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SCCO

Southern Copper Corporation
TREND FOLLOWING PERFORMANCE HISTORY
2026-09-09
Executive Summary
The quantitative backtest for SCCO (Southern Copper Corporation) using the Excess Return SMA* strategy in a Investing context demonstrated its primary role in risk mitigation, experiencing a maximum drawdown of -68.0% (compared to the benchmark's drawdown of -78.6%). Over the evaluated period, this protective approach generated a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 15.4%, compared to a Buy-and-Hold benchmark return of 22.4%. The strategy executed 76 total trades.

* Excess Return SMA: Advanced Single Moving Average model utilizing custom duration weighting and dynamic Stop Loss limits.

🛡️ SCCO Drawdown Shield & Downside Protection

Why Drawdown Dictates Longevity →
Peak Drawdown Defense
-68.0% (vs -78.6% B&H)
+10.6% shallower drawdown
Drawdown Shield
10.6% Cut
Protected capital vs -78.6% B&H
Capital Sheltered from Risk
40.0% of Time
Earning Treasury yield during downturns
* Drawdown Shield demonstrates how systematic trend-following bounded historical drawdowns and protected principal capital compared to passive Buy & Hold.

📊 SCCO Quality Metrics & KPI Summary

Metric 1Y5Y10YFull
StrategyB&HStrategyB&HStrategyB&HStrategyB&H
Max Drawdown-18.24%-30.22%-50.08%-43.07%-50.08%-54.83%-67.97%-78.60%
Sharpe Ratio1.901.540.580.750.450.670.490.48
Sortino Ratio2.582.420.741.150.540.970.570.69
CAGR137.44%122.50%21.65%35.34%14.22%29.12%15.41%22.35%
% Time Invested81.0%100.0%70.9%100.0%66.8%100.0%60.0%100.0%
Trades / Year2.00.02.80.02.60.02.70.0

Cumulative Growth Performance

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Hydrating Performance Trajectory... Loading historical performance data
Figure 1: Cumulative Trajectory Analysis. Logarithmic growth comparison of SCCO under the Excess Return SMA strategy (Investing) versus Buy & Hold. The strategy produced a 15.4% CAGR with a -68.0% Max Drawdown across 76 trade signals (compared to Buy & Hold's 22.4% CAGR and -78.6% Max Drawdown).

Return Distribution Analysis

Histogram of monthly return distribution for SCCO under Excess Return SMA strategy in Investing context, illustrating downside risk mitigation and return skewness.
Figure 2: Monthly Return Distribution Profile. Monthly return distribution for SCCO under Excess Return SMA (Investing). Visualizes return frequency, volatility clustering, and tail-risk truncation relative to standard buy-and-hold returns.
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Top 5 non-correlated asset sleeves evaluated on 1Y daily percentage returns (Pearson r). Compare them side-by-side in Compare Studio to analyze portfolio diversification.

Diversifier Asset Category 1Y Correlation (r) Action
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Trade History

This log shows every signal-driven transition. Completed trades reflect standard market cycles. An Open or Mark-to-Market exit denotes an active position (either in the primary asset or a cash/yield sleeve) valued at the current price for reporting purposes. Interest entries record yield accrued from cash or cash alternatives (like BIL) during out-of-market defensive periods.

Entry DateExit DateTypeAllocationEntry PriceExit PriceNet Return %Exit Reason
🔒 Active Positions & Recent Execution Signals Hidden
Trading on delayed data carries high execution risk. Current allocations, pending next-day rebalances, and active execution signals (last 60 days) require a Premium subscription.
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2026-06-09 2026-07-02 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.24% Interest Income
2026-05-22 2026-06-09 Completed 100% $175.66 $170.86 -2.78% Stop
2026-04-30 2026-05-22 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.23% Interest Income
2026-03-31 2026-04-30 Completed 100% $157.77 $167.21 5.93% Stop
2026-03-09 2026-03-31 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.23% Interest Income
2025-08-22 2026-03-09 Completed 100% $88.54 $173.26 95.59% Stop
2025-07-31 2025-08-22 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.27% Interest Income
2025-04-30 2025-07-31 Completed 100% $80.62 $83.12 3.05% Stop
2025-04-07 2025-04-30 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.27% Interest Income
2025-02-27 2025-04-07 Completed 100% $84.65 $68.54 -19.07% Stop
2025-02-04 2025-02-27 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.27% Interest Income
2024-12-09 2025-02-04 Completed 100% $94.55 $82.56 -12.72% Stop
2024-11-14 2024-12-09 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.28% Interest Income
2024-08-27 2024-11-14 Completed 100% $93.77 $91.38 -2.59% Stop
2024-08-05 2024-08-27 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.33% Interest Income
2024-06-28 2024-08-05 Completed 100% $96.98 $81.02 -16.50% Stop
2024-06-05 2024-06-28 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.34% Interest Income
2023-10-18 2024-06-05 Completed 100% $62.62 $98.13 56.63% Stop
2023-09-26 2023-10-18 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.35% Interest Income
2023-06-28 2023-09-26 Completed 100% $60.65 $63.39 4.48% Stop
2023-03-16 2023-06-28 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.01 1.43% Interest Income
2023-01-12 2023-03-16 Completed 100% $62.14 $56.41 -9.28% Stop
2022-09-09 2023-01-12 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.01 1.36% Interest Income
2022-07-14 2022-09-09 Completed 100% $37.28 $39.46 5.79% Signal
2022-06-21 2022-07-14 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.12% Interest Income
2022-05-17 2022-06-21 Completed 100% $44.28 $45.12 1.85% Stop
2022-04-25 2022-05-17 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.06% Interest Income
2021-10-13 2022-04-25 Completed 100% $45.35 $50.83 12.03% Stop
2021-09-21 2021-10-13 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2021-06-16 2021-09-21 Completed 100% $47.22 $43.91 -7.05% Stop
2021-05-24 2021-06-16 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2021-04-16 2021-05-24 Completed 100% $56.27 $52.25 -7.18% Stop
2021-03-24 2021-04-16 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2020-07-13 2021-03-24 Completed 100% $30.91 $51.74 67.34% Stop
2020-01-28 2020-07-13 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.21% Interest Income
2019-12-13 2020-01-28 Completed 100% $29.75 $27.47 -7.71% Stop
2019-09-25 2019-12-13 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.36% Interest Income
2019-09-13 2019-09-25 Completed 100% $25.60 $23.75 -7.28% Stop
2019-04-18 2019-09-13 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.01 0.88% Interest Income
2018-12-19 2019-04-18 Completed 100% $21.28 $28.89 35.66% Signal
2018-11-26 2018-12-19 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.15% Interest Income
2018-11-15 2018-11-26 Completed 100% $24.94 $21.39 -14.28% Stop
2018-10-24 2018-11-15 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.15% Interest Income
2018-10-01 2018-10-24 Completed 100% $28.86 $24.85 -13.94% Stop
2018-09-07 2018-10-01 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.14% Interest Income
2018-06-21 2018-09-07 Completed 100% $31.14 $27.48 -11.79% Stop
2018-05-30 2018-06-21 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.12% Interest Income
2017-05-30 2018-05-30 Completed 100% $22.61 $32.35 43.01% Stop
2017-05-05 2017-05-30 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.06% Interest Income
2017-01-20 2017-05-05 Completed 100% $23.10 $21.32 -7.75% Stop
2016-12-19 2017-01-20 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.04% Interest Income
2016-12-09 2016-12-19 Completed 100% $22.47 $20.75 -7.68% Stop
2015-11-04 2016-12-09 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.32% Interest Income
2015-09-17 2015-11-04 Completed 100% $17.98 $18.10 0.66% Signal
2015-08-25 2015-09-17 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2015-07-30 2015-08-25 Completed 100% $17.79 $16.52 -7.18% Stop
2015-07-08 2015-07-30 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2015-02-09 2015-07-08 Completed 100% $18.48 $18.33 -0.84% Stop
2015-01-15 2015-02-09 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2014-12-31 2015-01-15 Completed 100% $18.00 $16.43 -8.77% Stop
2014-09-23 2014-12-31 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2014-07-08 2014-09-23 Completed 100% $20.56 $18.85 -8.38% Stop
2014-05-12 2014-07-08 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2014-04-07 2014-05-12 Completed 100% $18.80 $18.32 -2.61% Stop
2014-01-27 2014-04-07 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2013-12-18 2014-01-27 Completed 100% $16.62 $17.51 5.31% Signal
2013-11-25 2013-12-18 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2013-07-05 2013-11-25 Completed 100% $16.93 $16.02 -5.43% Stop
2013-06-12 2013-07-05 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2013-04-12 2013-06-12 Completed 100% $21.86 $18.52 -15.35% Stop
2013-03-20 2013-04-12 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2012-06-21 2013-03-20 Completed 100% $17.58 $22.00 25.05% Stop
2012-05-09 2012-06-21 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2012-05-03 2012-05-09 Completed 100% $18.43 $17.16 -6.95% Stop
2012-03-01 2012-05-03 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2011-10-14 2012-03-01 Completed 100% $15.14 $17.86 17.90% Signal
2011-09-22 2011-10-14 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2011-08-29 2011-09-22 Completed 100% $17.51 $14.40 -17.83% Stop
2011-08-05 2011-08-29 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2011-06-29 2011-08-05 Completed 100% $17.03 $16.61 -2.50% Stop
2011-06-07 2011-06-29 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2011-05-10 2011-06-07 Completed 100% $19.21 $16.43 -14.53% Stop
2011-04-15 2011-05-10 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2011-03-17 2011-04-15 Completed 100% $21.24 $18.64 -12.29% Stop
2011-02-23 2011-03-17 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2010-07-26 2011-02-23 Completed 100% $16.31 $21.23 30.15% Stop
2010-07-01 2010-07-26 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2010-05-26 2010-07-01 Completed 100% $14.23 $13.34 -6.30% Stop
2010-05-04 2010-05-26 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2010-02-16 2010-05-04 Completed 100% $15.02 $14.69 -2.28% Stop
2010-01-22 2010-02-16 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2009-07-22 2010-01-22 Completed 100% $11.38 $14.56 27.82% Stop
2009-01-09 2009-07-22 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.10% Interest Income
2008-12-24 2009-01-09 Completed 100% $6.84 $8.43 23.23% Signal
2008-12-02 2008-12-24 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2008-11-20 2008-12-02 Completed 100% $4.78 $5.76 20.34% Stop
2008-10-29 2008-11-20 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2008-10-27 2008-10-29 Completed 100% $4.72 $5.90 24.99% Stop
2008-10-03 2008-10-27 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.04% Interest Income
2008-09-30 2008-10-03 Completed 100% $9.20 $7.53 -18.14% Stop
2008-09-08 2008-09-30 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.06% Interest Income
2008-08-27 2008-09-08 Completed 100% $11.98 $10.75 -10.27% Stop
2008-08-05 2008-08-27 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.11% Interest Income
2008-07-31 2008-08-05 Completed 100% $12.99 $10.93 -15.91% Stop
2008-07-09 2008-07-31 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.10% Interest Income
2008-06-20 2008-07-09 Completed 100% $16.19 $15.25 -5.89% Stop
2008-05-29 2008-06-20 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.12% Interest Income
2008-04-10 2008-05-29 Completed 100% $17.52 $16.22 -7.51% Stop
2008-03-18 2008-04-10 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.08% Interest Income
2008-02-12 2008-03-18 Completed 100% $15.20 $15.87 4.36% Stop
2008-01-18 2008-02-12 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.14% Interest Income
2008-01-11 2008-01-18 Completed 100% $14.46 $12.38 -14.41% Stop
2007-12-18 2008-01-11 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.20% Interest Income
2007-12-04 2007-12-18 Completed 100% $16.00 $15.18 -5.20% Stop
2007-11-09 2007-12-04 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.20% Interest Income
2007-08-29 2007-11-09 Completed 100% $14.58 $17.31 18.69% Stop
2007-08-07 2007-08-29 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.26% Interest Income
2007-03-28 2007-08-07 Completed 100% $10.09 $14.24 41.01% Stop
2007-03-06 2007-03-28 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.31% Interest Income
2006-06-13 2007-03-06 Completed 100% $4.64 $9.36 101.75% Stop
2006-05-19 2006-06-13 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.30% Interest Income
2005-11-07 2006-05-19 Completed 100% $3.41 $5.62 64.63% Stop
2005-10-14 2005-11-07 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.24% Interest Income
2005-07-19 2005-10-14 Completed 100% $2.74 $3.10 13.21% Stop
2005-06-24 2005-07-19 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.20% Interest Income
2005-06-06 2005-06-24 Completed 100% $2.91 $2.44 -16.08% Stop
2005-05-12 2005-06-06 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.18% Interest Income
2005-04-20 2005-05-12 Completed 100% $3.40 $2.86 -15.88% Stop
2005-03-29 2005-04-20 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.18% Interest Income
2004-11-05 2005-03-29 Completed 100% $2.53 $3.01 19.09% Stop
2004-10-14 2004-11-05 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.12% Interest Income
2004-05-13 2004-10-14 Completed 100% $1.43 $2.47 72.15% Stop
2004-04-21 2004-05-13 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.06% Interest Income
2004-04-01 2004-04-21 Completed 100% $2.11 $1.85 -12.31% Stop
2004-03-10 2004-04-01 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.06% Interest Income
2004-02-11 2004-03-10 Completed 100% $2.07 $1.91 -7.40% Stop
2004-01-20 2004-02-11 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.06% Interest Income
2002-10-10 2004-01-20 Completed 100% $0.68 $2.34 243.13% Stop
2000-12-29 2002-10-10 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.05 4.81% Interest Income
2000-12-08 2000-12-29 Completed 100% $0.58 $0.59 2.51% Signal
2000-11-15 2000-12-08 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.39% Interest Income
2000-10-12 2000-11-15 Completed 100% $0.67 $0.58 -13.14% Stop
2000-09-20 2000-10-12 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.38% Interest Income
2000-07-05 2000-09-20 Completed 100% $0.58 $0.70 20.74% Stop
2000-06-12 2000-07-05 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.36% Interest Income
2000-03-30 2000-06-12 Completed 100% $0.59 $0.53 -11.45% Stop
2000-03-08 2000-03-30 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.36% Interest Income
1999-11-16 2000-03-08 Completed 100% $0.73 $0.65 -11.83% Stop
1998-06-26 1999-11-16 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.07 6.59% Interest Income
1998-06-03 1998-06-26 Completed 100% $0.59 $0.59 -0.05% Signal
1998-05-11 1998-06-03 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.32% Interest Income
1998-03-19 1998-05-11 Completed 100% $0.66 $0.63 -4.67% Stop
1998-03-17 1998-03-19 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income

Next Steps: Portfolio Integration & Comparative Analysis

Single-ticker trend following is designed to truncate tail risk inside a broader portfolio. View where SCCO ranks across 40+ tracked assets, evaluate correlation against non-correlated diversifiers, or model it inside a custom all-weather asset mix.

📊 View Full 40-Asset Backtest Matrix → 🛠️ Build Custom Portfolio with SCCO → ⚖️ Compare SCCO vs Non-Correlated Assets →