BIL
SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-bill ETF
TREND FOLLOWING PERFORMANCE HISTORY
2026-08-29
Executive Summary
The quantitative backtest for BIL (SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-bill ETF) using the Moving Average (50/200)* strategy in a Investing context demonstrated its primary role in risk mitigation, experiencing a maximum drawdown of -0.4% (compared to the benchmark's drawdown of -0.4%). Over the evaluated period, this protective approach generated a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 1.3%, compared to a Buy-and-Hold benchmark return of 1.3%. The strategy executed 5 total trades.
* Moving Average (50/200): Classic Moving Average Crossover (e.g., 50-day crossing 200-day). The foundational basis of research-grade trend following.
* Moving Average (50/200): Classic Moving Average Crossover (e.g., 50-day crossing 200-day). The foundational basis of research-grade trend following.
📊 Strategy Model 4 Models Available
Compare quantitative moving average overlays for BIL:
Excess Return MMA
Advanced Ensemble: Uses multiple signal layers for maximum trend stability and noise reduction.
Excess Return MMA CA
Advanced Dynamic Sleeve: MMA ensemble signals on the primary asset combined with a momentum-based cash alternative ETF rotation.
Excess Return SMA
Standard Signal: Classical quantitative trend following optimized for reliable directionality.
Moving Average (50/200) Active Model
Moving Average: The baseline 50/200-day crossover model used by technical analysts worldwide.
🎯 Trading Horizon
Select risk profile & execution style for BIL:
🛡️ Long-Term Investing Active Horizon
Ideal for wealth preservation and multi-year horizons. Optimized for low turnover and tax efficiency.
⚔️ Tactical Trading
Ideal for active capital rotation and momentum-first accounts. Optimized for high sensitivity to price shifts.
Switch to MMA to enable
🛡️ BIL Drawdown Shield & Downside Protection
Why Drawdown Dictates Longevity →Peak Drawdown Defense
-0.4% (vs -0.4% B&H)
+0.0% shallower drawdown
Drawdown Shield
0.0% Cut
Protected capital vs -0.4% B&H
Capital Sheltered from Risk
37.5% of Time
Earning Treasury yield during downturns
* Drawdown Shield demonstrates how systematic trend-following bounded historical drawdowns and protected principal capital compared to passive Buy & Hold.
📊 BIL Quality Metrics & KPI Summary
| Metric | 1Y | 5Y | 10Y | Full | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strategy | B&H | Strategy | B&H | Strategy | B&H | Strategy | B&H | |
| Max Drawdown | -0.01% | -0.01% | -0.07% | -0.08% | -0.14% | -0.21% | -0.39% | -0.44% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 18.70 | 18.70 | 14.22 | 13.75 | 9.07 | 8.82 | 5.49 | 4.66 |
| Sortino Ratio | 22819.62 | 22819.62 | 23.41 | 47.53 | 16.44 | 20.06 | 6.47 | 8.31 |
| CAGR | 3.72% | 3.72% | 3.61% | 3.59% | 2.28% | 2.27% | 1.31% | 1.29% |
| % Time Invested | 100.0% | 100.0% | 86.1% | 100.0% | 85.7% | 100.0% | 62.5% | 100.0% |
| Trades / Year | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
Cumulative Growth Performance
Return Distribution Analysis
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Explore Correlation Across Horizons →Top 5 non-correlated asset sleeves evaluated on 1Y daily percentage returns (Pearson r). Compare them side-by-side in Compare Studio to analyze portfolio diversification.
| Diversifier Asset | Category | 1Y Correlation (r) | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
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Trade History
This log shows every signal-driven transition. Completed trades reflect standard market cycles. An Open or Mark-to-Market exit denotes an active position (either in the primary asset or a cash/yield sleeve) valued at the current price for reporting purposes. Interest entries record yield accrued from cash or cash alternatives (like BIL) during out-of-market defensive periods.
| Entry Date | Exit Date | Type | Allocation | Entry Price | Exit Price | Net Return % | Exit Reason | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🔒 Active Positions & Recent Execution Signals Hidden Trading on delayed data carries high execution risk. Current allocations, pending next-day rebalances, and active execution signals (last 60 days) require a Premium subscription. Subscribe to Unlock | ||||||||
| 2020-12-02 | 2022-05-09 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.21% | Interest Income | |
| 2016-04-29 | 2020-12-02 | Completed | 100% | $73.21 | $76.87 | 4.94% | Signal | |
| 2011-09-12 | 2016-04-29 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.32% | Interest Income | |
| 2010-10-15 | 2011-09-12 | Completed | 100% | $73.45 | $73.43 | -0.07% | Signal | |
| 2010-09-13 | 2010-10-15 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2010-06-16 | 2010-09-13 | Completed | 100% | $73.47 | $73.45 | -0.07% | Signal | |
| 2010-03-17 | 2010-06-16 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.04% | Interest Income | |
| 2010-02-10 | 2010-03-17 | Completed | 100% | $73.47 | $73.45 | -0.07% | Signal | |
| 2010-01-19 | 2010-02-10 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2009-05-22 | 2010-01-19 | Completed | 100% | $73.46 | $73.47 | -0.04% | Signal | |
| 2009-05-20 | 2009-05-22 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |