QQQM
Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF
TREND FOLLOWING PERFORMANCE HISTORY
2026-07-16
Executive Summary
The quantitative backtest for QQQM (Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF) using the Moving Average (50/200)* strategy in a Investing context demonstrated its primary role in risk mitigation, experiencing a maximum drawdown of -17.9% (compared to the benchmark's drawdown of -22.7%). Over the evaluated period, this protective approach generated a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 21.4%, compared to a Buy-and-Hold benchmark return of 28.6%. The strategy executed 2 total trades.
* Moving Average (50/200): Classic Moving Average Crossover (e.g., 50-day crossing 200-day). The foundational basis of research-grade trend following.
* Moving Average (50/200): Classic Moving Average Crossover (e.g., 50-day crossing 200-day). The foundational basis of research-grade trend following.
📊 Mathematical Model
Excess Return MMA
Advanced Ensemble: Uses multiple signal layers for maximum trend stability and noise reduction.
Excess Return MMA CA
Advanced Dynamic Sleeve: MMA ensemble signals on the primary asset combined with a momentum-based cash alternative ETF rotation.
Excess Return SMA
Standard Signal: Classical quantitative trend following optimized for reliable directionality.
Moving Average (50/200) Active
Moving Average: The baseline 50/200-day crossover model used by technical analysts worldwide.
🎯 Investment Objective
🛡️ Long-Term Investing Active
Ideal for wealth preservation and multi-year horizons. Optimized for low turnover and tax efficiency.
⚔️ Tactical Trading
Ideal for active capital rotation and momentum-first accounts. Optimized for high sensitivity to price shifts.
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QQQM Quality Metrics & KPI Summary
| Metric | 1Y | 5Y | Full History | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strategy | B&H | Strategy | B&H | Strategy | B&H | |
| CAGR | 27.36% | 27.36% | 15.77% | 15.34% | 21.39% | 28.63% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.31 | 1.31 | 1.00 | 0.63 | 1.16 | 1.21 |
| Max Drawdown | -11.96% | -11.96% | -17.91% | -35.04% | -17.91% | -22.70% |
| % Time Invested | 100.0% | 100.0% | 64.0% | 100.0% | 84.9% | 100.0% |
| Trades / Year | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
Cumulative Growth Performance
Return Distribution Analysis
Trade History
This log shows every signal-driven transition. Completed trades reflect standard market cycles. An Open or Mark-to-Market exit denotes an active position (either in the primary asset or a cash/yield sleeve) valued at the current price for reporting purposes. Interest entries record yield accrued from cash or cash alternatives (like BIL) during out-of-market defensive periods.
| Entry Date | Exit Date | Type | Allocation | Entry Price | Exit Price | Net Return % | Exit Reason | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🔒 Active Positions & Recent Execution Signals Hidden Trading on delayed data carries high execution risk. Current allocations, pending next-day rebalances, and active execution signals (last 14 days) require a Premium subscription. Upgrade to Premium to Unlock | ||||||||
| 2025-04-01 | 2025-06-24 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 0.97% | Interest Income | |
| 2024-08-28 | 2025-04-01 | Completed | 100% | $193.87 | $191.12 | -1.47% | Stop | |
| 2024-08-06 | 2024-08-28 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.33% | Interest Income | |
| 2023-01-18 | 2024-08-06 | Completed | 100% | $114.03 | $177.96 | 55.99% | Stop | |
| 2022-10-05 | 2023-01-18 | Interest (CASH) | 100% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 1.17% | Interest Income | |