UBER
Uber Technologies Inc
TREND FOLLOWING PERFORMANCE HISTORY
2026-07-26
Executive Summary
The quantitative backtest for UBER (Uber Technologies Inc) using the Excess Return MMA* strategy in a Trading context demonstrated its primary role in risk mitigation, experiencing a maximum drawdown of -41.9% (compared to the benchmark's drawdown of -67.6%). Over the evaluated period, this protective approach generated a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 6.9%, compared to a Buy-and-Hold benchmark return of 13.7%. The strategy executed 77 total trades.
* Excess Return MMA: Multi-Moving Average (Triple-Band) model utilizing sophisticated long/short cross durations optimized against volatility.
* Excess Return MMA: Multi-Moving Average (Triple-Band) model utilizing sophisticated long/short cross durations optimized against volatility.
📊 Mathematical Model
Excess Return MMA Active
Advanced Ensemble: Uses multiple signal layers for maximum trend stability and noise reduction.
Excess Return MMA CA
Advanced Dynamic Sleeve: MMA ensemble signals on the primary asset combined with a momentum-based cash alternative ETF rotation.
Excess Return SMA
Standard Signal: Classical quantitative trend following optimized for reliable directionality.
Available in Investing Mode
Moving Average (50/200)
Moving Average: The baseline 50/200-day crossover model used by technical analysts worldwide.
Available in Investing Mode
UBER Quality Metrics & KPI Summary
| Metric | 1Y | 5Y | Full History | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strategy | B&H | Strategy | B&H | Strategy | B&H | |
| CAGR | -19.39% | -27.45% | 2.51% | 7.10% | 6.86% | 13.67% |
| Sharpe Ratio | -1.27 | -0.95 | 0.10 | 0.15 | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| Max Drawdown | -25.01% | -34.13% | -34.24% | -57.69% | -41.87% | -67.62% |
| % Time Invested | 71.8% | 100.0% | 75.2% | 100.0% | 77.1% | 100.0% |
| Trades / Year | 9.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 11.5 | 0.0 |
Cumulative Growth Performance
Return Distribution Analysis
Trade History
This log shows every signal-driven transition. Completed trades reflect standard market cycles. An Open or Mark-to-Market exit denotes an active position (either in the primary asset or a cash/yield sleeve) valued at the current price for reporting purposes. Interest entries record yield accrued from cash or cash alternatives (like BIL) during out-of-market defensive periods.
| Entry Date | Exit Date | Type | Allocation | Entry Price | Exit Price | Net Return % | Exit Reason | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🔒 Active Positions & Recent Execution Signals Hidden Trading on delayed data carries high execution risk. Current allocations, pending next-day rebalances, and active execution signals (last 60 days) require a Premium subscription. Upgrade to Pro to Unlock | ||||||||
| 2026-04-23 | 2026-05-20 | Completed | 33.33% | $76.66 | $73.80 | -3.78% | Signal | |
| 2026-03-11 | 2026-05-13 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 0.64% | Interest Income | |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-04-23 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.23% | Interest Income | |
| 2026-03-05 | 2026-03-31 | Completed | 33.33% | $76.59 | $70.71 | -7.72% | Signal | |
| 2026-03-05 | 2026-03-11 | Completed | 33.33% | $76.59 | $74.54 | -2.73% | Stop | |
| 2026-03-05 | 2026-03-11 | Completed | 33.33% | $76.59 | $74.54 | -2.73% | Stop | |
| 2026-02-04 | 2026-03-05 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.29% | Interest Income | |
| 2025-12-29 | 2026-03-05 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 0.65% | Interest Income | |
| 2025-11-17 | 2026-03-05 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 1.06% | Interest Income | |
| 2026-01-09 | 2026-02-04 | Completed | 33.33% | $87.27 | $75.62 | -13.39% | Signal | |
| 2025-11-19 | 2026-01-09 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.49% | Interest Income | |
| 2025-12-17 | 2025-12-29 | Completed | 33.33% | $80.81 | $80.91 | 0.07% | Signal | |
| 2025-11-24 | 2025-12-17 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.23% | Interest Income | |
| 2025-04-03 | 2025-11-24 | Completed | 33.33% | $71.72 | $84.15 | 17.27% | Stop | |
