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SPIB

SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Corporate Bond ETF
TREND FOLLOWING PERFORMANCE HISTORY
2026-09-09
Executive Summary
The quantitative backtest for SPIB (SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Corporate Bond ETF) using the Excess Return MMA CA* strategy in a Investing context demonstrated its primary role in risk mitigation, experiencing a maximum drawdown of -6.6% (compared to the benchmark's drawdown of -14.9%). Over the evaluated period, this protective approach generated a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 3.2%, compared to a Buy-and-Hold benchmark return of 3.2%. The strategy executed 26 total trades.

* Excess Return MMA CA: Multi-Moving Average (Triple-Band) model utilizing sophisticated long/short cross durations optimized against volatility, with a month-end dynamic Cash Alternative sleeve rotation.

🛡️ SPIB Drawdown Shield & Downside Protection

Why Drawdown Dictates Longevity →
Peak Drawdown Defense
-6.6% (vs -14.9% B&H)
+8.4% shallower drawdown
Downside Efficiency
1.37 Sortino
+0.42 vs 0.95 B&H
Capital Sheltered from Risk
28.0% of Time
Earning Treasury yield during downturns
* Drawdown Shield demonstrates how systematic trend-following bounded historical drawdowns and protected principal capital compared to passive Buy & Hold.

📊 SPIB Quality Metrics & KPI Summary

Metric 1Y5Y10YFull
StrategyB&HStrategyB&HStrategyB&HStrategyB&H
Max Drawdown-2.02%-2.02%-3.77%-14.60%-6.58%-14.94%-6.58%-14.94%
Sharpe Ratio1.030.481.330.331.140.581.180.77
Sortino Ratio1.440.761.640.511.190.691.370.95
CAGR2.36%1.34%3.02%1.50%2.87%2.68%3.19%3.24%
% Time Invested77.7%100.0%49.4%100.0%61.2%100.0%72.0%100.0%
Trades / Year0.00.01.40.01.80.01.70.0

Cumulative Growth Performance

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Hydrating Performance Trajectory... Loading historical performance data
Figure 1: Cumulative Trajectory Analysis. Logarithmic growth comparison of SPIB under the Excess Return MMA CA strategy (Investing) versus Buy & Hold. The strategy produced a 3.2% CAGR with a -6.6% Max Drawdown across 26 trade signals (compared to Buy & Hold's 3.2% CAGR and -14.9% Max Drawdown).

Return Distribution Analysis

Histogram of monthly return distribution for SPIB under Excess Return MMA CA strategy in Investing context, illustrating downside risk mitigation and return skewness.
Figure 2: Monthly Return Distribution Profile. Monthly return distribution for SPIB under Excess Return MMA CA (Investing). Visualizes return frequency, volatility clustering, and tail-risk truncation relative to standard buy-and-hold returns.
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Loading Top Diversifiers for SPIB...

Top 5 non-correlated asset sleeves evaluated on 1Y daily percentage returns (Pearson r). Compare them side-by-side in Compare Studio to analyze portfolio diversification.

Diversifier Asset Category 1Y Correlation (r) Action
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Trade History

This log shows every signal-driven transition. Completed trades reflect standard market cycles. An Open or Mark-to-Market exit denotes an active position (either in the primary asset or a cash/yield sleeve) valued at the current price for reporting purposes. Interest entries record yield accrued from cash or cash alternatives (like BIL) during out-of-market defensive periods.

Entry DateExit DateTypeAllocationEntry PriceExit PriceNet Return %Exit Reason
🔒 Active Positions & Recent Execution Signals Hidden
Trading on delayed data carries high execution risk. Current allocations, pending next-day rebalances, and active execution signals (last 60 days) require a Premium subscription.
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2025-07-24 2026-06-18 Completed 33.33% $31.73 $33.04 4.07% Signal
2026-03-31 2026-05-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.32% Interest Income
2025-04-24 2026-03-31 Completed 33.33% $30.99 $32.76 5.65% Signal
2025-06-03 2025-07-24 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.90% Interest Income
2025-05-02 2025-06-02 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.32% Interest Income
2025-04-16 2025-05-01 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.43% Interest Income
2025-01-02 2025-04-24 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 1.09% Interest Income
2024-03-22 2025-04-16 Completed 33.33% $29.26 $30.89 5.52% Signal
2024-08-02 2025-01-02 Completed 33.33% $30.22 $30.47 0.76% Signal
2024-08-02 2024-08-05 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.09% Interest Income
2024-05-16 2024-08-02 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 1.23% Interest Income
2023-06-02 2024-08-01 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.08 7.87% Interest Income
2024-01-11 2024-05-16 Completed 33.33% $29.06 $29.36 1.00% Signal
2023-09-13 2024-03-22 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.04 3.58% Interest Income
2023-06-02 2024-01-11 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.04 3.94% Interest Income
2023-06-21 2023-09-13 Completed 33.33% $27.80 $27.77 -0.17% Signal
2023-06-02 2023-06-21 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.36% Interest Income
2023-05-22 2023-06-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.17% Interest Income
2023-04-04 2023-06-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.71% Interest Income
2023-04-04 2023-06-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.71% Interest Income
2023-02-07 2023-05-22 Completed 33.33% $27.80 $27.92 0.39% Signal
2022-12-02 2023-04-03 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.02 1.87% Interest Income
2022-12-02 2023-04-03 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.02 1.87% Interest Income
2022-12-02 2023-02-07 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 1.49% Interest Income
2022-10-04 2022-12-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.52% Interest Income
2022-10-04 2022-12-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.52% Interest Income
2022-10-04 2022-12-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.52% Interest Income
2022-09-02 2022-10-03 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.05% Interest Income
2022-09-02 2022-10-03 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.05% Interest Income
2022-09-02 2022-10-03 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.05% Interest Income
2022-03-17 2022-09-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.36% Interest Income
2022-03-02 2022-09-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.37% Interest Income
2022-03-02 2022-09-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.37% Interest Income
2020-04-06 2022-03-17 Completed 33.33% $27.36 $28.56 4.31% Stop
2022-02-02 2022-03-01 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.02% Interest Income
2022-01-04 2022-03-01 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2021-09-02 2022-02-02 Completed 33.33% $30.44 $29.56 -2.94% Signal
2021-11-19 2022-01-03 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.02% Interest Income
2021-07-13 2021-11-19 Completed 33.33% $30.37 $30.05 -1.11% Signal
2021-08-03 2021-09-02 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.02% Interest Income
2021-06-28 2021-08-02 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.03% Interest Income
2021-05-04 2021-07-13 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.17% Interest Income
2020-04-06 2021-06-28 Completed 33.33% $27.36 $30.20 10.33% Signal
2021-04-08 2021-05-03 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2020-05-21 2021-04-08 Completed 33.33% $28.86 $29.90 3.56% Signal
2020-03-13 2020-05-21 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.11% Interest Income
2020-03-13 2020-04-06 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.08% Interest Income
2020-03-13 2020-04-06 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.08% Interest Income
2019-03-13 2020-03-13 Completed 33.33% $26.41 $27.26 3.16% Stop
2019-03-07 2020-03-13 Completed 33.33% $26.30 $27.26 3.59% Stop
2019-02-14 2020-03-13 Completed 33.33% $26.19 $27.26 4.04% Stop
2019-03-04 2019-03-13 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.14% Interest Income
2019-03-04 2019-03-07 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2018-12-04 2019-03-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.61% Interest Income
2018-12-04 2019-03-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.61% Interest Income
2018-12-04 2019-02-14 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.49% Interest Income
2018-11-19 2018-12-03 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.07% Interest Income
2018-11-02 2018-12-03 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.16% Interest Income
2018-11-02 2018-12-03 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.16% Interest Income
2018-08-29 2018-11-19 Completed 33.33% $25.59 $25.38 -0.87% Signal
2018-06-14 2018-11-01 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.94% Interest Income
2018-03-08 2018-11-01 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 1.49% Interest Income
2018-01-09 2018-08-29 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.02 1.63% Interest Income
2011-02-14 2018-06-14 Completed 33.33% $19.92 $25.27 26.79% Signal
2017-06-29 2018-03-08 Completed 33.33% $25.51 $25.34 -0.70% Signal
2017-04-18 2018-01-09 Completed 33.33% $25.33 $25.76 1.64% Signal
2017-05-02 2017-06-29 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.26% Interest Income
2017-04-04 2017-05-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.06% Interest Income
2017-04-04 2017-04-18 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2017-03-06 2017-04-03 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.03% Interest Income
2016-12-07 2017-04-03 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.45% Interest Income
2016-02-23 2017-03-06 Completed 33.33% $24.04 $25.05 4.16% Signal
2016-03-22 2016-12-07 Completed 33.33% $24.41 $24.82 1.60% Signal
2016-03-02 2016-03-22 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2016-02-08 2016-03-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.01% Interest Income
2016-02-02 2016-02-23 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.03% Interest Income
2015-10-29 2016-02-08 Completed 33.33% $24.07 $23.94 -0.56% Signal
2015-11-03 2016-02-01 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.11% Interest Income
2015-10-16 2015-11-02 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.06% Interest Income
2015-09-02 2015-10-29 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2013-10-25 2015-10-16 Completed 33.33% $22.78 $24.06 5.55% Signal
2015-08-04 2015-09-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2015-07-16 2015-08-03 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.02% Interest Income
2013-10-25 2015-07-16 Completed 33.33% $22.78 $23.80 4.39% Signal
2013-08-14 2013-10-25 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.17% Interest Income
2013-08-02 2013-10-25 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.19% Interest Income
2011-02-14 2013-08-14 Completed 33.33% $19.92 $22.32 12.02% Signal
2013-07-12 2013-08-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2011-04-14 2013-07-12 Completed 33.33% $20.28 $22.35 10.19% Signal
2011-04-04 2011-04-14 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2011-03-02 2011-04-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2011-02-10 2011-03-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.02% Interest Income
2011-02-10 2011-02-14 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.01% Interest Income
2011-02-10 2011-02-14 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.01% Interest Income

Next Steps: Portfolio Integration & Comparative Analysis

Single-ticker trend following is designed to truncate tail risk inside a broader portfolio. View where SPIB ranks across 40+ tracked assets, evaluate correlation against non-correlated diversifiers, or model it inside a custom all-weather asset mix.

📊 View Full 40-Asset Backtest Matrix → 🛠️ Build Custom Portfolio with SPIB → ⚖️ Compare SPIB vs Non-Correlated Assets →