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GOOG

Alphabet Inc - Class C
TREND FOLLOWING PERFORMANCE HISTORY
2026-09-11
Executive Summary
The quantitative backtest for GOOG (Alphabet Inc - Class C) using the Moving Average (50/200)* strategy in a Investing context demonstrated its primary role in risk mitigation, experiencing a maximum drawdown of -31.6% (compared to the benchmark's drawdown of -65.3%). Over the evaluated period, this protective approach generated a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 12.7%, compared to a Buy-and-Hold benchmark return of 18.4%. The strategy executed 32 total trades.

* Moving Average (50/200): Classic Moving Average Crossover (e.g., 50-day crossing 200-day). The foundational basis of research-grade trend following.

🛡️ GOOG Drawdown Shield & Downside Protection

Why Drawdown Dictates Longevity →
Peak Drawdown Defense
-31.6% (vs -65.3% B&H)
+33.7% shallower drawdown
Drawdown Shield
33.7% Cut
Protected capital vs -65.3% B&H
Capital Sheltered from Risk
29.8% of Time
Earning Treasury yield during downturns
* Drawdown Shield demonstrates how systematic trend-following bounded historical drawdowns and protected principal capital compared to passive Buy & Hold.

📊 GOOG Quality Metrics & KPI Summary

Metric 1Y5Y10YFull
StrategyB&HStrategyB&HStrategyB&HStrategyB&H
Max Drawdown-22.25%-20.75%-24.83%-44.60%-24.83%-44.60%-31.55%-65.29%
Sharpe Ratio0.621.090.550.540.760.740.560.57
Sortino Ratio0.971.830.620.790.861.000.640.78
CAGR19.02%39.71%13.30%18.76%18.10%24.31%12.69%18.38%
% Time Invested87.3%100.0%63.6%100.0%72.5%100.0%70.2%100.0%
Trades / Year1.00.01.40.01.60.01.60.0

Cumulative Growth Performance

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Hydrating Performance Trajectory... Loading historical performance data
Figure 1: Cumulative Trajectory Analysis. Logarithmic growth comparison of GOOG under the Moving Average (50/200) strategy (Investing) versus Buy & Hold. The strategy produced a 12.7% CAGR with a -31.6% Max Drawdown across 32 trade signals (compared to Buy & Hold's 18.4% CAGR and -65.3% Max Drawdown).

Return Distribution Analysis

Histogram of monthly return distribution for GOOG under Moving Average (50/200) strategy in Investing context, illustrating downside risk mitigation and return skewness.
Figure 2: Monthly Return Distribution Profile. Monthly return distribution for GOOG under Moving Average (50/200) (Investing). Visualizes return frequency, volatility clustering, and tail-risk truncation relative to standard buy-and-hold returns.
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Top 5 non-correlated asset sleeves evaluated on 1Y daily percentage returns (Pearson r). Compare them side-by-side in Compare Studio to analyze portfolio diversification.

Diversifier Asset Category 1Y Correlation (r) Action
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Trade History

This log shows every signal-driven transition. Completed trades reflect standard market cycles. An Open or Mark-to-Market exit denotes an active position (either in the primary asset or a cash/yield sleeve) valued at the current price for reporting purposes. Interest entries record yield accrued from cash or cash alternatives (like BIL) during out-of-market defensive periods.

Entry DateExit DateTypeAllocationEntry PriceExit PriceNet Return %Exit Reason
🔒 Active Positions & Recent Execution Signals Hidden
Trading on delayed data carries high execution risk. Current allocations, pending next-day rebalances, and active execution signals (last 60 days) require a Premium subscription.
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2026-04-17 2026-06-26 Completed 100% $334.01 $340.76 1.97% Stop
2026-03-25 2026-04-17 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.23% Interest Income
2025-07-18 2026-03-25 Completed 100% $185.97 $291.78 56.82% Stop
2025-04-08 2025-07-18 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.01 1.18% Interest Income
2025-03-21 2025-04-08 Completed 100% $162.61 $152.85 -6.05% Stop
2025-02-27 2025-03-21 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.27% Interest Income
2024-08-28 2025-02-27 Completed 100% $165.40 $174.92 5.70% Stop
2024-08-06 2024-08-28 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.33% Interest Income
2024-03-28 2024-08-06 Completed 100% $150.57 $159.62 5.95% Stop
2024-03-06 2024-03-28 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.34% Interest Income
2023-05-04 2024-03-06 Completed 100% $105.16 $132.98 26.39% Stop
2022-03-07 2023-05-04 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.04 3.67% Interest Income
2022-02-16 2022-03-07 Completed 100% $135.15 $130.67 -3.37% Signal
2022-01-25 2022-02-16 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2020-10-13 2022-01-25 Completed 100% $78.44 $127.23 62.11% Stop
2020-09-21 2020-10-13 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2020-06-09 2020-09-21 Completed 100% $71.59 $71.33 -0.42% Stop
2020-04-22 2020-06-09 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2020-03-24 2020-04-22 Completed 100% $54.67 $61.69 12.79% Signal
2020-03-02 2020-03-24 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2019-08-09 2020-03-02 Completed 100% $59.34 $66.95 12.77% Stop
2019-07-18 2019-08-09 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.13% Interest Income
2019-06-26 2019-07-18 Completed 100% $53.82 $56.55 5.03% Signal
2019-06-04 2019-06-26 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.14% Interest Income
2019-03-28 2019-06-04 Completed 100% $58.03 $51.66 -11.02% Stop
2018-11-16 2019-03-28 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.01 0.84% Interest Income
2018-11-05 2018-11-16 Completed 100% $52.26 $52.47 0.37% Signal
2018-10-12 2018-11-05 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.15% Interest Income
2018-04-23 2018-10-12 Completed 100% $53.39 $54.88 2.74% Stop
2018-03-29 2018-04-23 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.11% Interest Income
2018-03-07 2018-03-29 Completed 100% $53.95 $50.11 -7.17% Stop
2018-02-12 2018-03-07 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.10% Interest Income
2016-08-15 2018-02-12 Completed 100% $38.82 $51.91 33.65% Stop
2016-06-30 2016-08-15 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.04% Interest Income
2015-07-20 2016-06-30 Completed 100% $32.65 $33.95 3.93% Signal
2015-05-14 2015-07-20 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2015-05-01 2015-05-14 Completed 100% $26.67 $26.44 -0.92% Signal
2014-10-29 2015-05-01 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2014-05-20 2014-10-29 Completed 100% $26.17 $27.17 3.77% Signal
2014-04-28 2014-05-20 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2012-12-04 2014-04-28 Completed 100% $17.15 $25.55 48.90% Stop
2012-11-09 2012-12-04 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2012-08-27 2012-11-09 Completed 100% $16.36 $16.15 -1.31% Stop
2012-06-15 2012-08-27 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2012-02-17 2012-06-15 Completed 100% $14.93 $13.83 -7.42% Stop
2012-01-26 2012-02-17 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2011-10-13 2012-01-26 Completed 100% $13.57 $14.11 3.94% Stop
2011-08-19 2011-10-13 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2011-07-07 2011-08-19 Completed 100% $13.35 $12.32 -7.75% Stop
2011-05-13 2011-07-07 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2011-05-11 2011-05-13 Completed 100% $13.33 $13.19 -1.07% Signal
2011-04-18 2011-05-11 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2010-07-16 2011-04-18 Completed 100% $11.57 $12.99 12.16% Stop
2010-05-05 2010-07-16 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.03% Interest Income
2010-02-23 2010-05-05 Completed 100% $13.40 $12.36 -7.78% Stop
2010-01-29 2010-02-23 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2009-05-18 2010-01-29 Completed 100% $9.74 $13.29 36.35% Stop
2008-02-27 2009-05-18 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.01 1.08% Interest Income
2008-02-11 2008-02-27 Completed 100% $12.84 $11.35 -11.65% Stop
2008-01-17 2008-02-11 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.15% Interest Income
2007-12-06 2008-01-17 Completed 100% $17.22 $15.32 -11.08% Stop
2007-11-13 2007-12-06 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.20% Interest Income
2006-11-01 2007-11-13 Completed 100% $11.81 $15.91 34.65% Stop
2006-10-30 2006-11-01 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income

Next Steps: Portfolio Integration & Comparative Analysis

Single-ticker trend following is designed to truncate tail risk inside a broader portfolio. View where GOOG ranks across 40+ tracked assets, evaluate correlation against non-correlated diversifiers, or model it inside a custom all-weather asset mix.

📊 View Full 40-Asset Backtest Matrix → 🛠️ Build Custom Portfolio with GOOG → ⚖️ Compare GOOG vs Non-Correlated Assets →