SCHI
Schwab 5-10 Year Corporate Bond ETF
TREND FOLLOWING PERFORMANCE HISTORY
2026-09-10
Executive Summary
The quantitative backtest for SCHI (Schwab 5-10 Year Corporate Bond ETF) using the Excess Return MMA* strategy in a Investing context demonstrated its primary role in risk mitigation, experiencing a maximum drawdown of -4.8% (compared to the benchmark's drawdown of -19.8%). Over the evaluated period, this protective approach generated a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 1.8%, compared to a Buy-and-Hold benchmark return of 0.7%. The strategy executed 10 total trades.
* Excess Return MMA: Multi-Moving Average (Triple-Band) model utilizing sophisticated long/short cross durations optimized against volatility.
* Excess Return MMA: Multi-Moving Average (Triple-Band) model utilizing sophisticated long/short cross durations optimized against volatility.
📊 Strategy Model 4 Models Available
Compare quantitative moving average overlays for SCHI:
Excess Return MMA Active Model
Advanced Ensemble: Uses multiple signal layers for maximum trend stability and noise reduction.
Excess Return MMA CA
Advanced Dynamic Sleeve: MMA ensemble signals on the primary asset combined with a momentum-based cash alternative ETF rotation.
Excess Return SMA
Standard Signal: Classical quantitative trend following optimized for reliable directionality.
Moving Average (50/200)
Moving Average: The baseline 50/200-day crossover model used by technical analysts worldwide.
🎯 Trading Horizon
Select risk profile & execution style for SCHI:
🛡️ Long-Term Investing Active Horizon
Ideal for wealth preservation and multi-year horizons. Optimized for low turnover and tax efficiency.
⚔️ Tactical Trading
Ideal for active capital rotation and momentum-first accounts. Optimized for high sensitivity to price shifts.
🛡️ SCHI Drawdown Shield & Downside Protection
Why Drawdown Dictates Longevity →Peak Drawdown Defense
-4.8% (vs -19.8% B&H)
+14.9% shallower drawdown
Downside Efficiency
0.76 Sortino
+0.60 vs 0.16 B&H
Capital Sheltered from Risk
48.1% of Time
Earning Treasury yield during downturns
* Drawdown Shield demonstrates how systematic trend-following bounded historical drawdowns and protected principal capital compared to passive Buy & Hold.
📊 SCHI Quality Metrics & KPI Summary
| Metric | 1Y | 5Y | Full | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strategy | B&H | Strategy | B&H | Strategy | B&H | |
| Max Drawdown | -2.83% | -3.28% | -4.81% | -20.45% | -4.81% | -19.75% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.03 | -0.19 | 0.58 | 0.08 | 0.58 | 0.10 |
| Sortino Ratio | 0.05 | -0.30 | 0.75 | 0.12 | 0.76 | 0.16 |
| CAGR | 0.12% | -0.79% | 1.79% | 0.50% | 1.82% | 0.70% |
| % Time Invested | 86.0% | 100.0% | 51.2% | 100.0% | 51.9% | 100.0% |
| Trades / Year | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 |
Cumulative Growth Performance
Return Distribution Analysis
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Explore Correlation Across Horizons →Top 5 non-correlated asset sleeves evaluated on 1Y daily percentage returns (Pearson r). Compare them side-by-side in Compare Studio to analyze portfolio diversification.
| Diversifier Asset | Category | 1Y Correlation (r) | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
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Trade History
This log shows every signal-driven transition. Completed trades reflect standard market cycles. An Open or Mark-to-Market exit denotes an active position (either in the primary asset or a cash/yield sleeve) valued at the current price for reporting purposes. Interest entries record yield accrued from cash or cash alternatives (like BIL) during out-of-market defensive periods.
| Entry Date | Exit Date | Type | Allocation | Entry Price | Exit Price | Net Return % | Exit Reason | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🔒 Active Positions & Recent Execution Signals Hidden Trading on delayed data carries high execution risk. Current allocations, pending next-day rebalances, and active execution signals (last 60 days) require a Premium subscription. Subscribe to Unlock | ||||||||
| 2025-08-06 | 2026-06-18 | Completed | 33.33% | $21.57 | $22.34 | 3.50% | Signal | |
| 2026-03-23 | 2026-06-01 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 0.69% | Interest Income | |
| 2025-04-30 | 2026-03-23 | Completed | 33.33% | $20.90 | $22.00 | 5.21% | Signal | |
| 2025-04-07 | 2025-08-06 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 1.42% | Interest Income | |
| 2024-12-30 | 2025-04-30 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 1.39% | Interest Income | |
| 2024-03-26 | 2025-04-07 | Completed | 33.33% | $19.58 | $20.82 | 6.31% | Signal | |
| 2024-08-01 | 2024-12-30 | Completed | 33.33% | $20.34 | $20.33 | -0.14% | Signal | |
| 2022-03-11 | 2024-08-05 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.11 | 10.78% | Interest Income | |
| 2024-05-16 | 2024-08-01 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.01 | 1.10% | Interest Income | |
| 2024-01-11 | 2024-05-16 | Completed | 33.33% | $19.50 | $19.64 | 0.69% | Signal | |
| 2023-09-25 | 2024-03-26 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.03 | 2.71% | Interest Income | |
| 2023-07-11 | 2024-01-11 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.03 | 2.77% | Interest Income | |
| 2023-05-05 | 2023-09-25 | Completed | 33.33% | $18.87 | $18.25 | -3.33% | Signal | |
| 2023-02-02 | 2023-07-11 | Completed | 33.33% | $19.04 | $18.50 | -2.90% | Signal | |
| 2022-02-11 | 2023-05-05 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.04 | 3.71% | Interest Income | |
| 2021-11-24 | 2023-02-02 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.02 | 2.48% | Interest Income | |
| 2021-10-06 | 2022-03-11 | Completed | 33.33% | $21.07 | $19.66 | -6.74% | Stop | |
| 2021-10-06 | 2022-02-11 | Completed | 33.33% | $21.07 | $20.07 | -4.77% | Signal | |
| 2021-10-06 | 2021-11-24 | Completed | 33.33% | $21.07 | $20.69 | -1.83% | Signal | |
| 2021-10-04 | 2021-10-06 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2021-10-04 | 2021-10-06 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |
| 2021-10-04 | 2021-10-06 | Interest (CASH) | 33.33% | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.00% | Interest Income | |