IVV
iShares Core S&P 500 ETF
TREND FOLLOWING PERFORMANCE HISTORY
2026-07-28
Executive Summary
The quantitative backtest for IVV (iShares Core S&P 500 ETF) using the Excess Return SMA* strategy in a Investing context demonstrated its primary role in risk mitigation, experiencing a maximum drawdown of -26.6% (compared to the benchmark's drawdown of -55.2%). Over the evaluated period, this protective approach generated a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 11.4%, compared to a Buy-and-Hold benchmark return of 10.2%. The strategy executed 11 total trades.
* Excess Return SMA: Advanced Single Moving Average model utilizing custom duration weighting and dynamic Stop Loss limits.
* Excess Return SMA: Advanced Single Moving Average model utilizing custom duration weighting and dynamic Stop Loss limits.
📊 Mathematical Model
Excess Return MMA
Advanced Ensemble: Uses multiple signal layers for maximum trend stability and noise reduction.
Excess Return MMA CA
Advanced Dynamic Sleeve: MMA ensemble signals on the primary asset combined with a momentum-based cash alternative ETF rotation.
Excess Return SMA Active
Standard Signal: Classical quantitative trend following optimized for reliable directionality.
Moving Average (50/200)
Moving Average: The baseline 50/200-day crossover model used by technical analysts worldwide.
🎯 Investment Objective
🛡️ Long-Term Investing Active
Ideal for wealth preservation and multi-year horizons. Optimized for low turnover and tax efficiency.
⚔️ Tactical Trading
Ideal for active capital rotation and momentum-first accounts. Optimized for high sensitivity to price shifts.
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IVV Quality Metrics & KPI Summary
| Metric | 1Y | 5Y | 10Y | Full History | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strategy | B&H | Strategy | B&H | Strategy | B&H | Strategy | B&H | |
| CAGR | 17.70% | 17.70% | 7.83% | 12.63% | 14.52% | 14.97% | 11.44% | 10.25% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.29 | 1.29 | 0.53 | 0.70 | 0.93 | 0.77 | 0.78 | 0.52 |
| Max Drawdown | -8.89% | -8.89% | -25.30% | -24.53% | -25.30% | -33.90% | -26.57% | -55.25% |
| % Time Invested | 100.0% | 100.0% | 77.4% | 100.0% | 87.4% | 100.0% | 86.1% | 100.0% |
| Trades / Year | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
Cumulative Growth Performance
Return Distribution Analysis
Trade History
This log shows every signal-driven transition. Completed trades reflect standard market cycles. An Open or Mark-to-Market exit denotes an active position (either in the primary asset or a cash/yield sleeve) valued at the current price for reporting purposes. Interest entries record yield accrued from cash or cash alternatives (like BIL) during out-of-market defensive periods.
| Entry Date | Exit Date | Type | Allocation | Entry Price | Exit Price | Net Return % | Exit Reason | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🔒 Active Positions & Recent Execution Signals Hidden Trading on delayed data carries high execution risk. Current allocations, pending next-day rebalances, and active execution signals (last 60 days) require a Premium subscription. Upgrade to Pro to Unlock | ||||||||
| 2025-04-07 | 2025-04-30 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.27% | Interest Income | |
| 2023-11-08 | 2025-04-07 | Completed | 100% | $424.09 | $484.09 | 14.09% | Stop | |
| 2022-11-30 | 2023-11-08 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.05 | 4.83% | Interest Income | |
| 2022-10-18 | 2022-11-30 | Completed | 100% | $357.65 | $377.13 | 5.39% | Signal | |
| 2022-09-26 | 2022-10-18 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.22% | Interest Income | |
| 2022-06-02 | 2022-09-26 | Completed | 100% | $387.25 | $349.34 | -9.83% | Stop | |
| 2022-05-10 | 2022-06-02 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.07% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-03-24 | 2022-05-10 | Completed | 100% | $215.30 | $382.50 | 77.57% | Stop | |
| 2020-03-02 | 2020-03-24 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.02% | Interest Income | |
| 2019-01-16 | 2020-03-02 | Completed | 100% | $233.29 | $271.94 | 16.51% | Stop | |
| 2018-12-21 | 2019-01-16 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.15% | Interest Income | |
| 2015-09-17 | 2018-12-21 | Completed | 100% | $167.31 | $220.73 | 31.86% | Stop | |
| 2015-08-25 | 2015-09-17 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2011-08-31 | 2015-08-25 | Completed | 100% | $94.17 | $163.45 | 73.47% | Stop | |
| 2011-08-09 | 2011-08-31 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2010-06-01 | 2011-08-09 | Completed | 100% | $81.32 | $87.74 | 7.84% | Stop | |
| 2010-05-07 | 2010-06-01 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2009-07-22 | 2010-05-07 | Completed | 100% | $70.29 | $84.54 | 20.21% | Stop | |
| 2008-07-15 | 2009-07-22 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 0.50% | Interest Income | |
| 2008-02-13 | 2008-07-15 | Completed | 100% | $97.03 | $87.69 | -9.67% | Signal | |
| 2008-01-22 | 2008-02-13 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.14% | Interest Income | |
| 2003-03-21 | 2008-01-22 | Completed | 100% | $57.88 | $90.19 | 55.75% | Stop | |
| 2002-05-17 | 2003-03-21 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 1.22% | Interest Income | |