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DASHBOARDS: Portfolio Hub Market Pulse Performance

VUG

Vanguard Growth Index Fund ETF
TREND FOLLOWING PERFORMANCE HISTORY
2026-07-28
Executive Summary
The quantitative backtest for VUG (Vanguard Growth Index Fund ETF) using the Excess Return MMA CA* strategy in a Investing context demonstrated its primary role in risk mitigation, experiencing a maximum drawdown of -26.2% (compared to the benchmark's drawdown of -50.7%). Over the evaluated period, this protective approach generated a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 11.1%, compared to a Buy-and-Hold benchmark return of 12.6%. The strategy executed 58 total trades.

* Excess Return MMA CA: Multi-Moving Average (Triple-Band) model utilizing sophisticated long/short cross durations optimized against volatility, with a month-end dynamic Cash Alternative sleeve rotation.

VUG Quality Metrics & KPI Summary

Metric1Y5Y10YFull History
StrategyB&HStrategyB&HStrategyB&HStrategyB&H
CAGR3.16%10.14%6.60%11.53%15.05%17.08%11.05%12.58%
Sharpe Ratio0.200.550.400.490.880.730.730.57
Max Drawdown-11.32%-16.53%-26.18%-35.61%-26.18%-35.61%-26.18%-50.68%
% Time Invested96.8%100.0%91.5%100.0%94.5%100.0%92.7%100.0%
Trades / Year1.00.03.40.02.90.02.80.0

Cumulative Growth Performance

Figure 1: Cumulative Trajectory Analysis. Logarithmic growth comparison of VUG under the Excess Return MMA CA strategy (Investing) versus Buy & Hold. The strategy produced a 11.1% CAGR with a -26.2% Max Drawdown across 58 trade signals (compared to Buy & Hold's 12.6% CAGR and -50.7% Max Drawdown).

Return Distribution Analysis

Histogram of monthly return distribution for VUG under Excess Return MMA CA strategy in Investing context, illustrating downside risk mitigation and return skewness.
Figure 2: Monthly Return Distribution Profile. Monthly return distribution for VUG under Excess Return MMA CA (Investing). Visualizes return frequency, volatility clustering, and tail-risk truncation relative to standard buy-and-hold returns.

Trade History

This log shows every signal-driven transition. Completed trades reflect standard market cycles. An Open or Mark-to-Market exit denotes an active position (either in the primary asset or a cash/yield sleeve) valued at the current price for reporting purposes. Interest entries record yield accrued from cash or cash alternatives (like BIL) during out-of-market defensive periods.

