DASHBOARDS: Portfolio Hub Market Pulse Performance
SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
TREND FOLLOWING PERFORMANCE HISTORY
2026-05-31
Executive Summary
The quantitative backtest for SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust) using the Excess Return MMA CA* strategy in a Investing context demonstrated its primary role in risk mitigation, experiencing a maximum drawdown of -19.0% (compared to the benchmark's drawdown of -55.2%). Over the evaluated period, this protective approach generated a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 11.5%, compared to a Buy-and-Hold benchmark return of 11.2%. The strategy executed 68 total trades.

* Excess Return MMA CA: Multi-Moving Average (Triple-Band) model utilizing sophisticated long/short cross durations optimized against volatility, with a month-end dynamic Cash Alternative sleeve rotation.

SPY Quality Metrics & KPI Summary

Metric1Y5Y10YFull History
StrategyB&HStrategyB&HStrategyB&HStrategyB&H
CAGR23.02%29.70%10.45%14.08%14.80%15.56%11.50%11.22%
Sharpe Ratio1.882.210.850.781.090.810.870.56
Max Drawdown-8.88%-8.88%-17.63%-24.50%-17.63%-33.72%-18.98%-55.19%
% Time Invested100.0%100.0%92.5%100.0%95.3%100.0%90.2%100.0%
Trades / Year0.00.01.80.02.00.02.20.0

Cumulative Growth Performance

Return Distribution Analysis

Return Distribution

Trade History

This log shows every signal-driven transition. Completed trades reflect standard market cycles. An Open / Mark-to-Market exit denotes a position currently held active, valued at the latest price. Interest entries record cash yields accrued during out-of-market periods.

Entry DateExit DateTypeAllocationEntry PriceExit PriceNet Return %Exit Reason
2026-05-14 Open Open 33.33% $743.65 $756.48 1.73% Mark-to-Market
2025-09-10 Open Open 33.33% $648.12 $756.48 16.72% Mark-to-Market
2025-04-30 Open Open 33.33% $541.36 $756.48 39.74% Mark-to-Market
2026-05-04 2026-05-14 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.14% Interest Income
2026-04-07 2026-05-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.25% Interest Income
2025-05-01 2026-04-07 Completed 33.33% $554.02 $656.65 18.52% Signal
2025-07-17 2025-09-10 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.68% Interest Income
2025-04-30 2025-07-17 Completed 33.33% $541.36 $619.15 14.37% Signal
2025-03-28 2025-05-01 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.18% Interest Income
2025-04-07 2025-04-30 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.02 1.64% Interest Income
2025-04-07 2025-04-30 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.02 1.64% Interest Income
2023-11-08 2025-04-07 Completed 33.33% $424.11 $483.65 14.04% Stop
2023-04-19 2025-04-07 Completed 33.33% $396.68 $483.65 21.92% Stop
2024-01-04 2025-03-28 Completed 33.33% $455.76 $559.12 22.68% Signal
2023-11-03 2024-01-04 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 1.02% Interest Income
2023-06-02 2023-11-08 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.03 2.75% Interest Income
2023-01-27 2023-11-03 Completed 33.33% $386.97 $419.84 8.49% Signal
2023-04-04 2023-06-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.71% Interest Income
2023-04-04 2023-04-19 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.17% Interest Income
2022-12-02 2023-04-03 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.02 1.87% Interest Income
2022-12-02 2023-04-03 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.02 1.87% Interest Income
2022-12-02 2023-01-27 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 1.20% Interest Income
2022-11-18 2022-12-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.12% Interest Income
2022-10-04 2022-12-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.52% Interest Income
2022-10-04 2022-12-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.52% Interest Income
2022-10-25 2022-11-18 Completed 33.33% $361.47 $379.55 5.00% Signal
2022-10-04 2022-10-25 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.14% Interest Income
2022-10-03 2022-10-03 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.05% Interest Income
2022-09-02 2022-10-03 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.05% Interest Income
2022-09-02 2022-10-03 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.05% Interest Income
2022-06-02 2022-10-03 Completed 33.33% $387.42 $344.57 -11.06% Stop
2022-05-10 2022-09-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.35% Interest Income
2022-03-02 2022-09-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.37% Interest Income
2022-05-10 2022-06-02 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2022-03-21 2022-05-10 Completed 33.33% $420.47 $382.76 -8.97% Stop
2020-04-01 2022-05-10 Completed 33.33% $227.95 $382.76 67.91% Stop
2022-03-02 2022-03-21 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2022-02-25 2022-03-01 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.08% Interest Income
2022-02-25 2022-03-01 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.08% Interest Income
2020-08-11 2022-02-25 Completed 33.33% $311.01 $405.27 30.31% Stop
2020-06-25 2022-02-25 Completed 33.33% $280.19 $405.27 44.64% Stop
2020-06-29 2020-08-11 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.36% Interest Income
2020-03-24 2020-06-29 Completed 33.33% $215.49 $278.29 29.14% Signal
2020-06-02 2020-06-25 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.62% Interest Income
2020-04-08 2020-06-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.04% Interest Income
2020-03-24 2020-04-08 Completed 33.33% $215.49 $246.32 14.31% Signal
2020-03-10 2020-04-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.07% Interest Income
2020-03-03 2020-03-24 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.36% Interest Income
2020-03-03 2020-03-24 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.36% Interest Income
2019-01-16 2020-03-10 Completed 33.33% $233.93 $260.12 11.20% Stop
2020-03-02 2020-03-02 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.05% Interest Income
2020-03-02 2020-03-02 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.05% Interest Income
2019-04-08 2020-03-02 Completed 33.33% $259.53 $272.52 5.01% Stop
2019-03-28 2020-03-02 Completed 33.33% $252.55 $272.52 7.91% Stop
2019-03-04 2019-04-08 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.42% Interest Income
2019-03-04 2019-03-28 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.26% Interest Income
2019-02-13 2019-03-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.13% Interest Income
2018-12-04 2019-03-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.61% Interest Income
2019-01-11 2019-02-13 Completed 33.33% $231.11 $246.67 6.73% Signal
2018-12-21 2019-01-16 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.18% Interest Income
2018-12-18 2019-01-11 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.17% Interest Income
2011-08-31 2018-12-21 Completed 33.33% $94.30 $221.30 134.68% Stop
2016-06-29 2018-12-18 Completed 33.33% $174.93 $229.34 31.10% Stop
2018-07-11 2018-12-04 Completed 33.33% $246.01 $248.22 0.89% Signal
2018-05-21 2018-07-11 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.20% Interest Income
2016-04-29 2018-05-21 Completed 33.33% $175.63 $241.26 37.37% Signal
2016-04-04 2016-06-29 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.70% Interest Income
2016-04-04 2016-04-29 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.24% Interest Income
2016-03-02 2016-04-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2016-03-02 2016-04-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2016-02-25 2016-03-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.03% Interest Income
2016-02-02 2016-03-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2015-12-15 2016-02-25 Completed 33.33% $171.99 $163.75 -4.80% Signal
2015-11-06 2016-02-01 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.07% Interest Income
2015-11-03 2015-12-15 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.09% Interest Income
2015-09-17 2015-11-06 Completed 33.33% $167.19 $176.23 5.40% Signal
2015-09-02 2015-11-02 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.02% Interest Income
2015-09-02 2015-09-17 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.02% Interest Income
2015-08-25 2015-09-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2015-08-25 2015-09-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2012-08-29 2015-08-25 Completed 33.33% $111.29 $163.36 46.79% Stop
2012-03-08 2015-08-25 Completed 33.33% $106.34 $163.36 53.62% Stop
2012-07-11 2012-08-29 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.64% Interest Income
2011-12-22 2012-07-11 Completed 33.33% $97.08 $105.54 8.72% Signal
2012-01-04 2012-03-08 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.02 1.85% Interest Income
2011-12-02 2012-01-03 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.02% Interest Income
2011-12-02 2011-12-22 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.01% Interest Income
2011-10-17 2011-12-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.02% Interest Income
2011-08-04 2011-12-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.07% Interest Income
2011-08-30 2011-10-17 Completed 33.33% $93.04 $94.42 1.48% Signal
2011-08-09 2011-08-31 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2011-08-08 2011-08-30 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2010-07-27 2011-08-09 Completed 33.33% $84.68 $87.84 3.73% Stop
2010-11-08 2011-08-08 Completed 33.33% $92.85 $90.02 -3.04% Stop
2010-10-11 2011-08-04 Completed 33.33% $88.58 $95.81 8.16% Signal
2010-11-02 2010-11-08 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.02% Interest Income
2010-10-12 2010-11-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.01% Interest Income
2010-06-01 2010-10-12 Completed 33.33% $81.40 $88.24 8.40% Signal
2010-09-02 2010-10-11 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.04% Interest Income
2010-07-16 2010-09-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.02% Interest Income
2010-07-02 2010-07-27 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.04% Interest Income
2010-06-01 2010-07-16 Completed 33.33% $81.40 $82.35 1.16% Signal
2009-11-11 2010-07-02 Completed 33.33% $82.09 $77.84 -5.19% Stop
2010-05-07 2010-06-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2010-05-07 2010-06-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2009-08-18 2010-05-07 Completed 33.33% $72.98 $84.63 15.96% Stop
2009-05-29 2010-05-07 Completed 33.33% $67.33 $84.63 25.68% Stop
2009-10-02 2009-11-11 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.04% Interest Income
2009-07-02 2009-10-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.03% Interest Income
2009-07-02 2009-08-18 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.04% Interest Income
2009-06-02 2009-07-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.03% Interest Income
2009-06-02 2009-07-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.03% Interest Income
2009-05-04 2009-06-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.10% Interest Income
2009-05-04 2009-06-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.10% Interest Income
2009-05-04 2009-05-29 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.04% Interest Income
2009-04-02 2009-05-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2009-04-02 2009-05-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2009-04-02 2009-05-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2009-01-05 2009-04-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.18% Interest Income
2009-01-05 2009-04-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.18% Interest Income
2009-01-05 2009-04-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.18% Interest Income
2008-09-03 2009-01-02 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.77% Interest Income
2008-09-03 2009-01-02 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.77% Interest Income
2008-09-03 2009-01-02 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.77% Interest Income
2008-07-29 2008-09-02 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.17% Interest Income
2008-07-24 2008-09-02 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.17% Interest Income
2008-06-03 2008-09-02 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.49% Interest Income
2008-06-13 2008-07-29 Completed 33.33% $97.00 $89.42 -7.82% Signal
2008-02-14 2008-07-24 Completed 33.33% $97.80 $92.56 -5.35% Signal
2008-06-03 2008-06-13 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.04% Interest Income
2008-01-10 2008-06-02 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 1.17% Interest Income
2008-01-02 2008-06-02 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 1.35% Interest Income
2008-01-23 2008-02-14 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.26% Interest Income
2003-03-21 2008-01-23 Completed 33.33% $58.23 $90.76 55.85% Stop
2006-11-16 2008-01-10 Completed 33.33% $97.93 $99.75 1.86% Signal
2007-12-03 2008-01-02 Completed 33.33% $105.26 $104.64 -0.60% Signal
2007-09-18 2007-12-03 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 1.16% Interest Income
2006-09-19 2007-09-18 Completed 33.33% $92.13 $105.22 14.21% Signal
2006-10-06 2006-11-16 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.57% Interest Income
2004-12-17 2006-10-06 Completed 33.33% $80.82 $94.10 16.44% Signal
2006-06-22 2006-09-19 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 1.20% Interest Income
2005-12-23 2006-06-22 Completed 33.33% $87.28 $86.74 -0.61% Signal
2005-11-09 2005-12-23 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.48% Interest Income
2005-06-22 2005-11-09 Completed 33.33% $82.97 $83.60 0.76% Signal
2005-05-04 2005-06-22 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.39% Interest Income
2004-11-05 2005-05-04 Completed 33.33% $78.58 $79.22 0.82% Signal
2004-10-26 2004-12-17 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.31% Interest Income
2004-06-07 2004-11-05 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.65% Interest Income
2003-03-21 2004-10-26 Completed 33.33% $58.23 $73.93 26.96% Signal
2003-05-21 2004-06-07 Completed 33.33% $60.40 $75.56 25.09% Signal
2003-03-20 2003-05-21 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.19% Interest Income
2001-08-22 2003-03-21 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.03 2.66% Interest Income
2001-08-22 2003-03-21 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.03 2.66% Interest Income
2003-03-11 2003-03-20 Completed 33.33% $53.22 $57.04 7.18% Signal
2003-02-14 2003-03-11 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.07% Interest Income
2002-12-31 2003-02-14 Completed 33.33% $57.47 $53.80 -6.39% Stop
2002-04-17 2002-12-31 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 1.12% Interest Income
2002-01-10 2002-04-17 Completed 33.33% $74.38 $73.11 -1.71% Signal
2001-08-27 2002-01-10 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.76% Interest Income
2001-07-18 2001-08-27 Completed 33.33% $76.96 $75.94 -1.32% Signal
2001-08-03 2001-08-22 Completed 33.33% $78.11 $74.53 -4.58% Stop
2001-08-03 2001-08-22 Completed 33.33% $78.11 $74.53 -4.58% Stop
2001-02-28 2001-08-03 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.02 1.66% Interest Income
2000-10-17 2001-08-03 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.04 3.73% Interest Income
2000-10-18 2001-07-18 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.04 3.53% Interest Income
2001-01-17 2001-02-28 Completed 33.33% $85.60 $80.46 -6.00% Signal
2000-12-21 2001-01-17 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.34% Interest Income
1998-09-24 2000-12-21 Completed 33.33% $65.86 $79.99 21.46% Stop
2000-05-19 2000-10-18 Completed 33.33% $89.79 $83.94 -6.52% Signal
2000-05-10 2000-10-17 Completed 33.33% $88.49 $87.62 -0.99% Signal
2000-04-17 2000-05-19 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.53% Interest Income
2000-04-17 2000-05-10 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.36% Interest Income
1999-11-19 2000-04-17 Completed 33.33% $89.24 $85.14 -4.59% Stop
1999-02-03 2000-04-17 Completed 33.33% $78.12 $85.14 8.99% Stop
1999-10-04 1999-11-19 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.67% Interest Income
1998-12-11 1999-10-04 Completed 33.33% $72.13 $80.96 12.24% Signal
1999-01-08 1999-02-03 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.29% Interest Income
1998-09-23 1999-01-08 Completed 33.33% $64.35 $79.67 23.82% Signal
1998-08-31 1998-12-11 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 1.25% Interest Income
1998-09-01 1998-09-24 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.30% Interest Income
1998-08-31 1998-09-23 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.30% Interest Income
1995-05-25 1998-09-01 Completed 33.33% $30.84 $59.30 92.28% Stop
1997-11-20 1998-08-31 Completed 33.33% $58.25 $64.04 9.95% Stop
1997-11-20 1998-08-31 Completed 33.33% $58.25 $64.04 9.95% Stop
1997-10-29 1997-11-20 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.33% Interest Income
1997-10-29 1997-11-20 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.33% Interest Income
1996-10-14 1997-10-29 Completed 33.33% $42.28 $56.53 33.71% Stop
1995-01-23 1997-10-29 Completed 33.33% $26.77 $56.53 111.14% Stop
1996-09-06 1996-10-14 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.52% Interest Income
1995-03-01 1996-09-06 Completed 33.33% $28.36 $39.03 37.64% Signal
1995-01-19 1995-05-25 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.02 2.00% Interest Income
1995-01-19 1995-03-01 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.62% Interest Income
1995-01-19 1995-01-23 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income