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IAGG

iShares Core International Aggregate Bond ETF
TREND FOLLOWING PERFORMANCE HISTORY
2026-09-10
Executive Summary
The quantitative backtest for IAGG (iShares Core International Aggregate Bond ETF) using the Excess Return MMA* strategy in a Investing context demonstrated its primary role in risk mitigation, experiencing a maximum drawdown of -11.2% (compared to the benchmark's drawdown of -13.9%). Over the evaluated period, this protective approach generated a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 1.6%, compared to a Buy-and-Hold benchmark return of 2.0%. The strategy executed 31 total trades.

* Excess Return MMA: Multi-Moving Average (Triple-Band) model utilizing sophisticated long/short cross durations optimized against volatility.

🛡️ IAGG Drawdown Shield & Downside Protection

Why Drawdown Dictates Longevity →
Peak Drawdown Defense
-11.2% (vs -13.9% B&H)
+2.7% shallower drawdown
Drawdown Shield
2.7% Cut
Protected capital vs -13.9% B&H
Capital Sheltered from Risk
32.5% of Time
Earning Treasury yield during downturns
* Drawdown Shield demonstrates how systematic trend-following bounded historical drawdowns and protected principal capital compared to passive Buy & Hold.

📊 IAGG Quality Metrics & KPI Summary

Metric 1Y5Y10YFull
StrategyB&HStrategyB&HStrategyB&HStrategyB&H
Max Drawdown-1.46%-2.32%-7.21%-13.10%-11.19%-13.88%-11.19%-13.88%
Sharpe Ratio0.650.190.500.160.520.470.550.49
Sortino Ratio0.960.290.540.260.510.650.570.68
CAGR1.26%0.55%1.23%0.73%1.37%1.90%1.55%2.02%
% Time Invested62.2%100.0%52.5%100.0%59.7%100.0%67.5%100.0%
Trades / Year5.00.03.20.03.10.03.50.0

Cumulative Growth Performance

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Hydrating Performance Trajectory... Loading historical performance data
Figure 1: Cumulative Trajectory Analysis. Logarithmic growth comparison of IAGG under the Excess Return MMA strategy (Investing) versus Buy & Hold. The strategy produced a 1.6% CAGR with a -11.2% Max Drawdown across 31 trade signals (compared to Buy & Hold's 2.0% CAGR and -13.9% Max Drawdown).

Return Distribution Analysis

Histogram of monthly return distribution for IAGG under Excess Return MMA strategy in Investing context, illustrating downside risk mitigation and return skewness.
Figure 2: Monthly Return Distribution Profile. Monthly return distribution for IAGG under Excess Return MMA (Investing). Visualizes return frequency, volatility clustering, and tail-risk truncation relative to standard buy-and-hold returns.
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Top 5 non-correlated asset sleeves evaluated on 1Y daily percentage returns (Pearson r). Compare them side-by-side in Compare Studio to analyze portfolio diversification.

Diversifier Asset Category 1Y Correlation (r) Action
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Trade History

This log shows every signal-driven transition. Completed trades reflect standard market cycles. An Open or Mark-to-Market exit denotes an active position (either in the primary asset or a cash/yield sleeve) valued at the current price for reporting purposes. Interest entries record yield accrued from cash or cash alternatives (like BIL) during out-of-market defensive periods.

Entry DateExit DateTypeAllocationEntry PriceExit PriceNet Return %Exit Reason
🔒 Active Positions & Recent Execution Signals Hidden
Trading on delayed data carries high execution risk. Current allocations, pending next-day rebalances, and active execution signals (last 60 days) require a Premium subscription.
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2023-12-20 2026-06-05 Completed 33.33% $45.63 $49.72 8.90% Signal
2026-02-26 2026-06-01 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.94% Interest Income
2026-02-19 2026-02-26 Completed 33.33% $49.95 $50.08 0.21% Signal
2026-01-27 2026-02-19 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.23% Interest Income
2026-01-21 2026-02-17 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.26% Interest Income
2026-01-21 2026-01-27 Completed 33.33% $49.42 $49.53 0.17% Signal
2026-01-16 2026-01-21 Completed 33.33% $49.55 $49.42 -0.31% Signal
2025-12-26 2026-01-21 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.23% Interest Income
2025-09-30 2026-01-16 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 1.13% Interest Income
2025-11-12 2025-12-26 Completed 33.33% $49.51 $49.43 -0.20% Signal
2025-10-21 2025-11-12 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.25% Interest Income
2025-09-29 2025-10-21 Completed 33.33% $49.02 $49.49 0.91% Signal
2025-04-03 2025-09-30 Completed 33.33% $48.11 $49.07 1.94% Signal
2025-05-29 2025-09-29 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 1.42% Interest Income
2023-12-20 2025-05-29 Completed 33.33% $45.63 $48.58 6.41% Signal
2025-01-22 2025-04-03 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.85% Interest Income
2024-08-05 2025-01-22 Completed 33.33% $47.31 $47.83 1.04% Signal
2024-05-17 2024-08-05 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 1.12% Interest Income
2023-12-20 2024-05-17 Completed 33.33% $45.63 $45.68 0.05% Signal
2023-07-06 2023-12-20 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.03 2.53% Interest Income
2022-09-27 2023-12-20 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.06 6.22% Interest Income
2022-09-27 2023-12-20 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.06 6.22% Interest Income
2023-06-21 2023-07-06 Completed 33.33% $43.48 $43.25 -0.58% Signal
2023-04-25 2023-06-21 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.81% Interest Income
2023-04-04 2023-04-25 Completed 33.33% $43.24 $43.23 -0.07% Signal
2023-03-07 2023-04-04 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.38% Interest Income
2023-03-02 2023-03-07 Completed 33.33% $42.27 $42.49 0.47% Signal
2022-09-27 2023-03-02 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.02 1.83% Interest Income
2022-07-29 2022-09-27 Completed 33.33% $44.25 $41.75 -5.70% Stop
2022-07-29 2022-09-27 Completed 33.33% $44.25 $41.75 -5.70% Stop
2022-07-29 2022-09-27 Completed 33.33% $44.25 $41.75 -5.70% Stop
2022-02-08 2022-07-29 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.50% Interest Income
2022-01-11 2022-07-29 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.52% Interest Income
2021-11-22 2022-07-29 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.52% Interest Income
2021-07-08 2022-02-08 Completed 33.33% $47.50 $45.99 -3.24% Signal
2020-04-13 2022-01-11 Completed 33.33% $46.40 $46.78 0.78% Signal
2021-07-08 2021-11-22 Completed 33.33% $47.50 $47.33 -0.41% Signal
2021-05-12 2021-07-08 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2021-03-17 2021-07-08 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2020-04-13 2021-05-12 Completed 33.33% $46.40 $46.83 0.89% Signal
2020-07-01 2021-03-17 Completed 33.33% $47.17 $46.97 -0.48% Signal
2020-06-09 2020-07-01 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2020-04-13 2020-06-09 Completed 33.33% $46.40 $46.90 1.02% Signal
2020-03-19 2020-04-13 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2020-03-19 2020-04-13 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2020-03-19 2020-04-13 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2020-03-06 2020-03-19 Completed 33.33% $47.62 $44.94 -5.66% Stop
2019-02-21 2020-03-19 Completed 33.33% $43.04 $44.94 4.38% Stop
2018-06-20 2020-03-19 Completed 33.33% $41.85 $44.94 7.34% Stop
2020-01-02 2020-03-06 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.26% Interest Income
2018-10-30 2020-01-02 Completed 33.33% $41.92 $46.10 9.93% Signal
2018-12-18 2019-02-21 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.41% Interest Income
2018-11-27 2018-12-18 Completed 33.33% $41.99 $42.38 0.87% Signal
2018-10-15 2018-11-27 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.28% Interest Income
2018-10-08 2018-10-30 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.14% Interest Income
2017-11-07 2018-10-15 Completed 33.33% $41.37 $41.60 0.51% Signal
2018-05-21 2018-10-08 Completed 33.33% $41.48 $41.52 0.05% Signal
2018-05-24 2018-06-20 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.14% Interest Income
2017-11-07 2018-05-24 Completed 33.33% $41.37 $41.59 0.46% Signal
2018-03-20 2018-05-21 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.31% Interest Income
2017-11-07 2018-03-20 Completed 33.33% $41.37 $41.50 0.26% Signal
2017-11-03 2017-11-07 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2017-11-03 2017-11-07 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2017-11-03 2017-11-07 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income

Next Steps: Portfolio Integration & Comparative Analysis

Single-ticker trend following is designed to truncate tail risk inside a broader portfolio. View where IAGG ranks across 40+ tracked assets, evaluate correlation against non-correlated diversifiers, or model it inside a custom all-weather asset mix.

📊 View Full 40-Asset Backtest Matrix → 🛠️ Build Custom Portfolio with IAGG → ⚖️ Compare IAGG vs Non-Correlated Assets →