| 2025-11-11 | 2025-11-19 | Completed | 33.33% | $93.65 | $90.60 | -3.31% | Signal | |
| 2025-04-30 | 2025-11-17 | Completed | 33.33% | $77.77 | $91.31 | 17.35% | Signal | |
| 2025-10-20 | 2025-11-11 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.25% | Interest Income | |
| 2025-08-22 | 2025-10-20 | Completed | 33.33% | $94.46 | $93.00 | -1.59% | Signal | |
| 2025-07-31 | 2025-08-22 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.27% | Interest Income | |
| 2025-07-08 | 2025-07-31 | Completed | 33.33% | $96.89 | $87.53 | -9.71% | Signal | |
| 2025-06-12 | 2025-07-08 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.27% | Interest Income | |
| 2025-05-06 | 2025-06-12 | Completed | 33.33% | $83.50 | $86.11 | 3.07% | Signal | |
| 2025-04-11 | 2025-05-06 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.27% | Interest Income | |
| 2025-04-07 | 2025-04-30 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.27% | Interest Income | |
| 2025-04-08 | 2025-04-11 | Completed | 33.33% | $69.31 | $70.46 | 1.61% | Signal | |
| 2025-03-17 | 2025-04-08 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.27% | Interest Income | |
| 2025-02-11 | 2025-04-07 | Completed | 33.33% | $78.91 | $62.52 | -20.81% | Stop | |
| 2025-01-24 | 2025-04-03 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 0.81% | Interest Income | |
| 2025-01-07 | 2025-03-17 | Completed | 33.33% | $68.49 | $72.02 | 5.10% | Signal | |
| 2024-12-10 | 2025-02-11 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 0.70% | Interest Income | |
| 2025-01-10 | 2025-01-24 | Completed | 33.33% | $64.50 | $68.69 | 6.44% | Signal | |
| 2024-12-16 | 2025-01-10 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.27% | Interest Income | |
| 2024-11-01 | 2025-01-07 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 0.77% | Interest Income | |
| 2024-11-25 | 2024-12-16 | Completed | 33.33% | $72.60 | $60.31 | -16.97% | Stop | |
| 2024-11-25 | 2024-12-10 | Completed | 33.33% | $72.60 | $65.67 | -9.59% | Signal | |
| 2024-11-01 | 2024-11-25 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.29% | Interest Income | |
| 2024-11-01 | 2024-11-25 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.29% | Interest Income | |
| 2024-10-09 | 2024-11-01 | Completed | 33.33% | $76.00 | $73.94 | -2.76% | Stop | |
| 2024-10-01 | 2024-11-01 | Completed | 33.33% | $75.77 | $73.94 | -2.46% | Stop | |
| 2024-09-25 | 2024-11-01 | Completed | 33.33% | $77.51 | $73.94 | -4.65% | Stop | |
| 2024-09-17 | 2024-10-09 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.29% | Interest Income | |
| 2024-07-12 | 2024-10-01 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 1.13% | Interest Income | |
| 2024-09-03 | 2024-09-25 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.31% | Interest Income | |
| 2024-08-16 | 2024-09-17 | Completed | 33.33% | $72.50 | $71.97 | -0.78% | Signal | |
| 2024-08-26 | 2024-09-03 | Completed | 33.33% | $74.30 | $72.57 | -2.38% | Signal | |
| 2024-08-02 | 2024-08-26 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.33% | Interest Income | |
| 2024-07-25 | 2024-08-16 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.33% | Interest Income | |
| 2024-07-12 | 2024-08-02 | Completed | 33.33% | $72.11 | $59.38 | -17.69% | Stop | |
| 2024-06-11 | 2024-07-25 | Completed | 33.33% | $68.60 | $66.00 | -3.84% | Signal | |
| 2024-05-23 | 2024-07-12 | Completed | 33.33% | $65.56 | $72.11 | 9.94% | Signal | |
| 2024-05-01 | 2024-07-12 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 1.04% | Interest Income | |
| 2024-03-22 | 2024-06-11 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 1.17% | Interest Income | |
| 2024-05-01 | 2024-05-23 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.34% | Interest Income | |
| 2023-11-20 | 2024-05-01 | Completed | 33.33% | $53.83 | $66.04 | 22.62% | Stop | |
| 2023-11-13 | 2024-05-01 | Completed | 33.33% | $51.17 | $66.04 | 29.00% | Stop | |
| 2024-02-07 | 2024-03-22 | Completed | 33.33% | $67.60 | $79.80 | 18.00% | Signal | |
| 2024-01-16 | 2024-02-07 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.34% | Interest Income | |
| 2023-11-07 | 2024-01-16 | Completed | 33.33% | $47.00 | $63.00 | 33.98% | Signal | |
| 2023-10-27 | 2023-11-20 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.34% | Interest Income | |
| 2023-10-20 | 2023-11-13 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.34% | Interest Income | |
| 2023-10-04 | 2023-11-07 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 0.52% | Interest Income | |
| 2023-04-05 | 2023-10-27 | Completed | 33.33% | $30.95 | $41.21 | 33.08% | Stop | |
| 2023-05-16 | 2023-10-20 | Completed | 33.33% | $37.93 | $42.72 | 12.57% | Signal | |
| 2023-09-12 | 2023-10-04 | Completed | 33.33% | $48.34 | $44.79 | -7.39% | Signal | |
| 2023-08-18 | 2023-09-12 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.34% | Interest Income | |
| 2023-04-18 | 2023-08-18 | Completed | 33.33% | $32.37 | $43.27 | 33.61% | Signal | |
| 2023-04-24 | 2023-05-16 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.32% | Interest Income | |
| 2023-04-05 | 2023-04-24 | Completed | 33.33% | $30.95 | $30.68 | -0.92% | Signal | |
| 2023-03-13 | 2023-04-18 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.47% | Interest Income | |
| 2023-03-14 | 2023-04-05 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.30% | Interest Income | |
| 2023-03-14 | 2023-04-05 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.30% | Interest Income | |
| 2023-02-02 | 2023-03-14 | Completed | 33.33% | $32.42 | $32.94 | 1.55% | Stop | |
| 2023-01-11 | 2023-03-14 | Completed | 33.33% | $28.24 | $32.94 | 16.58% | Stop | |
| 2023-01-11 | 2023-03-13 | Completed | 33.33% | $28.24 | $30.58 | 8.25% | Signal | |
| 2023-01-06 | 2023-02-02 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.33% | Interest Income | |
| 2022-12-16 | 2023-01-11 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.28% | Interest Income | |
| 2022-12-08 | 2023-01-11 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.38% | Interest Income | |
| 2022-12-05 | 2023-01-06 | Completed | 33.33% | $28.41 | $25.86 | -9.02% | Signal | |
| 2022-10-19 | 2022-12-16 | Completed | 33.33% | $27.06 | $26.06 | -3.74% | Stop | |
| 2022-10-31 | 2022-12-08 | Completed | 33.33% | $27.61 | $26.52 | -4.00% | Signal | |
| 2022-11-03 | 2022-12-05 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.35% | Interest Income | |
| 2022-10-19 | 2022-11-03 | Completed | 33.33% | $27.06 | $28.03 | 3.53% | Signal | |
| 2022-10-07 | 2022-10-31 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.24% | Interest Income | |
| 2022-09-27 | 2022-10-19 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.22% | Interest Income | |
| 2022-09-27 | 2022-10-19 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.22% | Interest Income | |
| 2022-09-30 | 2022-10-07 | Completed | 33.33% | $26.16 | $28.83 | 10.15% | Signal | |
| 2022-09-08 | 2022-09-30 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.20% | Interest Income | |
| 2022-09-14 | 2022-09-27 | Completed | 33.33% | $31.25 | $27.67 | -11.50% | Stop | |
| 2022-08-04 | 2022-09-27 | Completed | 33.33% | $29.78 | $27.67 | -7.13% | Stop | |
| 2022-08-22 | 2022-09-14 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.19% | Interest Income | |
| 2022-07-11 | 2022-09-08 | Completed | 33.33% | $21.95 | $29.42 | 33.96% | Signal | |
| 2022-08-05 | 2022-08-22 | Completed | 33.33% | $31.20 | $28.34 | -9.21% | Stop | |
| 2021-11-01 | 2022-08-05 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 0.58% | Interest Income | |
| 2021-11-29 | 2022-08-04 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 0.56% | Interest Income | |
| 2022-06-15 | 2022-07-11 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.11% | Interest Income | |
| 2022-06-08 | 2022-06-15 | Completed | 33.33% | $25.70 | $21.34 | -17.01% | Stop | |
| 2022-04-25 | 2022-06-08 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.12% | Interest Income | |
| 2022-03-25 | 2022-04-25 | Completed | 33.33% | $34.55 | $30.59 | -11.51% | Signal | |
| 2022-02-25 | 2022-03-25 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.03% | Interest Income | |
| 2022-02-15 | 2022-02-25 | Completed | 33.33% | $35.44 | $34.84 | -1.74% | Stop | |
| 2022-01-24 | 2022-02-15 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.02% | Interest Income | |
| 2021-12-22 | 2022-01-24 | Completed | 33.33% | $41.95 | $34.91 | -16.82% | Stop | |
| 2021-11-04 | 2021-12-22 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2021-09-27 | 2021-11-29 | Completed | 33.33% | $46.77 | $41.06 | -12.25% | Stop | |
| 2021-09-22 | 2021-11-04 | Completed | 33.33% | $44.90 | $45.54 | 1.37% | Signal | |
| 2021-09-27 | 2021-11-01 | Completed | 33.33% | $46.77 | $44.07 | -5.82% | Stop | |
| 2021-06-17 | 2021-09-27 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2021-05-07 | 2021-09-27 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.02% | Interest Income | |
| 2021-06-24 | 2021-09-22 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2021-05-28 | 2021-06-24 | Completed | 33.33% | $50.67 | $51.30 | 1.18% | Signal | |
| 2021-06-01 | 2021-06-17 | Completed | 33.33% | $51.62 | $48.96 | -5.20% | Signal | |
| 2021-05-07 | 2021-06-01 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2021-05-06 | 2021-05-28 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2021-02-22 | 2021-05-07 | Completed | 33.33% | $57.76 | $47.22 | -18.29% | Stop | |
| 2021-02-22 | 2021-05-07 | Completed | 33.33% | $57.76 | $47.22 | -18.29% | Stop | |
| 2021-04-29 | 2021-05-06 | Completed | 33.33% | $59.00 | $48.39 | -18.02% | Signal | |
| 2021-04-07 | 2021-04-29 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2021-03-22 | 2021-04-07 | Completed | 33.33% | $57.25 | $58.02 | 1.29% | Signal | |
| 2021-02-26 | 2021-03-22 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2021-01-27 | 2021-02-26 | Completed | 33.33% | $49.97 | $52.07 | 4.15% | Stop | |
| 2021-01-28 | 2021-02-22 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2021-01-28 | 2021-02-22 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-09-14 | 2021-01-28 | Completed | 33.33% | $37.10 | $50.12 | 35.03% | Stop | |
| 2020-06-25 | 2021-01-28 | Completed | 33.33% | $30.00 | $50.12 | 66.98% | Stop | |
| 2021-01-04 | 2021-01-27 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-11-05 | 2021-01-04 | Completed | 33.33% | $40.33 | $52.22 | 29.42% | Signal | |
| 2020-10-09 | 2020-11-05 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-09-01 | 2020-10-09 | Completed | 33.33% | $33.45 | $37.91 | 13.28% | Signal | |
| 2020-08-04 | 2020-09-14 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-08-10 | 2020-09-01 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-07-20 | 2020-08-10 | Completed | 33.33% | $32.48 | $33.04 | 1.67% | Signal | |
| 2020-07-20 | 2020-08-04 | Completed | 33.33% | $32.48 | $31.17 | -4.08% | Signal | |
| 2020-06-25 | 2020-07-20 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-06-25 | 2020-07-20 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-05-27 | 2020-06-25 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-05-06 | 2020-06-25 | Completed | 33.33% | $27.50 | $30.00 | 9.04% | Stop | |
| 2020-04-29 | 2020-06-25 | Completed | 33.33% | $31.00 | $30.00 | -3.27% | Stop | |
| 2020-04-28 | 2020-05-27 | Completed | 33.33% | $31.00 | $34.42 | 10.98% | Signal | |
| 2020-04-03 | 2020-05-06 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-04-06 | 2020-04-29 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-04-03 | 2020-04-28 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-04-01 | 2020-04-06 | Completed | 33.33% | $26.50 | $24.13 | -8.99% | Stop | |
| 2020-03-23 | 2020-04-03 | Completed | 33.33% | $21.07 | $23.73 | 12.57% | Stop | |
| 2020-03-23 | 2020-04-03 | Completed | 33.33% | $21.07 | $23.73 | 12.57% | Stop | |
| 2020-02-28 | 2020-04-01 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.03% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-02-28 | 2020-03-23 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.03% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-02-28 | 2020-03-23 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.03% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-01-13 | 2020-02-28 | Completed | 33.33% | $34.29 | $31.81 | -7.28% | Stop | |
| 2020-01-07 | 2020-02-28 | Completed | 33.33% | $31.79 | $31.81 | 0.01% | Stop | |
| 2019-11-29 | 2020-02-28 | Completed | 33.33% | $29.41 | $31.81 | 8.11% | Stop | |
| 2019-11-19 | 2020-01-13 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.22% | Interest Income | |
| 2019-11-19 | 2020-01-07 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.19% | Interest Income | |
| 2019-11-19 | 2019-11-29 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.04% | Interest Income | |