V
Visa Inc - Class A
TREND FOLLOWING PERFORMANCE HISTORY
2026-07-26
Executive Summary
The quantitative backtest for V (Visa Inc - Class A) using the Moving Average (50/200)* strategy in a Investing context demonstrated its primary role in risk mitigation, experiencing a maximum drawdown of -28.7% (compared to the benchmark's drawdown of -36.4%). Over the evaluated period, this protective approach generated a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 15.3%, compared to a Buy-and-Hold benchmark return of 21.2%. The strategy executed 17 total trades.
* Moving Average (50/200): Classic Moving Average Crossover (e.g., 50-day crossing 200-day). The foundational basis of research-grade trend following.
* Moving Average (50/200): Classic Moving Average Crossover (e.g., 50-day crossing 200-day). The foundational basis of research-grade trend following.
📊 Mathematical Model
Excess Return MMA
Advanced Ensemble: Uses multiple signal layers for maximum trend stability and noise reduction.
Excess Return MMA CA
Advanced Dynamic Sleeve: MMA ensemble signals on the primary asset combined with a momentum-based cash alternative ETF rotation.
Excess Return SMA
Standard Signal: Classical quantitative trend following optimized for reliable directionality.
Moving Average (50/200) Active
Moving Average: The baseline 50/200-day crossover model used by technical analysts worldwide.
🎯 Investment Objective
🛡️ Long-Term Investing Active
Ideal for wealth preservation and multi-year horizons. Optimized for low turnover and tax efficiency.
⚔️ Tactical Trading
Ideal for active capital rotation and momentum-first accounts. Optimized for high sensitivity to price shifts.
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V Quality Metrics & KPI Summary
| Metric | 1Y | 5Y | 10Y | Full History | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strategy | B&H | Strategy | B&H | Strategy | B&H | Strategy | B&H | |
| CAGR | 3.34% | 1.29% | 5.13% | 8.10% | 13.42% | 17.08% | 15.32% | 21.25% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.32 | 0.06 | 0.35 | 0.34 | 0.70 | 0.65 | 0.75 | 0.78 |
| Max Drawdown | -6.99% | -17.18% | -21.20% | -28.60% | -21.80% | -36.36% | -28.66% | -36.36% |
| % Time Invested | 31.8% | 100.0% | 59.2% | 100.0% | 74.7% | 100.0% | 76.4% | 100.0% |
| Trades / Year | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 0.0 |
Cumulative Growth Performance
Return Distribution Analysis
Trade History
This log shows every signal-driven transition. Completed trades reflect standard market cycles. An Open or Mark-to-Market exit denotes an active position (either in the primary asset or a cash/yield sleeve) valued at the current price for reporting purposes. Interest entries record yield accrued from cash or cash alternatives (like BIL) during out-of-market defensive periods.
| Entry Date | Exit Date | Type | Allocation | Entry Price | Exit Price | Net Return % | Exit Reason | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🔒 Active Positions & Recent Execution Signals Hidden Trading on delayed data carries high execution risk. Current allocations, pending next-day rebalances, and active execution signals (last 60 days) require a Premium subscription. Upgrade to Pro to Unlock | ||||||||
| 2025-05-01 | 2025-10-29 | Completed | 100% | $342.30 | $343.89 | 0.41% | Signal | |
| 2025-04-08 | 2025-05-01 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.27% | Interest Income | |
| 2024-10-07 | 2025-04-08 | Completed | 100% | $273.98 | $319.18 | 16.44% | Stop | |
| 2024-08-14 | 2024-10-07 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 0.72% | Interest Income | |
| 2022-12-27 | 2024-08-14 | Completed | 100% | $200.49 | $257.47 | 28.36% | Signal | |
| 2022-11-04 | 2022-12-27 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 0.59% | Interest Income | |
| 2022-10-31 | 2022-11-04 | Completed | 100% | $202.96 | $191.38 | -5.75% | Stop | |
| 2021-10-29 | 2022-10-31 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 1.35% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-11-20 | 2021-10-29 | Completed | 100% | $198.93 | $201.81 | 1.40% | Stop | |
| 2020-10-29 | 2020-11-20 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-06-17 | 2020-10-29 | Completed | 100% | $185.43 | $175.49 | -5.41% | Stop | |
| 2020-04-14 | 2020-06-17 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.02% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-03-23 | 2020-04-14 | Completed | 100% | $135.10 | $165.46 | 22.41% | Signal | |
| 2020-02-28 | 2020-03-23 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.03% | Interest Income | |
| 2019-03-07 | 2020-02-28 | Completed | 100% | $139.91 | $166.13 | 18.68% | Stop | |
| 2019-01-23 | 2019-03-07 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.29% | Interest Income | |
| 2019-01-16 | 2019-01-23 | Completed | 100% | $131.27 | $131.62 | 0.22% | Signal | |
| 2018-12-21 | 2019-01-16 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.15% | Interest Income | |
| 2016-04-20 | 2018-12-21 | Completed | 100% | $75.24 | $120.62 | 60.23% | Stop | |
| 2016-03-09 | 2016-04-20 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.03% | Interest Income | |
| 2016-03-03 | 2016-03-09 | Completed | 100% | $69.29 | $66.05 | -4.72% | Signal | |
| 2016-02-09 | 2016-03-03 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.02% | Interest Income | |
| 2015-09-17 | 2016-02-09 | Completed | 100% | $66.08 | $61.64 | -6.77% | Stop | |
| 2015-08-25 | 2015-09-17 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2014-11-05 | 2015-08-25 | Completed | 100% | $56.17 | $66.44 | 18.23% | Stop | |
| 2014-09-26 | 2014-11-05 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2014-05-07 | 2014-09-26 | Completed | 100% | $47.44 | $48.65 | 2.48% | Signal | |
| 2014-04-14 | 2014-05-07 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2011-09-01 | 2014-04-14 | Completed | 100% | $19.71 | $45.79 | 132.19% | Stop | |
| 2011-08-10 | 2011-09-01 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2011-04-11 | 2011-08-10 | Completed | 100% | $17.20 | $18.24 | 5.99% | Stop | |
| 2010-06-23 | 2011-04-11 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.11% | Interest Income | |
| 2010-06-03 | 2010-06-23 | Completed | 100% | $16.01 | $17.58 | 9.72% | Signal | |
| 2010-06-01 | 2010-06-03 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |