.02 | 2.10% | Interest Income | |
| 2018-07-25 | 2020-06-04 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.03 | 3.40% | Interest Income | |
| 2018-06-01 | 2020-06-04 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.04 | 3.69% | Interest Income | |
| 2018-06-11 | 2019-02-15 | Completed | 33.33% | $107.42 | $102.21 | -4.89% | Signal | |
| 2018-06-11 | 2018-07-25 | Completed | 33.33% | $107.42 | $106.46 | -0.94% | Signal | |
| 2018-05-17 | 2018-06-11 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.12% | Interest Income | |
| 2018-05-17 | 2018-06-11 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.12% | Interest Income | |
| 2018-01-29 | 2018-06-01 | Completed | 33.33% | $112.84 | $106.37 | -5.79% | Signal | |
| 2018-01-10 | 2018-05-17 | Completed | 33.33% | $109.60 | $107.48 | -1.99% | Stop | |
| 2017-07-24 | 2018-05-17 | Completed | 33.33% | $106.75 | $107.48 | 0.63% | Stop | |
| 2017-12-27 | 2018-01-29 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.12% | Interest Income | |
| 2016-11-14 | 2018-01-10 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 1.05% | Interest Income | |
| 2017-05-05 | 2017-12-27 | Completed | 33.33% | $100.81 | $108.73 | 7.80% | Signal | |
| 2016-10-24 | 2017-07-24 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 0.52% | Interest Income | |
| 2016-08-02 | 2017-05-05 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.38% | Interest Income | |
| 2016-04-05 | 2016-11-14 | Completed | 33.33% | $105.32 | $99.04 | -6.02% | Stop | |
| 2016-04-05 | 2016-10-24 | Completed | 33.33% | $105.32 | $100.49 | -4.64% | Stop | |
| 2016-03-23 | 2016-08-02 | Completed | 33.33% | $103.72 | $103.60 | -0.17% | Signal | |
| 2015-01-02 | 2016-04-05 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.12% | Interest Income | |
| 2014-08-27 | 2016-04-05 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.13% | Interest Income | |
| 2015-11-25 | 2016-03-23 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.09% | Interest Income | |
| 2015-07-15 | 2015-11-25 | Completed | 33.33% | $102.13 | $98.33 | -3.77% | Signal | |
| 2014-07-02 | 2015-07-15 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.02% | Interest Income | |
| 2014-09-25 | 2015-01-02 | Completed | 33.33% | $118.89 | $112.29 | -5.60% | Signal | |
| 2014-09-03 | 2014-09-25 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2012-12-19 | 2014-09-03 | Completed | 33.33% | $125.09 | $122.91 | -1.79% | Stop | |
| 2013-09-11 | 2014-08-27 | Completed | 33.33% | $124.53 | $123.26 | -1.07% | Signal | |
| 2013-08-07 | 2014-07-02 | Completed | 33.33% | $124.92 | $127.72 | 2.19% | Signal | |
| 2013-08-07 | 2013-09-11 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2013-05-08 | 2013-08-07 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2013-04-12 | 2013-08-07 | Completed | 33.33% | $122.99 | $124.92 | 1.52% | Signal | |
| 2012-10-19 | 2013-05-08 | Completed | 33.33% | $122.99 | $123.71 | 0.54% | Signal | |
| 2013-03-20 | 2013-04-12 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2012-12-19 | 2013-03-20 | Completed | 33.33% | $125.09 | $121.91 | -2.60% | Stop | |
| 2012-06-28 | 2012-12-19 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.05% | Interest Income | |
| 2011-11-25 | 2012-12-19 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.09% | Interest Income | |
| 2012-05-29 | 2012-10-19 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.04% | Interest Income | |
| 2012-06-15 | 2012-06-28 | Completed | 33.33% | $118.96 | $117.28 | -1.46% | Signal | |
| 2012-05-23 | 2012-06-15 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2012-05-08 | 2012-05-29 | Completed | 33.33% | $122.69 | $118.31 | -3.61% | Signal | |