Entry DateExit DateTypeAllocationEntry PriceExit PriceNet Return %Exit Reason
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2026-03-30 2026-04-22 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.22% Interest Income
2026-03-23 2026-04-15 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.21% Interest Income
2026-03-03 2026-04-10 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.37% Interest Income
2025-04-29 2026-03-30 Completed 33.33% $62.08 $70.93 14.19% Stop
2025-08-29 2026-03-23 Completed 33.33% $76.75 $74.37 -3.15% Stop
2026-02-26 2026-03-02 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.03% Interest Income
2025-07-08 2026-02-26 Completed 33.33% $73.03 $78.15 6.96% Signal
2025-08-07 2025-08-29 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.28% Interest Income
2025-05-01 2025-08-07 Completed 33.33% $63.97 $76.08 18.87% Signal
2025-06-03 2025-07-08 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.56% Interest Income
2025-05-02 2025-06-02 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.32% Interest Income
2025-04-08 2025-05-01 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 1.21% Interest Income
2025-04-07 2025-05-01 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.02 1.61% Interest Income
2025-04-04 2025-04-29 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.12% Interest Income
2025-04-02 2025-04-08 Completed 33.33% $61.14 $57.76 -5.57% Stop
2025-04-02 2025-04-07 Completed 33.33% $61.14 $53.09 -13.21% Signal
2023-01-18 2025-04-04 Completed 33.33% $37.16 $57.10 53.58% Stop
2025-03-11 2025-04-02 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.29% Interest Income
2025-03-11 2025-04-02 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.29% Interest Income
2024-08-28 2025-03-11 Completed 33.33% $62.13 $61.55 -0.99% Stop
2024-08-28 2025-03-11 Completed 33.33% $62.13 $61.55 -0.99% Stop
2024-08-06 2024-08-28 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.32% Interest Income
2024-08-06 2024-08-28 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.32% Interest Income
2023-12-22 2024-08-06 Completed 33.33% $51.24 $56.77 10.74% Stop
2023-01-18 2024-08-06 Completed 33.33% $37.16 $56.77 52.69% Stop
2023-11-10 2023-12-22 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.78% Interest Income
2023-01-18 2023-11-10 Completed 33.33% $37.16 $46.69 25.57% Signal
2022-12-02 2023-01-18 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.86% Interest Income
2022-12-02 2023-01-18 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.86% Interest Income
2022-12-02 2023-01-18 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.86% Interest Income
2022-11-07 2022-12-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.24% Interest Income
2022-10-04 2022-12-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.52% Interest Income
2022-10-04 2022-12-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.52% Interest Income
2022-10-04 2022-11-07 Completed 33.33% $36.49 $34.68 -5.01% Signal
2022-09-02 2022-10-04 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.05% Interest Income
2022-09-26 2022-10-03 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.40% Interest Income
2022-09-02 2022-10-03 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.05% Interest Income
2022-05-25 2022-09-26 Completed 33.33% $36.80 $35.87 -2.59% Stop
2022-04-26 2022-09-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.35% Interest Income
2022-03-02 2022-09-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.37% Interest Income
2022-05-03 2022-05-25 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2022-02-16 2022-05-03 Completed 33.33% $46.17 $41.33 -10.52% Stop
2022-02-15 2022-04-26 Completed 33.33% $46.20 $42.48 -8.11% Stop
2022-02-24 2022-03-01 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2022-02-15 2022-02-24 Completed 33.33% $46.20 $41.37 -10.50% Signal
2022-01-25 2022-02-16 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.03% Interest Income
2022-01-24 2022-02-15 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.05% Interest Income
2022-01-24 2022-02-15 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.05% Interest Income
2020-03-24 2022-01-25 Completed 33.33% $23.24 $44.96 93.36% Stop
2020-06-03 2022-01-24 Completed 33.33% $31.64 $44.55 40.71% Stop
2020-03-24 2022-01-24 Completed 33.33% $23.24 $44.55 91.56% Stop
2020-06-02 2020-06-03 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.08% Interest Income
2020-04-27 2020-06-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.03% Interest Income
2020-03-24 2020-04-27 Completed 33.33% $23.24 $28.43 22.28% Signal
2020-03-03 2020-03-24 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.36% Interest Income
2020-03-03 2020-03-24 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.36% Interest Income
2020-03-03 2020-03-24 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.36% Interest Income
2020-03-02 2020-03-02 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.05% Interest Income
2020-03-02 2020-03-02 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.05% Interest Income
2020-03-02 2020-03-02 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.05% Interest Income
2019-06-26 2020-03-02 Completed 33.33% $25.92 $28.50 9.89% Stop
2019-02-20 2020-03-02 Completed 33.33% $24.03 $28.50 18.56% Stop
2019-01-15 2020-03-02 Completed 33.33% $22.07 $28.50 29.05% Stop
2019-06-04 2019-06-26 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.20% Interest Income
2019-04-08 2019-06-04 Completed 33.33% $25.42 $24.28 -4.55% Stop
2019-03-04 2019-04-08 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.42% Interest Income
2019-02-04 2019-03-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.17% Interest Income
2018-12-04 2019-02-20 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.54% Interest Income
2019-01-17 2019-02-04 Completed 33.33% $22.29 $23.26 4.34% Signal
2018-12-24 2019-01-17 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.15% Interest Income
2018-12-20 2019-01-15 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.19% Interest Income
2018-11-21 2018-12-24 Completed 33.33% $22.28 $20.14 -9.63% Stop
2016-03-03 2018-12-20 Completed 33.33% $15.61 $21.15 35.43% Stop
2018-11-26 2018-12-03 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.04% Interest Income
2018-11-21 2018-11-26 Completed 33.33% $22.28 $22.29 -0.01% Signal
2018-11-02 2018-11-21 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.10% Interest Income
2018-11-02 2018-11-21 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.10% Interest Income
2018-10-30 2018-11-01 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2018-10-30 2018-11-01 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2017-01-23 2018-10-30 Completed 33.33% $17.74 $22.33 25.83% Stop
2016-07-18 2018-10-30 Completed 33.33% $17.03 $22.33 31.04% Stop
2016-12-28 2017-01-23 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.10% Interest Income
2016-05-06 2016-12-28 Completed 33.33% $16.06 $17.53 9.06% Signal
2016-04-04 2016-07-18 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.72% Interest Income
2016-04-04 2016-05-06 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.31% Interest Income
2016-03-02 2016-04-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2016-03-02 2016-04-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2016-03-02 2016-03-03 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.02% Interest Income
2016-02-17 2016-03-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.04% Interest Income
2016-02-09 2016-03-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.01% Interest Income
2016-02-02 2016-03-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2016-02-12 2016-02-17 Completed 33.33% $14.45 $14.92 3.24% Signal
2016-02-02 2016-02-12 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.04% Interest Income
2015-09-17 2016-02-09 Completed 33.33% $15.96 $14.20 -11.07% Stop
2016-01-21 2016-02-01 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.11% Interest Income
2015-12-16 2016-02-01 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.01% Interest Income
2015-12-15 2016-01-21 Completed 33.33% $16.29 $14.79 -9.29% Stop
2015-09-17 2015-12-16 Completed 33.33% $15.96 $16.36 2.44% Signal
2015-11-03 2015-12-15 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.09% Interest Income
2015-09-02 2015-11-02 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.02% Interest Income
2015-09-02 2015-09-17 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.02% Interest Income
2015-09-02 2015-09-17 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.02% Interest Income
2015-08-25 2015-09-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2015-08-25 2015-09-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2015-08-25 2015-09-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2012-08-14 2015-08-25 Completed 33.33% $10.30 $15.16 47.19% Stop
2012-02-29 2015-08-25 Completed 33.33% $10.02 $15.16 51.20% Stop
2011-08-31 2015-08-25 Completed 33.33% $8.75 $15.16 73.26% Stop
2012-07-13 2012-08-14 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.40% Interest Income
2011-12-22 2012-07-13 Completed 33.33% $8.86 $9.73 9.71% Signal
2012-01-04 2012-02-29 Interest (FLOT) 33.33% $1.00 $1.02 2.09% Interest Income
2011-12-02 2012-01-03 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.02% Interest Income
2011-12-02 2011-12-22 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.01% Interest Income
2011-10-20 2011-12-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.04% Interest Income
2011-08-08 2011-12-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.07% Interest Income
2011-08-30 2011-10-20 Completed 33.33% $8.61 $8.69 0.88% Signal
2011-08-09 2011-08-31 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2011-08-08 2011-08-30 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2010-06-01 2011-08-09 Completed 33.33% $7.26 $8.10 11.46% Stop
2010-11-08 2011-08-08 Completed 33.33% $8.50 $8.29 -2.52% Stop
2010-09-17 2011-08-08 Completed 33.33% $7.68 $8.29 7.86% Stop
2010-11-02 2010-11-08 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.02% Interest Income
2010-10-12 2010-11-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.01% Interest Income
2010-06-01 2010-10-12 Completed 33.33% $7.26 $7.96 9.53% Signal
2010-09-02 2010-09-17 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.03% Interest Income
2010-07-15 2010-09-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.02% Interest Income
2010-06-01 2010-07-15 Completed 33.33% $7.26 $7.37 1.43% Signal
2010-05-07 2010-06-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2010-05-07 2010-06-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2010-05-07 2010-06-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2009-07-22 2010-05-07 Completed 33.33% $6.33 $7.54 19.05% Stop
2009-07-22 2010-05-07 Completed 33.33% $6.33 $7.54 19.05% Stop
2009-05-12 2010-05-07 Completed 33.33% $5.90 $7.54 27.73% Stop
2009-07-02 2009-07-22 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.02% Interest Income
2009-07-02 2009-07-22 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.02% Interest Income
2009-06-02 2009-07-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.03% Interest Income
2009-06-02 2009-07-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.03% Interest Income
2009-05-04 2009-06-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.10% Interest Income
2009-05-04 2009-06-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.10% Interest Income
2009-05-04 2009-05-12 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 -0.13% Interest Income
2009-04-02 2009-05-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2009-04-02 2009-05-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2009-04-02 2009-05-01 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2009-01-05 2009-04-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.18% Interest Income
2009-01-05 2009-04-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.18% Interest Income
2009-01-05 2009-04-01 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.18% Interest Income
2008-09-17 2009-01-02 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.51% Interest Income
2008-09-03 2009-01-02 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.77% Interest Income
2008-09-03 2009-01-02 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.77% Interest Income
2008-02-14 2008-09-17 Completed 33.33% $8.24 $7.54 -8.52% Stop
2008-08-22 2008-09-02 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.05% Interest Income
2008-06-03 2008-09-02 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.49% Interest Income
2008-06-04 2008-08-22 Completed 33.33% $8.64 $8.24 -4.68% Signal
2008-06-03 2008-06-04 Interest (BIL) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.00% Interest Income
2008-03-17 2008-06-02 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.21% Interest Income
2008-01-22 2008-06-02 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.01 0.93% Interest Income
2008-02-12 2008-03-17 Completed 33.33% $8.14 $7.69 -5.56% Signal
2008-01-23 2008-02-14 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.26% Interest Income
2008-01-18 2008-02-12 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.43% Interest Income
2006-01-25 2008-01-23 Completed 33.33% $7.36 $7.62 3.44% Stop
2007-11-08 2008-01-22 Completed 33.33% $8.89 $7.43 -16.53% Stop
2007-01-03 2008-01-18 Completed 33.33% $7.94 $8.04 1.21% Stop
2007-10-17 2007-11-08 Interest (SHV) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.49% Interest Income
2006-10-19 2007-10-17 Completed 33.33% $7.60 $9.10 19.73% Signal
2006-08-01 2007-01-03 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.02 2.08% Interest Income
2006-05-24 2006-10-19 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.02 2.01% Interest Income
2006-01-25 2006-08-01 Completed 33.33% $7.36 $7.01 -4.87% Signal
2006-01-25 2006-05-24 Completed 33.33% $7.36 $7.13 -3.22% Signal
2006-01-23 2006-01-25 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2006-01-23 2006-01-25 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income
2006-01-23 2006-01-25 Interest (CASH) 33.33% $1.00 $1.00 0.02% Interest Income