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META

Meta Platforms Inc - Class A
TREND FOLLOWING PERFORMANCE HISTORY
2026-09-11
Executive Summary
The quantitative backtest for META (Meta Platforms Inc - Class A) using the Excess Return SMA* strategy in a Investing context demonstrated its primary role in risk mitigation, experiencing a maximum drawdown of -42.5% (compared to the benchmark's drawdown of -76.7%). Over the evaluated period, this protective approach generated a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 15.0%, compared to a Buy-and-Hold benchmark return of 19.9%. The strategy executed 24 total trades.

* Excess Return SMA: Advanced Single Moving Average model utilizing custom duration weighting and dynamic Stop Loss limits.

🛡️ META Drawdown Shield & Downside Protection

Why Drawdown Dictates Longevity →
Peak Drawdown Defense
-42.5% (vs -76.7% B&H)
+34.2% shallower drawdown
Drawdown Shield
34.2% Cut
Protected capital vs -76.7% B&H
Capital Sheltered from Risk
27.4% of Time
Earning Treasury yield during downturns
* Drawdown Shield demonstrates how systematic trend-following bounded historical drawdowns and protected principal capital compared to passive Buy & Hold.

📊 META Quality Metrics & KPI Summary

Metric 1Y5Y10YFull
StrategyB&HStrategyB&HStrategyB&HStrategyB&H
Max Drawdown-23.66%-32.46%-41.63%-76.39%-42.49%-76.74%-42.49%-76.74%
Sharpe Ratio-0.17-0.370.130.240.430.410.510.48
Sortino Ratio-0.17-0.490.130.300.460.500.560.59
CAGR-5.16%-13.43%3.67%11.68%12.93%17.66%14.98%19.90%
% Time Invested71.8%100.0%60.0%100.0%68.2%100.0%72.6%100.0%
Trades / Year4.00.02.60.02.10.02.00.0

Cumulative Growth Performance

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Hydrating Performance Trajectory... Loading historical performance data
Figure 1: Cumulative Trajectory Analysis. Logarithmic growth comparison of META under the Excess Return SMA strategy (Investing) versus Buy & Hold. The strategy produced a 15.0% CAGR with a -42.5% Max Drawdown across 24 trade signals (compared to Buy & Hold's 19.9% CAGR and -76.7% Max Drawdown).

Return Distribution Analysis

Histogram of monthly return distribution for META under Excess Return SMA strategy in Investing context, illustrating downside risk mitigation and return skewness.
Figure 2: Monthly Return Distribution Profile. Monthly return distribution for META under Excess Return SMA (Investing). Visualizes return frequency, volatility clustering, and tail-risk truncation relative to standard buy-and-hold returns.
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Top 5 non-correlated asset sleeves evaluated on 1Y daily percentage returns (Pearson r). Compare them side-by-side in Compare Studio to analyze portfolio diversification.

Diversifier Asset Category 1Y Correlation (r) Action
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Trade History

This log shows every signal-driven transition. Completed trades reflect standard market cycles. An Open or Mark-to-Market exit denotes an active position (either in the primary asset or a cash/yield sleeve) valued at the current price for reporting purposes. Interest entries record yield accrued from cash or cash alternatives (like BIL) during out-of-market defensive periods.

Entry DateExit DateTypeAllocationEntry PriceExit PriceNet Return %Exit Reason
🔒 Active Positions & Recent Execution Signals Hidden
Trading on delayed data carries high execution risk. Current allocations, pending next-day rebalances, and active execution signals (last 60 days) require a Premium subscription.
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2026-06-08 2026-07-01 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.24% Interest Income
2026-04-01 2026-06-08 Completed 100% $579.59 $591.45 2.00% Stop
2026-03-10 2026-04-01 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.23% Interest Income
2025-11-24 2026-03-10 Completed 100% $597.17 $652.40 9.19% Stop
2025-10-31 2025-11-24 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.25% Interest Income
2025-04-30 2025-10-31 Completed 100% $536.23 $672.76 25.40% Stop
2025-04-07 2025-04-30 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.27% Interest Income
2025-03-27 2025-04-07 Completed 100% $599.57 $483.14 -19.46% Stop
2025-03-05 2025-03-27 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.27% Interest Income
2024-08-19 2025-03-05 Completed 100% $523.36 $637.85 21.82% Stop
2024-07-26 2024-08-19 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.33% Interest Income
2024-05-20 2024-07-26 Completed 100% $466.35 $461.10 -1.17% Stop
2024-04-26 2024-05-20 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.34% Interest Income
2023-09-28 2024-04-26 Completed 100% $296.34 $438.08 47.76% Stop
2022-07-15 2023-09-28 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.06 5.50% Interest Income
2022-07-08 2022-07-15 Completed 100% $168.50 $159.14 -5.60% Signal
2022-06-14 2022-07-08 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.11% Interest Income
2022-05-16 2022-06-14 Completed 100% $195.33 $164.58 -15.78% Stop
2022-04-22 2022-05-16 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.06% Interest Income
2022-02-16 2022-04-22 Completed 100% $210.56 $188.71 -10.42% Stop
2022-01-25 2022-02-16 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2021-10-27 2022-01-25 Completed 100% $311.45 $297.34 -4.58% Stop
2021-10-05 2021-10-27 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2021-02-05 2021-10-05 Completed 100% $264.48 $325.72 23.09% Stop
2021-01-13 2021-02-05 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2020-10-12 2021-01-13 Completed 100% $267.85 $249.36 -6.95% Stop
2020-09-18 2020-10-12 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2020-03-23 2020-09-18 Completed 100% $148.36 $256.15 72.57% Stop
2020-02-28 2020-03-23 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.03% Interest Income
2019-11-29 2020-02-28 Completed 100% $199.85 $181.11 -9.42% Stop
2019-03-07 2019-11-29 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.02 1.54% Interest Income
2018-12-17 2019-03-07 Completed 100% $141.83 $170.01 19.80% Signal
2018-11-21 2018-12-17 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.15% Interest Income
2018-11-05 2018-11-21 Completed 100% $148.79 $133.23 -10.50% Stop
2018-10-12 2018-11-05 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.15% Interest Income
2018-08-20 2018-10-12 Completed 100% $172.52 $155.37 -9.99% Stop
2018-07-27 2018-08-20 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.13% Interest Income
2018-04-13 2018-07-27 Completed 100% $163.15 $178.30 9.24% Stop
2018-03-21 2018-04-13 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.11% Interest Income
2016-02-09 2018-03-21 Completed 100% $96.29 $163.37 69.57% Stop
2016-01-15 2016-02-09 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2015-09-17 2016-01-15 Completed 100% $92.56 $93.16 0.60% Stop
2015-08-25 2015-09-17 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2014-08-06 2015-08-25 Completed 100% $71.39 $86.19 20.67% Stop
2014-08-04 2014-08-06 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income

Next Steps: Portfolio Integration & Comparative Analysis

Single-ticker trend following is designed to truncate tail risk inside a broader portfolio. View where META ranks across 40+ tracked assets, evaluate correlation against non-correlated diversifiers, or model it inside a custom all-weather asset mix.

📊 View Full 40-Asset Backtest Matrix → 🛠️ Build Custom Portfolio with META → ⚖️ Compare META vs Non-Correlated Assets →