| 2011-12-19 | 2012-05-23 | Completed | 33.33% | $123.00 | $119.53 | -2.87% | Stop | |
| 2011-09-12 | 2012-05-08 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.03% | Interest Income | |
| 2011-11-25 | 2011-12-19 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2011-10-03 | 2011-11-25 | Completed | 33.33% | $125.83 | $125.16 | -0.58% | Stop | |
| 2011-10-03 | 2011-11-25 | Completed | 33.33% | $125.83 | $125.16 | -0.58% | Stop | |
| 2011-09-09 | 2011-10-03 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2011-09-09 | 2011-10-03 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2011-03-24 | 2011-09-12 | Completed | 33.33% | $133.07 | $128.76 | -3.29% | Signal | |
| 2011-01-20 | 2011-09-09 | Completed | 33.33% | $126.74 | $129.78 | 2.35% | Stop | |
| 2010-12-10 | 2011-09-09 | Completed | 33.33% | $124.61 | $129.78 | 4.10% | Stop | |
| 2011-02-16 | 2011-03-24 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2010-09-22 | 2011-02-16 | Completed | 33.33% | $126.41 | $127.09 | 0.49% | Signal | |
| 2010-10-19 | 2011-01-20 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.04% | Interest Income | |
| 2010-03-25 | 2010-12-10 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.11% | Interest Income | |
| 2010-05-28 | 2010-10-19 | Completed | 33.33% | $116.53 | $130.18 | 11.66% | Signal | |
| 2010-02-08 | 2010-09-22 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.09% | Interest Income | |
| 2010-05-06 | 2010-05-28 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2010-04-05 | 2010-05-06 | Completed | 33.33% | $127.55 | $119.92 | -6.03% | Stop | |
| 2009-06-05 | 2010-04-05 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.10% | Interest Income | |
| 2010-01-19 | 2010-03-25 | Completed | 33.33% | $134.92 | $125.96 | -6.69% | Stop | |
| 2009-05-19 | 2010-02-08 | Completed | 33.33% | $128.52 | $129.16 | 0.45% | Signal | |
| 2009-12-23 | 2010-01-19 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2009-07-22 | 2009-12-23 | Completed | 33.33% | $134.05 | $135.06 | 0.70% | Stop | |
| 2008-11-03 | 2009-07-22 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.12% | Interest Income | |
| 2009-01-30 | 2009-06-05 | Completed | 33.33% | $121.90 | $132.96 | 9.02% | Signal | |
| 2008-08-27 | 2009-05-19 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.27% | Interest Income | |
| 2009-01-07 | 2009-01-30 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2008-10-27 | 2009-01-07 | Completed | 33.33% | $117.06 | $129.16 | 10.28% | Stop | |
| 2008-10-27 | 2008-11-03 | Completed | 33.33% | $117.06 | $119.94 | 2.41% | Signal | |
| 2008-10-03 | 2008-10-27 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.04% | Interest Income | |
| 2008-10-03 | 2008-10-27 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.04% | Interest Income | |
| 2008-09-04 | 2008-10-03 | Completed | 33.33% | $135.61 | $128.67 | -5.17% | Stop | |
| 2008-09-04 | 2008-10-03 | Completed | 33.33% | $135.61 | $128.67 | -5.17% | Stop | |
| 2008-08-12 | 2008-09-04 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.11% | Interest Income | |
| 2008-08-12 | 2008-09-04 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.11% | Interest Income | |
| 2008-01-14 | 2008-08-27 | Completed | 33.33% | $136.34 | $137.83 | 1.04% | Signal | |
| 2008-01-14 | 2008-08-12 | Completed | 33.33% | $136.34 | $139.48 | 2.25% | Stop | |
| 2008-01-14 | 2008-08-12 | Completed | 33.33% | $136.34 | $139.48 | 2.25% | Stop | |
| 2008-01-10 | 2008-01-14 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2008-01-10 | 2008-01-14 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2008-01-10 | 2008-01-14 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |