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NEE

NextEra Energy Inc
TREND FOLLOWING PERFORMANCE HISTORY
2026-09-10
Executive Summary
The quantitative backtest for NEE (NextEra Energy Inc) using the Moving Average (50/200)* strategy in a Investing context demonstrated its primary role in risk mitigation, experiencing a maximum drawdown of -42.8% (compared to the benchmark's drawdown of -47.8%). Over the evaluated period, this protective approach generated a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 8.6%, compared to a Buy-and-Hold benchmark return of 12.5%. The strategy executed 57 total trades.

* Moving Average (50/200): Classic Moving Average Crossover (e.g., 50-day crossing 200-day). The foundational basis of research-grade trend following.

🛡️ NEE Drawdown Shield & Downside Protection

Why Drawdown Dictates Longevity →
Peak Drawdown Defense
-42.8% (vs -47.8% B&H)
+5.0% shallower drawdown
Drawdown Shield
5.0% Cut
Protected capital vs -47.8% B&H
Capital Sheltered from Risk
26.6% of Time
Earning Treasury yield during downturns
* Drawdown Shield demonstrates how systematic trend-following bounded historical drawdowns and protected principal capital compared to passive Buy & Hold.

📊 NEE Quality Metrics & KPI Summary

Metric 1Y5Y10YFull
StrategyB&HStrategyB&HStrategyB&HStrategyB&H
Max Drawdown-14.53%-15.14%-23.10%-44.97%-29.18%-44.97%-42.82%-47.81%
Sharpe Ratio0.910.840.150.080.470.490.520.56
Sortino Ratio1.291.220.140.100.500.610.580.72
CAGR20.92%19.40%2.71%2.11%9.08%13.21%8.64%12.52%
% Time Invested95.2%100.0%51.2%100.0%70.1%100.0%73.4%100.0%
Trades / Year0.00.01.20.01.10.01.10.0

Cumulative Growth Performance

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Hydrating Performance Trajectory... Loading historical performance data
Figure 1: Cumulative Trajectory Analysis. Logarithmic growth comparison of NEE under the Moving Average (50/200) strategy (Investing) versus Buy & Hold. The strategy produced a 8.6% CAGR with a -42.8% Max Drawdown across 57 trade signals (compared to Buy & Hold's 12.5% CAGR and -47.8% Max Drawdown).

Return Distribution Analysis

Histogram of monthly return distribution for NEE under Moving Average (50/200) strategy in Investing context, illustrating downside risk mitigation and return skewness.
Figure 2: Monthly Return Distribution Profile. Monthly return distribution for NEE under Moving Average (50/200) (Investing). Visualizes return frequency, volatility clustering, and tail-risk truncation relative to standard buy-and-hold returns.
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Top 5 non-correlated asset sleeves evaluated on 1Y daily percentage returns (Pearson r). Compare them side-by-side in Compare Studio to analyze portfolio diversification.

Diversifier Asset Category 1Y Correlation (r) Action
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Trade History

This log shows every signal-driven transition. Completed trades reflect standard market cycles. An Open or Mark-to-Market exit denotes an active position (either in the primary asset or a cash/yield sleeve) valued at the current price for reporting purposes. Interest entries record yield accrued from cash or cash alternatives (like BIL) during out-of-market defensive periods.

Entry DateExit DateTypeAllocationEntry PriceExit PriceNet Return %Exit Reason
🔒 Active Positions & Recent Execution Signals Hidden
Trading on delayed data carries high execution risk. Current allocations, pending next-day rebalances, and active execution signals (last 60 days) require a Premium subscription.
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2024-12-18 2025-07-22 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.02 2.49% Interest Income
2024-04-26 2024-12-18 Completed 100% $62.56 $68.29 9.11% Stop
2023-02-24 2024-04-26 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.06 6.32% Interest Income
2022-12-19 2023-02-24 Completed 100% $75.32 $64.68 -14.17% Stop
2022-11-25 2022-12-19 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.27% Interest Income
2022-11-01 2022-11-25 Completed 100% $69.77 $76.48 9.55% Signal
2022-10-10 2022-11-01 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.25% Interest Income
2022-08-18 2022-10-10 Completed 100% $80.10 $68.74 -14.23% Stop
2022-03-08 2022-08-18 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.01 0.62% Interest Income
2022-02-16 2022-03-08 Completed 100% $65.97 $74.45 12.78% Signal
2022-01-25 2022-02-16 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2021-08-13 2022-01-25 Completed 100% $72.45 $68.67 -5.27% Stop
2021-06-22 2021-08-13 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2021-03-18 2021-06-22 Completed 100% $63.20 $64.56 2.10% Signal
2021-02-24 2021-03-18 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2020-06-03 2021-02-24 Completed 100% $55.05 $64.44 17.00% Stop
2020-05-11 2020-06-03 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2020-04-03 2020-05-11 Completed 100% $47.49 $48.09 1.21% Signal
2020-03-12 2020-04-03 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2017-02-28 2020-03-12 Completed 100% $25.55 $45.83 79.30% Stop
2016-12-07 2017-02-28 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.11% Interest Income
2015-12-09 2016-12-07 Completed 100% $18.71 $22.44 19.85% Signal
2015-09-23 2015-12-09 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2015-08-04 2015-09-23 Completed 100% $20.09 $18.25 -9.20% Signal
2015-06-29 2015-08-04 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2011-10-27 2015-06-29 Completed 100% $9.45 $18.23 92.70% Signal
2011-10-05 2011-10-27 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2011-09-01 2011-10-05 Completed 100% $9.35 $8.74 -6.50% Signal
2011-08-10 2011-09-01 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2010-06-17 2011-08-10 Completed 100% $8.12 $8.35 2.73% Stop
2009-10-28 2010-06-17 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.07% Interest Income
2009-03-19 2009-10-28 Completed 100% $7.46 $7.69 2.97% Stop
2008-08-07 2009-03-19 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.34% Interest Income
2008-02-14 2008-08-07 Completed 100% $9.28 $8.37 -9.92% Stop
2008-01-23 2008-02-14 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.14% Interest Income
2007-07-30 2008-01-23 Completed 100% $8.08 $8.51 5.21% Stop
2007-07-06 2007-07-30 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.31% Interest Income
2006-06-09 2007-07-06 Completed 100% $5.68 $8.05 41.54% Stop
2006-02-06 2006-06-09 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.02 1.58% Interest Income
2004-08-03 2006-02-06 Completed 100% $4.34 $5.51 27.05% Stop
2004-06-14 2004-08-03 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.19% Interest Income
2003-03-11 2004-06-14 Completed 100% $3.50 $4.06 16.09% Signal
2003-02-14 2003-03-11 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.07% Interest Income
2002-12-12 2003-02-14 Completed 100% $3.57 $3.40 -4.64% Stop
2002-08-14 2002-12-12 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.50% Interest Income
2002-08-02 2002-08-14 Completed 100% $3.30 $3.29 -0.32% Signal
2002-07-11 2002-08-02 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.11% Interest Income
2002-03-22 2002-07-11 Completed 100% $3.48 $3.18 -8.84% Stop
2002-02-06 2002-03-22 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.22% Interest Income
2002-02-01 2002-02-06 Completed 100% $3.10 $3.02 -2.54% Signal
2001-07-18 2002-02-01 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.01 1.24% Interest Income
2001-06-13 2001-07-18 Completed 100% $3.46 $3.27 -5.45% Stop
2001-05-11 2001-06-13 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.31% Interest Income
2001-04-18 2001-05-11 Completed 100% $3.56 $3.23 -9.23% Signal
2001-03-26 2001-04-18 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.26% Interest Income
2001-02-06 2001-03-26 Completed 100% $3.27 $3.27 -0.05% Stop
2001-01-12 2001-02-06 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.32% Interest Income
2000-05-24 2001-01-12 Completed 100% $2.63 $3.24 23.19% Stop
1998-12-31 2000-05-24 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.07 7.14% Interest Income
1998-11-17 1998-12-31 Completed 100% $3.27 $3.18 -2.60% Signal
1998-10-26 1998-11-17 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.28% Interest Income
1996-07-11 1998-10-26 Completed 100% $2.12 $3.10 46.13% Stop
1996-06-18 1996-07-11 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.33% Interest Income
1994-11-04 1996-06-18 Completed 100% $1.44 $2.04 41.50% Signal
1994-01-25 1994-11-04 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.03 3.29% Interest Income
1991-01-31 1994-01-25 Completed 100% $0.97 $1.46 50.08% Signal
1990-04-23 1991-01-31 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.06 5.81% Interest Income
1989-05-24 1990-04-23 Completed 100% $0.95 $0.97 2.36% Stop
1989-05-02 1989-05-24 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.48% Interest Income
1988-06-15 1989-05-02 Completed 100% $0.86 $0.91 5.07% Signal
1988-04-28 1988-06-15 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.01 0.99% Interest Income
1988-02-25 1988-04-28 Completed 100% $0.86 $0.78 -9.10% Signal
1987-12-09 1988-02-25 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.02 1.60% Interest Income
1987-11-11 1987-12-09 Completed 100% $0.81 $0.76 -6.61% Signal
1987-10-20 1987-11-11 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.48% Interest Income
1987-08-20 1987-10-20 Completed 100% $0.88 $0.76 -14.24% Stop
1987-04-13 1987-08-20 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.03 2.73% Interest Income
1986-10-06 1987-04-13 Completed 100% $0.77 $0.77 -0.63% Stop
1986-09-12 1986-10-06 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.48% Interest Income
1985-08-21 1986-09-12 Completed 100% $0.58 $0.78 34.69% Stop
1985-07-30 1985-08-21 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.48% Interest Income
1984-07-18 1985-07-30 Completed 100% $0.40 $0.54 36.40% Stop
1984-04-09 1984-07-18 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.02 2.09% Interest Income
1983-08-24 1984-04-09 Completed 100% $0.36 $0.37 3.55% Signal
1983-07-13 1983-08-24 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.01 0.90% Interest Income
1981-09-30 1983-07-13 Completed 100% $0.25 $0.34 35.78% Signal
1981-09-08 1981-09-30 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.48% Interest Income
1981-05-05 1981-09-08 Completed 100% $0.26 $0.25 -2.79% Stop
1980-12-10 1981-05-05 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.03 3.04% Interest Income
1980-04-24 1980-12-10 Completed 100% $0.26 $0.23 -11.62% Stop
1979-09-12 1980-04-24 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.05 4.78% Interest Income
1979-07-17 1979-09-12 Completed 100% $0.26 $0.25 -5.05% Signal
1979-05-08 1979-07-17 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.01 1.45% Interest Income
1979-03-22 1979-05-08 Completed 100% $0.27 $0.25 -5.85% Signal
1978-12-19 1979-03-22 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.02 1.93% Interest Income
1978-06-06 1978-12-19 Completed 100% $0.26 $0.25 -4.59% Signal
1978-01-31 1978-06-06 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.03 2.64% Interest Income
1977-12-09 1978-01-31 Completed 100% $0.25 $0.24 -6.12% Signal
1977-10-03 1977-12-09 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.01 1.45% Interest Income
1977-06-21 1977-10-03 Completed 100% $0.26 $0.25 -4.61% Signal
1977-04-01 1977-06-21 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.02 1.66% Interest Income
1977-03-21 1977-04-01 Completed 100% $0.24 $0.23 -2.04% Signal
1977-02-25 1977-03-21 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.48% Interest Income
1976-06-14 1977-02-25 Completed 100% $0.23 $0.23 -0.57% Stop
1976-05-07 1976-06-14 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.01 0.75% Interest Income
1976-03-29 1976-05-07 Completed 100% $0.23 $0.23 -0.56% Signal
1976-03-05 1976-03-29 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.48% Interest Income
1975-11-05 1976-03-05 Completed 100% $0.24 $0.23 -4.48% Stop
1975-10-14 1975-11-05 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.48% Interest Income
1975-08-27 1975-10-14 Completed 100% $0.20 $0.23 13.39% Signal
1975-08-05 1975-08-27 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.48% Interest Income
1975-05-05 1975-08-05 Completed 100% $0.19 $0.21 10.44% Stop
1975-05-01 1975-05-05 Interest (CASH) 100% $1.00 $1.00 0.03% Interest Income

Next Steps: Portfolio Integration & Comparative Analysis

Single-ticker trend following is designed to truncate tail risk inside a broader portfolio. View where NEE ranks across 40+ tracked assets, evaluate correlation against non-correlated diversifiers, or model it inside a custom all-weather asset mix.

📊 View Full 40-Asset Backtest Matrix → 🛠️ Build Custom Portfolio with NEE → ⚖️ Compare NEE vs Non-Correlated Assets →