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SCHI

Schwab 5-10 Year Corporate Bond ETF
TREND FOLLOWING PERFORMANCE HISTORY
2026-09-10
Executive Summary
The quantitative backtest for SCHI (Schwab 5-10 Year Corporate Bond ETF) using the Excess Return MMA* strategy in a Trading context demonstrated its primary role in risk mitigation, experiencing a maximum drawdown of -5.3% (compared to the benchmark's drawdown of -20.7%). Over the evaluated period, this protective approach generated a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 2.7%, compared to a Buy-and-Hold benchmark return of 1.7%. The strategy executed 42 total trades.

* Excess Return MMA: Multi-Moving Average (Triple-Band) model utilizing sophisticated long/short cross durations optimized against volatility.

🛡️ SCHI Drawdown Shield & Downside Protection

Why Drawdown Dictates Longevity →
Peak Drawdown Defense
-5.3% (vs -20.7% B&H)
+15.4% shallower drawdown
Downside Efficiency
1.03 Sortino
+0.62 vs 0.41 B&H
Capital Sheltered from Risk
47.2% of Time
Earning Treasury yield during downturns
* Drawdown Shield demonstrates how systematic trend-following bounded historical drawdowns and protected principal capital compared to passive Buy & Hold.

📊 SCHI Quality Metrics & KPI Summary

Metric 1Y5YFull
StrategyB&HStrategyB&HStrategyB&H
Max Drawdown-3.30%-3.28%-4.83%-20.45%-5.32%-20.67%
Sharpe Ratio-0.52-0.190.580.080.810.28
Sortino Ratio-0.68-0.300.730.121.030.41
CAGR-1.50%-0.79%1.96%0.50%2.66%1.73%
% Time Invested66.4%100.0%47.5%100.0%52.8%100.0%
Trades / Year6.00.06.60.06.60.0

Cumulative Growth Performance

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Hydrating Performance Trajectory... Loading historical performance data
Figure 1: Cumulative Trajectory Analysis. Logarithmic growth comparison of SCHI under the Excess Return MMA strategy (Trading) versus Buy & Hold. The strategy produced a 2.7% CAGR with a -5.3% Max Drawdown across 42 trade signals (compared to Buy & Hold's 1.7% CAGR and -20.7% Max Drawdown).

Return Distribution Analysis

Histogram of monthly return distribution for SCHI under Excess Return MMA strategy in Trading context, illustrating downside risk mitigation and return skewness.
Figure 2: Monthly Return Distribution Profile. Monthly return distribution for SCHI under Excess Return MMA (Trading). Visualizes return frequency, volatility clustering, and tail-risk truncation relative to standard buy-and-hold returns.
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Loading Top Diversifiers for SCHI...

Top 5 non-correlated asset sleeves evaluated on 1Y daily percentage returns (Pearson r). Compare them side-by-side in Compare Studio to analyze portfolio diversification.

Diversifier Asset Category 1Y Correlation (r) Action
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Trade History

This log shows every signal-driven transition. Completed trades reflect standard market cycles. An Open or Mark-to-Market exit denotes an active position (either in the primary asset or a cash/yield sleeve) valued at the current price for reporting purposes. Interest entries record yield accrued from cash or cash alternatives (like BIL) during out-of-market defensive periods.

Entry DateExit DateTypeAllocationEntry PriceExit PriceNet Return %Exit Reason
🔒 Active Positions & Recent Execution Signals Hidden
Trading on delayed data carries high execution risk. Current allocations, pending next-day rebalances, and active execution signals (last 60 days) require a Premium subscription.
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2026-05-18 2026-06-18 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.32% Interest Income
2026-03-26 2026-06-01 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.65% Interest Income
2026-03-24 2026-06-01 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.68% Interest Income
2026-04-23 2026-05-18 Completed 33.33% $22.36 $22.10 -1.21% Signal
2026-03-19 2026-04-23 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.35% Interest Income
2026-03-05 2026-03-26 Completed 33.33% $22.39 $22.01 -1.75% Signal
2025-04-30 2026-03-24 Completed 33.33% $20.90 $21.98 5.11% Signal
2026-02-19 2026-03-19 Completed 33.33% $22.46 $22.04 -1.94% Signal
2026-02-10 2026-03-05 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.23% Interest Income
2026-01-27 2026-02-19 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.23% Interest Income
2025-12-31 2026-02-10 Completed 33.33% $22.25 $22.38 0.56% Signal
2025-12-12 2026-01-27 Completed 33.33% $22.12 $22.26 0.56% Signal
2025-11-24 2025-12-31 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.36% Interest Income
2025-11-17 2025-12-12 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.27% Interest Income
2025-05-30 2025-11-24 Completed 33.33% $20.94 $22.14 5.70% Signal
2025-05-13 2025-11-17 Completed 33.33% $20.75 $21.99 5.91% Signal
2025-04-22 2025-05-30 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.46% Interest Income
2025-04-09 2025-05-13 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.39% Interest Income
2024-12-31 2025-04-30 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 1.37% Interest Income
2025-02-26 2025-04-22 Completed 33.33% $20.76 $20.60 -0.80% Signal
2025-02-07 2025-04-09 Completed 33.33% $20.49 $20.29 -1.00% Signal
2024-10-29 2025-02-26 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 1.39% Interest Income
2024-12-31 2025-02-07 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.42% Interest Income
2024-12-10 2024-12-31 Completed 33.33% $20.65 $20.35 -1.48% Signal
2024-08-01 2024-12-31 Completed 33.33% $20.34 $20.35 -0.00% Signal
2024-10-16 2024-12-10 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.68% Interest Income
2024-06-06 2024-10-29 Completed 33.33% $19.74 $20.35 3.02% Signal
2024-05-20 2024-10-16 Completed 33.33% $19.55 $20.74 5.99% Signal
2024-05-16 2024-08-01 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 1.10% Interest Income
2024-02-23 2024-06-06 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.02 1.53% Interest Income
2024-04-09 2024-05-20 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.61% Interest Income
2024-01-11 2024-05-16 Completed 33.33% $19.50 $19.64 0.69% Signal
2024-03-25 2024-04-09 Completed 33.33% $19.60 $19.47 -0.70% Signal
2024-01-30 2024-03-25 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.80% Interest Income
2023-11-29 2024-02-23 Completed 33.33% $18.90 $19.36 2.36% Signal
2023-11-15 2024-01-30 Completed 33.33% $18.47 $19.56 5.85% Signal
2023-07-10 2024-01-11 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.03 2.79% Interest Income
2023-05-30 2023-11-29 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.03 2.75% Interest Income
2023-08-11 2023-11-15 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 1.45% Interest Income
2023-08-02 2023-08-11 Completed 33.33% $18.56 $18.50 -0.37% Signal
2023-05-10 2023-08-02 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 1.20% Interest Income
2023-06-20 2023-07-10 Completed 33.33% $18.64 $18.40 -1.34% Signal
2023-05-25 2023-06-20 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.34% Interest Income
2023-04-13 2023-05-30 Completed 33.33% $18.90 $18.56 -1.84% Signal
2023-02-03 2023-05-25 Completed 33.33% $18.84 $18.50 -1.85% Signal
2023-03-28 2023-05-10 Completed 33.33% $18.60 $18.81 1.09% Signal
2023-03-08 2023-04-13 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.47% Interest Income
2023-02-24 2023-03-28 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.42% Interest Income
2022-11-30 2023-03-08 Completed 33.33% $17.97 $18.19 1.16% Signal
2023-02-07 2023-02-24 Completed 33.33% $18.66 $18.18 -2.59% Signal
2023-01-13 2023-02-07 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.29% Interest Income
2021-11-24 2023-02-03 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.02 2.49% Interest Income
2022-11-16 2023-01-13 Completed 33.33% $17.99 $18.69 3.82% Signal
2022-09-15 2022-11-30 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.81% Interest Income
2022-09-02 2022-11-16 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.75% Interest Income
2022-08-03 2022-09-15 Completed 33.33% $18.76 $18.04 -3.88% Signal
2022-07-21 2022-09-02 Completed 33.33% $18.41 $18.25 -0.95% Signal
2022-01-11 2022-08-03 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.55% Interest Income
2022-06-16 2022-07-21 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.18% Interest Income
2022-06-07 2022-06-16 Completed 33.33% $18.63 $17.92 -3.90% Signal
2022-01-12 2022-06-07 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.24% Interest Income
2021-12-22 2022-01-12 Completed 33.33% $20.93 $20.67 -1.29% Signal
2022-01-05 2022-01-11 Completed 33.33% $20.84 $20.63 -1.10% Signal
2021-09-29 2022-01-05 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2021-10-01 2021-12-22 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2021-07-16 2021-11-24 Completed 33.33% $21.20 $20.69 -2.46% Signal
2021-09-21 2021-10-01 Completed 33.33% $21.30 $21.09 -1.04% Signal
2021-05-07 2021-09-29 Completed 33.33% $20.86 $21.11 1.16% Signal
2021-08-27 2021-09-21 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2021-04-20 2021-08-27 Completed 33.33% $20.67 $21.19 2.43% Signal
2021-03-30 2021-07-16 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2021-02-11 2021-05-07 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2021-01-27 2021-04-20 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2020-06-03 2021-03-30 Completed 33.33% $20.27 $20.46 0.91% Signal
2020-11-06 2021-02-11 Completed 33.33% $21.05 $21.24 0.86% Signal
2020-10-26 2021-01-27 Completed 33.33% $20.93 $21.25 1.45% Signal
2020-09-30 2020-11-06 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2020-09-03 2020-10-26 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2020-05-01 2020-09-30 Completed 33.33% $19.56 $20.87 6.62% Signal
2020-04-24 2020-09-03 Completed 33.33% $19.57 $21.04 7.46% Signal
2020-05-01 2020-06-03 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2020-04-24 2020-05-01 Completed 33.33% $19.57 $19.56 -0.07% Signal
2020-04-22 2020-05-01 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2020-04-22 2020-04-24 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2020-04-22 2020-04-24 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income

Next Steps: Portfolio Integration & Comparative Analysis

Single-ticker trend following is designed to truncate tail risk inside a broader portfolio. View where SCHI ranks across 40+ tracked assets, evaluate correlation against non-correlated diversifiers, or model it inside a custom all-weather asset mix.

📊 View Full 40-Asset Backtest Matrix → 🛠️ Build Custom Portfolio with SCHI → ⚖️ Compare SCHI vs Non-Correlated Assets →