META
Meta Platforms Inc - Class A
TREND FOLLOWING PERFORMANCE HISTORY
2026-07-28
Executive Summary
The quantitative backtest for META (Meta Platforms Inc - Class A) using the Moving Average (50/200)* strategy in a Investing context demonstrated its primary role in risk mitigation, experiencing a maximum drawdown of -40.4% (compared to the benchmark's drawdown of -76.7%). Over the evaluated period, this protective approach generated a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 13.9%, compared to a Buy-and-Hold benchmark return of 19.2%. The strategy executed 25 total trades.
* Moving Average (50/200): Classic Moving Average Crossover (e.g., 50-day crossing 200-day). The foundational basis of research-grade trend following.
* Moving Average (50/200): Classic Moving Average Crossover (e.g., 50-day crossing 200-day). The foundational basis of research-grade trend following.
📊 Mathematical Model
Excess Return MMA
Advanced Ensemble: Uses multiple signal layers for maximum trend stability and noise reduction.
Excess Return MMA CA
Advanced Dynamic Sleeve: MMA ensemble signals on the primary asset combined with a momentum-based cash alternative ETF rotation.
Excess Return SMA
Standard Signal: Classical quantitative trend following optimized for reliable directionality.
Moving Average (50/200) Active
Moving Average: The baseline 50/200-day crossover model used by technical analysts worldwide.
🎯 Investment Objective
🛡️ Long-Term Investing Active
Ideal for wealth preservation and multi-year horizons. Optimized for low turnover and tax efficiency.
⚔️ Tactical Trading
Ideal for active capital rotation and momentum-first accounts. Optimized for high sensitivity to price shifts.
Switch to MMA to enable
META Quality Metrics & KPI Summary
| Metric | 1Y | 5Y | 10Y | Full History | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strategy | B&H | Strategy | B&H | Strategy | B&H | Strategy | B&H | |
| CAGR | -6.16% | -17.05% | 17.96% | 9.91% | 11.80% | 16.96% | 13.91% | 19.25% |
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.27 | -0.48 | 0.66 | 0.21 | 0.45 | 0.40 | 0.52 | 0.47 |
| Max Drawdown | -15.84% | -33.30% | -29.79% | -76.74% | -40.40% | -76.74% | -40.40% | -76.74% |
| % Time Invested | 36.1% | 100.0% | 52.9% | 100.0% | 62.3% | 100.0% | 67.5% | 100.0% |
| Trades / Year | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 0.0 |
Cumulative Growth Performance
Return Distribution Analysis
Trade History
This log shows every signal-driven transition. Completed trades reflect standard market cycles. An Open or Mark-to-Market exit denotes an active position (either in the primary asset or a cash/yield sleeve) valued at the current price for reporting purposes. Interest entries record yield accrued from cash or cash alternatives (like BIL) during out-of-market defensive periods.
| Entry Date | Exit Date | Type | Allocation | Entry Price | Exit Price | Net Return % | Exit Reason | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🔒 Active Positions & Recent Execution Signals Hidden Trading on delayed data carries high execution risk. Current allocations, pending next-day rebalances, and active execution signals (last 60 days) require a Premium subscription. Upgrade to Pro to Unlock | ||||||||
| 2026-04-16 | 2026-05-01 | Completed | 100% | $675.36 | $614.12 | -9.11% | Stop | |
| 2025-12-11 | 2026-04-16 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 1.23% | Interest Income | |
| 2025-11-24 | 2025-12-11 | Completed | 100% | $597.17 | $641.62 | 7.39% | Signal | |
| 2025-10-31 | 2025-11-24 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.25% | Interest Income | |
| 2025-06-17 | 2025-10-31 | Completed | 100% | $699.71 | $672.76 | -3.90% | Stop | |
| 2025-05-07 | 2025-06-17 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.48% | Interest Income | |
| 2025-04-30 | 2025-05-07 | Completed | 100% | $536.23 | $587.98 | 9.60% | Signal | |
| 2025-04-07 | 2025-04-30 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.27% | Interest Income | |
| 2025-03-27 | 2025-04-07 | Completed | 100% | $599.57 | $483.14 | -19.46% | Stop | |
| 2025-03-05 | 2025-03-27 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.27% | Interest Income | |
| 2024-08-19 | 2025-03-05 | Completed | 100% | $523.36 | $637.85 | 21.82% | Stop | |
| 2024-07-26 | 2024-08-19 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.33% | Interest Income | |
| 2024-05-20 | 2024-07-26 | Completed | 100% | $466.35 | $461.10 | -1.17% | Stop | |
| 2024-04-26 | 2024-05-20 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.34% | Interest Income | |
| 2023-09-13 | 2024-04-26 | Completed | 100% | $299.73 | $438.08 | 46.09% | Stop | |
| 2023-08-21 | 2023-09-13 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.34% | Interest Income | |
| 2023-03-03 | 2023-08-21 | Completed | 100% | $177.36 | $280.98 | 58.34% | Stop | |
| 2021-12-13 | 2023-03-03 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.03 | 2.86% | Interest Income | |
| 2021-10-27 | 2021-12-13 | Completed | 100% | $311.45 | $328.07 | 5.28% | Signal | |
| 2021-10-05 | 2021-10-27 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2021-02-05 | 2021-10-05 | Completed | 100% | $264.48 | $325.72 | 23.09% | Stop | |
| 2021-01-13 | 2021-02-05 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-10-12 | 2021-01-13 | Completed | 100% | $267.85 | $249.36 | -6.95% | Stop | |
| 2020-09-18 | 2020-10-12 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-06-22 | 2020-09-18 | Completed | 100% | $236.48 | $256.15 | 8.26% | Stop | |
| 2020-05-29 | 2020-06-22 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-05-26 | 2020-05-29 | Completed | 100% | $237.68 | $223.24 | -6.12% | Stop | |
| 2020-03-30 | 2020-05-26 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.02% | Interest Income | |
| 2020-03-23 | 2020-03-30 | Completed | 100% | $148.36 | $157.79 | 6.31% | Signal | |
| 2020-02-28 | 2020-03-23 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.03% | Interest Income | |
| 2019-10-25 | 2020-02-28 | Completed | 100% | $184.21 | $181.11 | -1.73% | Stop | |
| 2019-10-03 | 2019-10-25 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.11% | Interest Income | |
| 2019-06-26 | 2019-10-03 | Completed | 100% | $187.89 | $174.04 | -7.42% | Stop | |
| 2019-06-04 | 2019-06-26 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.14% | Interest Income | |
| 2019-04-04 | 2019-06-04 | Completed | 100% | $174.49 | $162.28 | -7.04% | Stop | |
| 2018-09-21 | 2019-04-04 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 1.25% | Interest Income | |
| 2018-08-20 | 2018-09-21 | Completed | 100% | $172.52 | $165.19 | -4.30% | Signal | |
| 2018-07-27 | 2018-08-20 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.13% | Interest Income | |
| 2018-06-13 | 2018-07-27 | Completed | 100% | $191.06 | $178.30 | -6.72% | Stop | |
| 2018-04-17 | 2018-06-13 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.30% | Interest Income | |
| 2018-04-13 | 2018-04-17 | Completed | 100% | $163.15 | $164.39 | 0.71% | Signal | |
| 2018-03-21 | 2018-04-13 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.11% | Interest Income | |
| 2017-02-01 | 2018-03-21 | Completed | 100% | $131.10 | $163.37 | 24.55% | Stop | |
| 2017-01-09 | 2017-02-01 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.03% | Interest Income | |
| 2016-02-09 | 2017-01-09 | Completed | 100% | $96.29 | $122.47 | 27.12% | Signal | |
| 2016-01-15 | 2016-02-09 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.02% | Interest Income | |
| 2015-09-17 | 2016-01-15 | Completed | 100% | $92.56 | $93.16 | 0.60% | Stop | |
| 2015-08-25 | 2015-09-17 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2014-08-06 | 2015-08-25 | Completed | 100% | $71.39 | $86.19 | 20.67% | Stop | |
| 2014-08-04 | 2014-08-06 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |