HYG
iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
TREND FOLLOWING PERFORMANCE HISTORY
2026-07-28
Executive Summary
The quantitative backtest for HYG (iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF) using the Excess Return MMA* strategy in a Investing context demonstrated its primary role in risk mitigation, experiencing a maximum drawdown of -14.7% (compared to the benchmark's drawdown of -22.0%). Over the evaluated period, this protective approach generated a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 4.4%, compared to a Buy-and-Hold benchmark return of 6.9%. The strategy executed 42 total trades.
* Excess Return MMA: Multi-Moving Average (Triple-Band) model utilizing sophisticated long/short cross durations optimized against volatility.
* Excess Return MMA: Multi-Moving Average (Triple-Band) model utilizing sophisticated long/short cross durations optimized against volatility.
📊 Mathematical Model
Excess Return MMA Active
Advanced Ensemble: Uses multiple signal layers for maximum trend stability and noise reduction.
Excess Return MMA CA
Advanced Dynamic Sleeve: MMA ensemble signals on the primary asset combined with a momentum-based cash alternative ETF rotation.
Excess Return SMA
Standard Signal: Classical quantitative trend following optimized for reliable directionality.
Moving Average (50/200)
Moving Average: The baseline 50/200-day crossover model used by technical analysts worldwide.
HYG Quality Metrics & KPI Summary
| Metric | 1Y | 5Y | 10Y | Full History | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strategy | B&H | Strategy | B&H | Strategy | B&H | Strategy | B&H | |
| CAGR | 4.71% | 4.68% | 2.99% | 3.61% | 4.09% | 4.68% | 4.36% | 6.90% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.27 | 1.19 | 0.77 | 0.47 | 0.81 | 0.56 | 0.75 | 0.78 |
| Max Drawdown | -2.34% | -2.34% | -7.19% | -15.79% | -7.56% | -22.03% | -14.65% | -22.03% |
| % Time Invested | 100.0% | 100.0% | 82.5% | 100.0% | 89.4% | 100.0% | 89.0% | 100.0% |
| Trades / Year | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 0.0 |
Cumulative Growth Performance
Return Distribution Analysis
Trade History
This log shows every signal-driven transition. Completed trades reflect standard market cycles. An Open or Mark-to-Market exit denotes an active position (either in the primary asset or a cash/yield sleeve) valued at the current price for reporting purposes. Interest entries record yield accrued from cash or cash alternatives (like BIL) during out-of-market defensive periods.
| Entry Date | Exit Date | Type | Allocation | Entry Price | Exit Price | Net Return % | Exit Reason | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🔒 Active Positions & Recent Execution Signals Hidden Trading on delayed data carries high execution risk. Current allocations, pending next-day rebalances, and active execution signals (last 60 days) require a Premium subscription. Upgrade to Pro to Unlock | ||||||||
| 2025-07-14 | 2026-05-04 | Completed | 33.33% | $75.46 | $79.25 | 4.97% | Signal | |
| 2025-04-16 | 2025-07-14 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 1.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2024-07-22 | 2025-04-16 | Completed | 33.33% | $69.56 | $71.90 | 3.31% | Signal | |
| 2024-06-18 | 2024-07-22 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.47% | Interest Income | |
| 2024-01-02 | 2024-06-18 | Completed | 33.33% | $66.54 | $68.33 | 2.64% | Signal | |
| 2022-07-12 | 2024-03-11 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.08 | 8.07% | Interest Income | |
| 2023-10-10 | 2024-01-02 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 1.22% | Interest Income | |
| 2023-10-12 | 2023-12-22 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 1.07% | Interest Income | |
| 2023-04-26 | 2023-10-12 | Completed | 33.33% | $61.97 | $62.19 | 0.32% | Signal | |
| 2023-08-03 | 2023-10-10 | Completed | 33.33% | $62.46 | $62.08 | -0.65% | Signal | |
| 2023-07-12 | 2023-08-03 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.34% | Interest Income | |
| 2023-07-05 | 2023-07-12 | Completed | 33.33% | $62.42 | $62.90 | 0.71% | Signal | |
| 2023-05-12 | 2023-07-05 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 0.73% | Interest Income | |
| 2023-01-26 | 2023-05-12 | Completed | 33.33% | $62.08 | $61.92 | -0.30% | Signal | |
| 2022-03-09 | 2023-04-26 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.04 | 3.54% | Interest Income | |
| 2021-12-31 | 2023-01-26 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.02 | 2.38% | Interest Income | |
| 2022-07-08 | 2022-07-12 | Completed | 33.33% | $59.00 | $59.00 | -0.05% | Signal | |
| 2022-06-14 | 2022-07-08 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.11% | Interest Income | |
| 2022-04-06 | 2022-06-14 | Completed | 33.33% | $63.26 | $57.86 | -8.59% | Stop | |
| 2022-03-15 | 2022-04-06 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.03% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-04-01 | 2022-03-15 | Completed | 33.33% | $53.76 | $62.38 | 15.97% | Stop | |
| 2020-06-03 | 2022-03-09 | Completed | 33.33% | $60.50 | $63.84 | 5.48% | Signal | |
| 2020-06-03 | 2021-12-31 | Completed | 33.33% | $60.50 | $67.28 | 11.16% | Signal | |
| 2020-04-17 | 2020-06-03 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.02% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-03-10 | 2020-06-03 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.03% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-04-01 | 2020-04-17 | Completed | 33.33% | $53.76 | $58.15 | 8.11% | Signal | |
| 2020-03-10 | 2020-04-01 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-03-10 | 2020-04-01 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2019-04-23 | 2020-03-10 | Completed | 33.33% | $58.88 | $58.79 | -0.20% | Stop | |
| 2019-04-22 | 2020-03-10 | Completed | 33.33% | $58.86 | $58.79 | -0.18% | Stop | |
| 2019-03-15 | 2020-03-10 | Completed | 33.33% | $58.02 | $58.79 | 1.27% | Stop | |
| 2018-12-26 | 2019-04-23 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 0.77% | Interest Income | |
| 2019-01-30 | 2019-04-22 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 0.54% | Interest Income | |
| 2018-12-03 | 2019-03-15 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 0.66% | Interest Income | |
| 2018-08-08 | 2019-01-30 | Completed | 33.33% | $56.43 | $56.55 | 0.15% | Signal | |
| 2016-06-24 | 2018-12-26 | Completed | 33.33% | $48.68 | $53.46 | 9.76% | Signal | |
| 2018-04-18 | 2018-12-03 | Completed | 33.33% | $55.71 | $55.82 | 0.15% | Signal | |
| 2018-04-16 | 2018-08-08 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 0.61% | Interest Income | |
| 2018-02-09 | 2018-04-18 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.31% | Interest Income | |
| 2016-06-24 | 2018-04-16 | Completed | 33.33% | $48.68 | $55.62 | 14.21% | Signal | |
| 2016-04-29 | 2018-02-09 | Completed | 33.33% | $48.59 | $54.47 | 12.03% | Signal | |
| 2015-10-29 | 2016-06-24 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.16% | Interest Income | |
| 2015-09-29 | 2016-06-24 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.16% | Interest Income | |
| 2015-08-03 | 2016-04-29 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.13% | Interest Income | |
| 2015-09-17 | 2015-10-29 | Completed | 33.33% | $48.29 | $48.21 | -0.22% | Signal | |
| 2015-06-03 | 2015-09-29 | Completed | 33.33% | $50.07 | $46.44 | -7.31% | Stop | |
| 2015-08-25 | 2015-09-17 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2015-01-12 | 2015-08-25 | Completed | 33.33% | $48.88 | $47.83 | -2.21% | Stop | |
| 2015-03-25 | 2015-08-03 | Completed | 33.33% | $49.58 | $48.96 | -1.31% | Signal | |
| 2014-12-17 | 2015-06-03 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2014-10-13 | 2015-03-25 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2014-12-17 | 2015-01-12 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2013-07-18 | 2014-12-17 | Completed | 33.33% | $46.58 | $46.94 | 0.72% | Stop | |
| 2013-07-18 | 2014-12-17 | Completed | 33.33% | $46.58 | $46.94 | 0.72% | Stop | |
| 2013-10-30 | 2014-10-13 | Completed | 33.33% | $47.42 | $48.44 | 2.10% | Signal | |
| 2013-08-14 | 2013-10-30 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2013-07-18 | 2013-08-14 | Completed | 33.33% | $46.58 | $45.77 | -1.78% | Signal | |
| 2013-06-25 | 2013-07-18 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2013-06-25 | 2013-07-18 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2013-06-25 | 2013-07-18 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2011-12-19 | 2013-06-25 | Completed | 33.33% | $39.49 | $44.35 | 12.25% | Stop | |
| 2011-12-07 | 2013-06-25 | Completed | 33.33% | $39.51 | $44.35 | 12.20% | Stop | |
| 2011-12-07 | 2013-06-25 | Completed | 33.33% | $39.51 | $44.35 | 12.20% | Stop | |
| 2011-11-25 | 2011-12-19 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2011-11-08 | 2011-12-07 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2011-08-08 | 2011-12-07 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2011-10-27 | 2011-11-25 | Completed | 33.33% | $40.44 | $37.20 | -8.04% | Stop | |
| 2011-10-27 | 2011-11-08 | Completed | 33.33% | $40.44 | $39.78 | -1.66% | Signal | |
| 2011-10-05 | 2011-10-27 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2011-10-05 | 2011-10-27 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2011-08-30 | 2011-10-05 | Completed | 33.33% | $38.10 | $36.29 | -4.80% | Stop | |
| 2011-08-30 | 2011-10-05 | Completed | 33.33% | $38.10 | $36.29 | -4.80% | Stop | |
| 2011-08-08 | 2011-08-30 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2011-08-08 | 2011-08-30 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2010-06-01 | 2011-08-08 | Completed | 33.33% | $33.57 | $36.90 | 9.85% | Stop | |
| 2010-06-01 | 2011-08-08 | Completed | 33.33% | $33.57 | $36.90 | 9.85% | Stop | |
| 2010-06-01 | 2011-08-08 | Completed | 33.33% | $33.57 | $36.90 | 9.85% | Stop | |
| 2010-05-07 | 2010-06-01 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2010-05-07 | 2010-06-01 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2010-05-07 | 2010-06-01 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2009-06-15 | 2010-05-07 | Completed | 33.33% | $29.11 | $33.65 | 15.52% | Stop | |
| 2009-06-15 | 2010-05-07 | Completed | 33.33% | $29.11 | $33.65 | 15.52% | Stop | |
| 2009-04-03 | 2010-05-07 | Completed | 33.33% | $25.05 | $33.65 | 34.26% | Stop | |
| 2009-04-01 | 2009-06-15 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.03% | Interest Income | |
| 2009-04-01 | 2009-06-15 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.03% | Interest Income | |
| 2009-04-01 | 2009-04-03 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |