DASHBOARDS: Portfolio Hub Market Pulse Performance

TLT

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
TREND FOLLOWING PERFORMANCE HISTORY
2026-06-12
Executive Summary
The quantitative backtest for TLT (iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF) using the Excess Return MMA* strategy in a Investing context demonstrated its primary role in risk mitigation, experiencing a maximum drawdown of -23.3% (compared to the benchmark's drawdown of -48.4%). Over the evaluated period, this protective approach generated a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 3.4%, compared to a Buy-and-Hold benchmark return of 3.4%. The strategy executed 102 total trades.

* Excess Return MMA: Multi-Moving Average (Triple-Band) model utilizing sophisticated long/short cross durations optimized against volatility.

TLT Quality Metrics & KPI Summary

Metric1Y5Y10YFull History
StrategyB&HStrategyB&HStrategyB&HStrategyB&H
CAGR2.23%2.88%0.86%-6.39%0.49%-1.76%3.37%3.39%
Sharpe Ratio0.660.300.16-0.420.06-0.120.340.23
Max Drawdown-2.30%-7.58%-8.79%-43.70%-19.65%-48.35%-23.27%-48.35%
% Time Invested65.5%100.0%45.1%100.0%61.4%100.0%75.2%100.0%
Trades / Year2.00.03.00.04.50.04.70.0

Cumulative Growth Performance

Return Distribution Analysis

Return Distribution

Trade History

This log shows every signal-driven transition. Completed trades reflect standard market cycles. An Open / Mark-to-Market exit denotes a position currently held active, valued at the latest price. Interest entries record cash yields accrued during out-of-market periods.

Entry DateExit DateTypeAllocationEntry PriceExit PriceNet Return %Exit Reason
2026-06-01 Open Open 33.33% $84.93 $85.77 0.99% Mark-to-Market
2026-06-01 Open Open 33.33% $84.93 $85.77 0.99% Mark-to-Market
2026-05-12 Open Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.33% Mark-to-Market
2026-02-05 2026-06-01 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 1.14% Interest Income
2024-10-11 2026-06-01 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.07 6.76% Interest Income
2025-11-21 2026-05-12 Completed 33.33% $87.33 $84.86 -2.84% Signal
2025-09-29 2026-02-05 Completed 33.33% $86.37 $85.64 -0.84% Signal
2025-02-12 2025-11-21 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.03 3.29% Interest Income
2024-12-12 2025-09-29 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.03 3.37% Interest Income
2025-01-21 2025-02-12 Completed 33.33% $82.58 $82.31 -0.33% Signal
2024-12-24 2025-01-21 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.27% Interest Income
2024-11-04 2024-12-24 Completed 33.33% $86.07 $81.78 -4.98% Stop
2024-11-04 2024-12-12 Completed 33.33% $86.07 $85.77 -0.35% Signal
2024-10-11 2024-11-04 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.29% Interest Income
2024-10-11 2024-11-04 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.29% Interest Income
2024-08-05 2024-10-11 Completed 33.33% $92.07 $86.90 -5.62% Stop
2024-08-05 2024-10-11 Completed 33.33% $92.07 $86.90 -5.62% Stop
2024-08-05 2024-10-11 Completed 33.33% $92.07 $86.90 -5.62% Stop
2024-06-11 2024-08-05 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.78% Interest Income
2024-05-07 2024-08-05 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 1.29% Interest Income
2021-08-18 2024-08-05 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.11 10.85% Interest Income
2024-05-31 2024-06-11 Completed 33.33% $82.74 $83.53 0.95% Signal
2022-03-15 2024-05-31 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.10 9.75% Interest Income
2024-05-03 2024-05-07 Completed 33.33% $82.24 $83.13 1.08% Signal
2024-04-11 2024-05-03 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.34% Interest Income
2024-01-26 2024-04-11 Completed 33.33% $84.78 $82.36 -2.85% Stop
2023-05-23 2024-01-26 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.04 3.68% Interest Income
2023-02-15 2023-05-23 Completed 33.33% $90.55 $88.49 -2.28% Stop
2021-12-29 2023-02-15 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.03 2.64% Interest Income
2022-01-28 2022-03-15 Completed 33.33% $121.09 $113.53 -6.24% Stop
2022-01-05 2022-01-28 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2021-07-08 2022-01-05 Completed 33.33% $125.94 $122.83 -2.47% Stop
2021-07-08 2021-12-29 Completed 33.33% $125.94 $125.19 -0.59% Signal
2021-03-01 2021-08-18 Completed 33.33% $118.33 $125.95 6.44% Signal
2021-01-20 2021-07-08 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2020-11-02 2021-07-08 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.03% Interest Income
2021-02-04 2021-03-01 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2020-10-29 2021-02-04 Completed 33.33% $134.47 $125.33 -6.80% Stop
2020-10-29 2021-01-20 Completed 33.33% $134.47 $127.56 -5.14% Signal
2020-10-29 2020-11-02 Completed 33.33% $134.47 $132.91 -1.16% Signal
2020-10-07 2020-10-29 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2020-10-07 2020-10-29 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2020-10-07 2020-10-29 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2020-06-29 2020-10-07 Completed 33.33% $137.30 $133.49 -2.78% Stop
2020-06-29 2020-10-07 Completed 33.33% $137.30 $133.49 -2.78% Stop
2020-06-29 2020-10-07 Completed 33.33% $137.30 $133.49 -2.78% Stop
2020-06-05 2020-06-29 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2020-06-05 2020-06-29 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2020-06-05 2020-06-29 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2020-04-03 2020-06-05 Completed 33.33% $140.02 $128.77 -8.03% Stop
2020-04-03 2020-06-05 Completed 33.33% $140.02 $128.77 -8.03% Stop
2020-04-03 2020-06-05 Completed 33.33% $140.02 $128.77 -8.03% Stop
2020-03-12 2020-04-03 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2020-03-12 2020-04-03 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2020-03-12 2020-04-03 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2020-02-27 2020-03-12 Completed 33.33% $126.49 $135.64 7.24% Stop
2019-12-03 2020-03-12 Completed 33.33% $115.62 $135.64 17.31% Stop
2019-12-03 2020-03-12 Completed 33.33% $115.62 $135.64 17.31% Stop
2020-01-14 2020-02-27 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.18% Interest Income
2019-12-03 2020-01-14 Completed 33.33% $115.62 $114.27 -1.17% Signal
2019-11-08 2019-12-03 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.10% Interest Income
2019-11-08 2019-12-03 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.10% Interest Income
2019-11-08 2019-12-03 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.10% Interest Income
2019-10-08 2019-11-08 Completed 33.33% $119.98 $111.39 -7.16% Stop
2019-10-08 2019-11-08 Completed 33.33% $119.98 $111.39 -7.16% Stop
2019-10-08 2019-11-08 Completed 33.33% $119.98 $111.39 -7.16% Stop
2019-09-16 2019-10-08 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.12% Interest Income
2019-09-16 2019-10-08 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.12% Interest Income
2019-09-16 2019-10-08 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.12% Interest Income
2018-12-11 2019-09-16 Completed 33.33% $95.90 $113.25 18.09% Stop
2018-12-11 2019-09-16 Completed 33.33% $95.90 $113.25 18.09% Stop
2018-12-11 2019-09-16 Completed 33.33% $95.90 $113.25 18.09% Stop
2018-10-08 2018-12-11 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.41% Interest Income
2018-03-13 2018-12-11 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.02 1.54% Interest Income
2018-02-08 2018-12-11 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.02 1.68% Interest Income
2018-07-27 2018-10-08 Completed 33.33% $95.50 $90.64 -5.09% Stop
2018-02-06 2018-07-27 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.86% Interest Income
2018-03-01 2018-03-13 Completed 33.33% $93.53 $93.44 -0.10% Signal
2018-02-06 2018-03-01 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.10% Interest Income
2017-11-07 2018-02-08 Completed 33.33% $98.88 $93.02 -5.93% Stop
2017-06-05 2018-02-06 Completed 33.33% $96.82 $94.91 -1.97% Stop
2017-05-11 2018-02-06 Completed 33.33% $92.82 $94.91 2.25% Stop
2017-07-24 2017-11-07 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.32% Interest Income
2016-12-06 2017-07-24 Completed 33.33% $91.31 $97.45 6.72% Signal
2017-01-12 2017-06-05 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.28% Interest Income
2016-11-11 2017-05-11 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.30% Interest Income
2016-12-06 2017-01-12 Completed 33.33% $91.31 $94.21 3.17% Signal
2016-11-11 2016-12-06 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.03% Interest Income
2016-11-11 2016-12-06 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.03% Interest Income
2016-10-10 2016-11-11 Completed 33.33% $101.25 $93.89 -7.27% Stop
2016-10-10 2016-11-11 Completed 33.33% $101.25 $93.89 -7.27% Stop
2016-10-10 2016-11-11 Completed 33.33% $101.25 $93.89 -7.27% Stop
2016-09-16 2016-10-10 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2016-09-16 2016-10-10 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2016-09-16 2016-10-10 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2016-01-14 2016-09-16 Completed 33.33% $93.25 $102.39 9.80% Stop
2015-10-07 2016-09-16 Completed 33.33% $91.42 $102.39 12.00% Stop
2015-05-28 2016-09-16 Completed 33.33% $90.21 $102.39 13.50% Stop
2015-09-04 2016-01-14 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.04% Interest Income
2015-06-04 2015-10-07 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2015-05-28 2015-09-04 Completed 33.33% $90.21 $90.96 0.83% Signal
2015-05-28 2015-06-04 Completed 33.33% $90.21 $87.27 -3.25% Signal
2015-05-05 2015-05-28 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2015-05-05 2015-05-28 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2015-05-05 2015-05-28 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2015-03-11 2015-05-05 Completed 33.33% $92.59 $90.47 -2.29% Stop
2015-03-11 2015-05-05 Completed 33.33% $92.59 $90.47 -2.29% Stop
2015-03-11 2015-05-05 Completed 33.33% $92.59 $90.47 -2.29% Stop
2015-02-17 2015-03-11 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2015-02-17 2015-03-11 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2015-02-17 2015-03-11 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2014-10-17 2015-02-17 Completed 33.33% $87.92 $93.54 6.39% Stop
2014-04-25 2015-02-17 Completed 33.33% $79.68 $93.54 17.39% Stop
2014-02-14 2015-02-17 Completed 33.33% $75.79 $93.54 23.43% Stop
2013-08-20 2014-10-17 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.05% Interest Income
2013-03-05 2014-04-25 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.06% Interest Income
2013-07-08 2014-02-14 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.03% Interest Income
2013-06-20 2013-08-20 Completed 33.33% $77.08 $71.96 -6.65% Stop
2013-06-17 2013-07-08 Completed 33.33% $79.36 $74.69 -5.88% Signal
2013-05-29 2013-06-20 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2012-11-07 2013-06-17 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.04% Interest Income
2013-01-30 2013-05-29 Completed 33.33% $80.31 $79.58 -0.90% Stop
2013-01-30 2013-03-05 Completed 33.33% $80.31 $81.63 1.64% Signal
2013-01-07 2013-01-30 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2013-01-07 2013-01-30 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2012-09-10 2013-01-07 Completed 33.33% $84.61 $81.48 -3.70% Stop
2012-09-10 2013-01-07 Completed 33.33% $84.61 $81.48 -3.70% Stop
2012-09-10 2012-11-07 Completed 33.33% $84.61 $84.97 0.42% Signal
2012-08-16 2012-09-10 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2012-08-16 2012-09-10 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2012-08-16 2012-09-10 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2012-06-05 2012-08-16 Completed 33.33% $87.36 $83.42 -4.51% Stop
2012-04-05 2012-08-16 Completed 33.33% $76.46 $83.42 9.10% Stop
2012-04-05 2012-08-16 Completed 33.33% $76.46 $83.42 9.10% Stop
2012-03-14 2012-06-05 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2012-03-14 2012-04-05 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2012-03-14 2012-04-05 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2011-11-04 2012-03-14 Completed 33.33% $77.30 $76.06 -1.60% Stop
2011-11-04 2012-03-14 Completed 33.33% $77.30 $76.06 -1.60% Stop
2011-11-04 2012-03-14 Completed 33.33% $77.30 $76.06 -1.60% Stop
2011-10-13 2011-11-04 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2011-10-13 2011-11-04 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2011-10-13 2011-11-04 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2011-08-04 2011-10-13 Completed 33.33% $67.83 $76.64 12.98% Stop
2011-05-18 2011-10-13 Completed 33.33% $63.13 $76.64 21.41% Stop
2010-12-09 2011-10-13 Completed 33.33% $60.24 $76.64 27.22% Stop
2011-03-11 2011-08-04 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2010-12-16 2011-05-18 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.04% Interest Income
2011-01-10 2011-03-11 Completed 33.33% $59.79 $59.84 0.09% Signal
2010-12-16 2011-01-10 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2010-11-09 2010-12-16 Completed 33.33% $63.17 $58.59 -7.25% Stop
2010-11-09 2010-12-16 Completed 33.33% $63.17 $58.59 -7.25% Stop
2010-11-16 2010-12-09 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2010-10-25 2010-11-16 Completed 33.33% $65.29 $60.87 -6.76% Stop
2010-10-18 2010-11-09 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2010-10-18 2010-11-09 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2010-03-16 2010-10-25 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.09% Interest Income
2010-06-29 2010-10-18 Completed 33.33% $63.31 $64.70 2.19% Stop
2010-05-24 2010-10-18 Completed 33.33% $62.11 $64.70 4.18% Stop
2009-07-24 2010-06-29 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.11% Interest Income
2010-01-14 2010-05-24 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.05% Interest Income
2010-01-06 2010-03-16 Completed 33.33% $55.93 $56.55 1.11% Signal
2010-01-06 2010-01-14 Completed 33.33% $55.93 $55.64 -0.53% Signal
2009-12-11 2010-01-06 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2009-12-11 2010-01-06 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2009-10-08 2009-12-11 Completed 33.33% $61.24 $56.77 -7.30% Stop
2009-05-22 2009-12-11 Completed 33.33% $56.70 $56.77 0.12% Stop
2009-04-30 2009-10-08 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.07% Interest Income
2009-05-22 2009-07-24 Completed 33.33% $56.70 $55.35 -2.38% Signal
2009-04-30 2009-05-22 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2009-04-30 2009-05-22 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2009-01-29 2009-04-30 Completed 33.33% $63.07 $59.03 -6.40% Stop
2009-01-29 2009-04-30 Completed 33.33% $63.07 $59.03 -6.40% Stop
2009-01-29 2009-04-30 Completed 33.33% $63.07 $59.03 -6.40% Stop
2009-01-06 2009-01-29 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2009-01-06 2009-01-29 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2009-01-06 2009-01-29 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2008-07-01 2009-01-06 Completed 33.33% $54.23 $66.69 22.98% Stop
2008-06-23 2009-01-06 Completed 33.33% $52.51 $66.69 27.00% Stop
2008-06-23 2009-01-06 Completed 33.33% $52.51 $66.69 27.00% Stop
2008-05-30 2008-07-01 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.16% Interest Income
2008-05-30 2008-06-23 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.12% Interest Income
2008-05-30 2008-06-23 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.12% Interest Income
2007-11-28 2008-05-30 Completed 33.33% $53.67 $52.35 -2.46% Stop
2007-09-27 2008-05-30 Completed 33.33% $49.67 $52.35 5.39% Stop
2006-07-18 2008-05-30 Completed 33.33% $45.18 $52.35 15.87% Stop
2007-06-12 2007-11-28 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.02 1.96% Interest Income
2007-03-16 2007-09-27 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.02 2.49% Interest Income
2006-07-17 2007-06-12 Completed 33.33% $45.32 $46.12 1.77% Stop
2006-07-17 2007-03-16 Completed 33.33% $45.32 $49.33 8.83% Signal
2006-06-23 2006-07-18 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.31% Interest Income
2006-04-05 2006-07-17 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 1.33% Interest Income
2006-01-05 2006-07-17 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.02 2.44% Interest Income
2006-05-03 2006-06-23 Completed 33.33% $44.15 $44.43 0.64% Signal
2006-04-10 2006-05-03 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.29% Interest Income
2005-11-30 2006-04-10 Completed 33.33% $46.69 $44.89 -3.86% Stop
2006-03-17 2006-04-05 Completed 33.33% $46.66 $45.70 -2.05% Signal
2005-10-18 2006-03-17 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.02 1.70% Interest Income
2005-11-30 2006-01-05 Completed 33.33% $46.69 $47.91 2.62% Signal
2005-11-07 2005-11-30 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.25% Interest Income
2005-11-07 2005-11-30 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.25% Interest Income
2004-10-27 2005-11-07 Completed 33.33% $44.25 $45.76 3.41% Stop
2004-07-26 2005-11-07 Completed 33.33% $41.28 $45.76 10.86% Stop
2004-08-06 2005-10-18 Completed 33.33% $42.21 $46.57 10.33% Signal
2004-09-02 2004-10-27 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.26% Interest Income
2004-07-26 2004-09-02 Completed 33.33% $41.28 $42.84 3.80% Signal
2004-07-22 2004-08-06 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.06% Interest Income
2004-07-22 2004-07-26 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2004-07-22 2004-07-26 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income